Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[kastor ville]

The last time Israel attacked, Iran was taken by complete surprise right before planned (fake) U.S negotiations. Now People here think that Israel is going to announce on X when the attack is coming. What a joke!

They won't get fooled again.....and for those who say Iran won't close the Strait.....think again, US intelligence had a report, Iran was doing prep work to do just that.....I don't say this publicly, because I don't have proof but I think that's why Trump made those Israeli planes turn back on the 12th day.
Don't make me look for that report....please Google it yourself

 

[kastor ville]

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First it was issue of nukes
Then it was issue of missiles
Now the issue is how they treat protestors

Iran needs to know that all the rules of the old world are out the window with these amateurs.... The crazy guy wins. Now, the only question remaining is can the Iranians be the crazy guy? Do they have the balls to close the Strait and target the SA oil fields and UAE gas terminals.....
Iran should not even care to hit the US bases....the oil and gas targets are their Achilles heel.....they won't give 2 shits about the bases....or their handful of soldiers, they're expendable.

 

[kastor ville]

It was for the everything is awesome crowd that thought Iran was a superpower.



What AoR? Hamas is demolished. Hezbollah is fighting for its survival as it’s being pressured to disarm. Syrian groups are gone.

All that is left is Iraqi militias which stopped their attacks after the foolish Jordan drone attack that killed 3 U.S. soldiers and led to U.S. bombing 70+ Iranian/AoR targets in Syria and Iraq, as well as assassinating the leader of the militia group that conducted the drone strike in Baghdad.



Iran had its weapons and allies in 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and decided each time to not use them.

Now Iran is highly weakened and little cards to play.

One person to blame....the 85+ yr old fool that doesn't know shit from shinola.
He is the biggest problem in Iran.

 

[mangekyo]

Iran needs to know that all the rules of the old world are out the window with these amateurs.... The crazy guy wins. Now, the only question remaining is can the Iranians be the crazy guy? Do they have the balls to close the Strait and target the SA oil fields and UAE gas terminals.....
Iran should not even care to hit the US bases....the oil and gas targets are their Achilles heel.....they won't give 2 shits about the bases....or their handful of soldiers, they're expendable.

Buddy, when Iranian AD struggles with Israel. Why would you want to throw Saudi and UAE planes into the mix?

 

[kastor ville]

Buddy, when Iranian AD struggles with Israel. Why would you want to throw Saudi and UAE planes into the mix?

Did you miss the part that i said the crazy guy wins?
If they come full force at us....what do we care if a bunch of second rate Arabs come too? It's the end game anyway.

 

[mangekyo]

Did you miss the part that i said the crazy guy wins?
If they come full force at us....what do we care if a bunch of second rate Arabs come too? It's the end game anyway.

Because nothing good will come from it and it’s utterly humiliating.

 

[kastor ville]

Because nothing good will come from it and it’s utterly humiliating.

They have stolen at least a few trillion dollars of wealth from us with their sanctions....that's humiliating. We got our entire lmilitary leadership and scientists assassinated for no cause.... That's humiliating.
They killed 1000 iranian civilians....that's humiliating.
Thats why the fkign old man has to go.....he needed to go after the 12 day war. I have posted several times "Reform or Die". But the stupid mofos don't listen.

 

[mangekyo]

They have stolen at least a few trillion dollars of wealth from us with their sanctions....that's humiliating. We got our entire lmilitary leadership and scientists assassinated for no cause.... That's humiliating.
They killed 1000 iranian civilians....that's humiliating.
Thats why the fkign old man has to go.....he needed to go after the 12 day war. I have posted several times "Reform or Die". But the stupid mofos don't listen.

I agree completely. But being bombed into defeat by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, ending up fragmented and permanently losing Iran, would be even more humiliating. If we are going to fall, it should not be at the hands of SA and the UAE.

 

[Immortals]

Hezbollah is in Hamas's pre-10/7 state they're sitting on 50,000+ rockets and ground force is mostly significant and intact.

The 50,000 rocket number is glorified katushya rockets and GRAD rockets that cannot go more than 20KM-30KM. They do little damage and highly inaccurate.

The entire upper leadership of HZ has been decapitated. Many field officers also lost their lives helping in the Gaza war.

HZ and the public opinion in Lebanon means that it’s not at liberty to jump into another war for Israel for the benefit of Iran.

 

[kastor ville]

I agree completely. But being bombed into defeat by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, ending up fragmented and permanently losing Iran, would be even more humiliating. If we are going to fall, it should not be at the hands of SA and the UAE.

If they don't take out the oil fields and the gas terminals...then the enemy won't be afriad to go all medieval on us. The plan should be the fields, the terminals, the back up pipelines.....and preventing the western navies from opening the strait iquickly....how? I don't know, I don't get paid to figure all this stuff out for Iran. Maybe midget subs, suicide boats....maritime missiles...etc.
The US will release the strategic oil reserves into the open market...but that will last a few weeks. The Asian countries and Europe will feel the pain after 2 weeks. They have plans for closure of the strait.... They have back of pipelines in UAE and SA....but I'm guessing Iran knows how to take those out too....
See, it's best to have an open line with the US to warn them, if you do this, we will do this.....and we are ready to go down in flames, but we will take the energy sector with us. That's our only real weapon against a superpower

 

[mangekyo]

If they don't take out the oil fields and the gas terminals...then the enemy won't be afriad to go all medieval on us. The plan should be the fields, the terminals, the back up pipelines.....and preventing the western navies from opening the strait iquickly....how? I don't know, I don't get paid to figure all this stuff out for Iran. Maybe midget subs, suicide boats....maritime missiles...etc.
The US will release the strategic oil reserves into the open market...but that will last a few weeks. The Asian countries and Europe will feel the pain after 2 weeks. They have plans for closure of the strait.... They have back of pipelines in UAE and SA....but I'm guessing Iran knows how to take those out too....
See, it's best to have an open line with the US to warn them, if you do this, we will do this.....and we are ready to go down in flames, but we will take the energy sector with us. That's our only real weapon against a superpower

I don’t think US is scared of oil supplies for the time being after securing Venezuela. Your point about Asian and European countries feeling the pain is valid, but I think it would invite more trouble. No one fears Iran anymore, and we can’t deal with a coalition of Israel, US, Arabs, Europeans and Asians. I’m sorry, but we have no cards to play.

 

[Immortals]

Venezuela needs to be pumping oil at max capacity, if the US ever comes after Iran....why? Because they know once we close the Strait, the world economy will descent into a recession, due to an energy shock. But the shock can be mitigated with surplus barrels from Caracas.

No offense, you are mistaken on many fronts.

First Venezuela’s oil facilities are in such poor shape it’s gonna be years before they get to max output. Long after your “Strait of Hormuz” theory would happen.

Second Venezuela has the most expensive cost per barrel for extraction in the world at over $100+/barrel to breakeven, whereas Saudi Arabia can pull it out of the ground for <$10/barrel for comparison. With oil at $60/barrel it’s not very lucrative right now even if U.S. oil companies get the extraction cost down in the coming months.

Third oil has grades and Venzenula unlike other OPEC countries is heavy sour crude which is sludge like and requires special refineries to refine. So not every country can buy their oil if they don’t have the set up for it, especially after being sanctioned for so long. So Venzenula oil is not in demand around the world like light sweet crude or Brent crude.

Fourth, Iran isn’t closing strait of Hormuz. US Navy vs Iranian Navy would be a blood bath. And Iran isn’t going to risk attacks on its own energy installations. This was another fake threat that was never carried out and won’t be.

 

[Garcia Sea]

Is there anyone who still believes there won't be another war?
Venezuela's newly inaugurated President Rodríguez just announced a swift surrender.
With this, Hamas, Lebanon, Syria, and Venezuela have all fallen swiftly to the military　might of the US and Israel.
Now, do you truly believe Iran alone will be spared?
Do you believe Trump will offer any peaceful alternative to surrender?
Israel and the US, riding high on consecutive victories, are poised to strike Iran next. Will this attack inevitably be catastrophic?

 

[kastor ville]

No offense, you are mistaken on many fronts.

First Venezuela’s oil facilities are in such poor shape it’s gonna be years before they get to max output. Long after your “Strait of Hormuz” theory would happen.

Second Venezuela has the most expensive cost per barrel for extraction in the world at over $100+/barrel to breakeven, whereas Saudi Arabia can pull it out of the ground for <$10/barrel for comparison. With oil at $60/barrel it’s not very lucrative right now even if U.S. oil companies get the extraction cost down in the coming months.

Third oil has grades and Venzenula unlike other OPEC countries is heavy sour crude which is sludge like and requires special refineries to refine. So not every country can buy their oil if they don’t have the set up for it, especially after being sanctioned for so long. So Venzenula oil is not in demand around the world like light sweet crude or Brent crude.

Fourth, Iran isn’t closing strait of Hormuz. US Navy vs Iranian Navy would be a blood bath. And Iran isn’t going to risk attacks on its own energy installations. This was another fake threat that was never carried out and won’t be.

Sorry but I'm not. First, you misunderstood, I said Venezuela needs to have max outputs for Trump to take us out before he leaves office...that's almost 3 yrs from now.
Next, SA cost is 2$ per barrel....Venezuela is 10 dollars per barrel.
Third, I think Iran does have the balls to close the strait....we mined it during the Iran-Iraq war.

 

[Immortals]

Sorry but I'm not. First, you misunderstood, I said Venezuela needs to have max outputs for Trump to take us out before he leaves office...that's almost 3 yrs from now.
Next, SA cost is 2$ per barrel....Venezuela is 10 dollars per barrel.
Third, I think Iran does have the balls to close the strait....we mined it during the Iran-Iraq war.

I would like to see your source on 10/barrel. Most cite blending and upgrading at $30-35 pure cost.

Then there is the government debt and balancing their budget they need oil prices they sell to be $100+ to stop hyperinflation and dire economic conditions in that country. So your assuming US takes 100% of the oil revenues and gives zero back to the country. Which doesn’t make sense.

Then there is investment needed to revive their oil production and raise their oil exports which are less than 30% capacity when Chavez was alive. Figures are $10-20B dollars of investments to add 500,000 barrels daily.

It’s gonna be very expensive and time consuming process to fix Venezuela.

Iran is getting taken care of this year not in 3 years before Trump leaves. Israel has full control of the White House.

And yes Iran mined the Persian gulf during the Iran-Iraq war then operation prey mantis happened and Iran got humiliated. That was also when it still had a modern navy supplied by America and UK from the Shah days. Today its Navy is speedboats and similar frigates it had 40 years ago now labeled “Mowj” with some upgrades.

Some F-22 and F-35 could sink all of Iran’s large ships, ship yards, and naval bases without any ability for Iran to target them back.

It wouldn’t be wise to go down that road.