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It will be another moral victory for Iran... Like no developing Nuke was, as Islam prohibits WMDI'll write this here, and we can judge it later:
If Iran accepts a ceasefire, before the ceasefire goes into effect, Israel will bomb the remaining targets on its list, excluding power plants. Even if the ceasefire gives them just one hour, they will use it.
Iran made a strategic blunder by not fully aligning itself with China over the years. That’s the plain truth.Micro drones have not been a factor this time
We hit an F-35 and F-15 this time
This time the U.S. joined Israel with 10,000+ strikes within a month, we have not many air defences for a massive mountainous country, not much we can do about that within 9 months
It's not Muslims responsibility alone.But Muslims leaders are silently watching ...
I think Pak PM is doing right its a hard balancing act. But if you are Iran you was likely not accept opening the SOH with no concessions and then to be bombed 2 weeks later when they replenish their missile stocks get more troops in and go in for a land invasion.
That is the threat Iran faces, it needs a credible deterrence to accept a ceasefire. If China or Russia provided guarantee's on-top we could get there.
Every forum member arguing for a ceasfire will be forced to pay me $1 for every ceasefire violation in the coming weeks. I expect to be tens of thousands of dollars richer soon.It seems some Iranians in this forum are pretty confident of Iran's ability to exact a lot of pain on Israel. I hope they are right but so far, sadly, I don't see evidence supporting that.
So I agree with your post: Take the two-week ceasefire if on the offer. Iran will still have the firepower to cause havoc in Israel after two weeks. Meanwhile, regroup for any eventual fight.
Read it again! The clown doesn't abide by any... having two positions in one sentence. Leveraging each...Even a temporary cessation will have terms to it, and if they get broken then you leave the room and resume.
The only thing useful for Iran is pressure... exactly the heat that is on right now! Collapse the oil markets and bring the oil to $200... let orange deal with the fallout for the war he started...Yes of course that would mean the Americans can strategize but then it could be useful for Iran as well.
The only path is manifest.... pull back... evacuate bases... as they were done in Vietnam and Afghanistan.It depends how cute you want to get about it, the biggest obstacle is making this happen for the first time, because no one wants to project weakness, but once talks have happened once it makes a path for the future more possible
The ground invasion is absolute disaster for orange and will end the 180 window of opportunity he is using to attack Iran. And the elections that are coming this fall.Ultimately it depends on the vision for the route to the end game, there is one version where you have multiple rounds of talks, in between the fighting which ultimately brings everyone closer to an agreement, I don't really see that as ceding any leverage because Iran already has established control on the flow of ships, they maintain missile capability and in any case will be prepared for a ground invasion.
What is obviously discomforting is the alternate vision on rhetoric around an apocalyptic escalation spiral that just keeps on going without pause, and then somehow emerges a winner and a willing loser.
You want Muslim leaders to respond to Ben Shapiro's rants? really? his own comment section roast him, his Daily wire lost millions of viewers and subscribers, and right wing pundits are shitting on his loyalty to Israel and Zionism, he is nothing but a shill, you don't give or pay attention to people like him.But Muslims leaders are silently watching ...
In a little while, Trump might tweet:
The Prime Minister of Pakistan asked me to extend the deadline, and he's a great and very smart man, and I love him, and he says good things about me, so I'm going to extend it, especially since Iran has shown seriousness in the negotiations, and the war might end soon
It looks more like a total humiliation than a moral victory.It will be another moral victory for Iran... Like no developing Nuke was, as Islam prohibits WMD.. BTW If Israil attacks whitin hour then it will have no surprise element and there wont be much change in defensive or offensive posture of Iran immediately after deals get announced. Iran will probably carry on the attacks as decided right now.. However it will be highly embarrassing for mediators
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