VCheng
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
If Iran survives even with everything destroyed but gets control of Hormuz and ability to export without sanctions - its a win.
Agreed, but whether Iran is able to achieve this win or not remians to be seen.
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If Iran survives even with everything destroyed but gets control of Hormuz and ability to export without sanctions - its a win.
Most likely none though to your point, the issue is complex. Iran is on one side of the strait, GCC states on the other. GCC states aren't likely to accept that; that is a direct impact on their livelihoods.Let me rephrase your comment from another perspective:
How many countries in the world - leave aside USA - will be accepting of exclusive Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz given its role in global energy supplies?
Geopolitically, that is a far more important question to answer.
Most likely none
Goodbye Global Economy, it was nice knowing you
The government can't do it unless there is a national emergency (in petroleum), which is not there. There is no shortage anywhere. Also, import/exports are needed due to long border region and different grades of oil produced compared to what is needed. It is easier to export oil on east coast and import from west coast than pumping or moving oil 3,000 miles overland.It's simple, the government just needs to ban exports.
It is worse than that. Great lakes are strictly binational. We can negotiate with Canada and share them 3-2 if we are crazy about such things, but Strait of Hormuz at 21 nautical miles at its narrowest is international waterway. Iran having 'Sovereignity' over it is akin to U.S. owning moon because Neil Armstrong planted a flag on it in 1969.That would be equivalent to the US advising Canada that the 4 remaining Great Lakes are all solely under US control. That's not likely to happen nor should I give the President any further ideas to consider.
Shades of the "Three Day Special Military Operation" are popping up.
What impact is this gonna have on this war?
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