Pakistan GDP - News & Updates and Discussions

Artificial decrease, just like last time when PMLN was in power.

Indeed. What's scaring me the most isn't the manipulation as we knew it was there, as I can weave through the clutter and get the correct picture thanks to my background. But it's that throughout this crisis, Pakistanis didn't crack open a book to learn the basics of economics to diagnose their problems and investigate them.

The most important fundamental of relying on information is to trust but verify; we've completely forgotten this in our daily thinking.
 
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Inflation = fake debt to GDP ratio? OK genius.
Then tell us how did duffer led noonie toons actually accomplish this, by paying down more than normal amount of debt or by record increase in GDP growth? We all know growth has grind to a halt if not negative and paying down debt is impossible since noonie jamedar alliance has been begging for even pennies now.
 
It is extremely important that this time around that Pakistan defaults. Luckily all the signs are there.
 
I can’t find any sticky thread dedicated to Pakistan’s ECONOMY and nobody seems to know the current status of our GDP 📈 📉

Let’s create one to keep track of progress toward reaching $700 Billion - $1 Trillion GDP, Insha'Allah

Status - $408 Billion GDP (2025) to $430 Billion GDP (2026) approximately

Pict-ss 2026-05-02 at 7.23.00 AM.png
Pict-ss 2026-05-02 at 7.23.48 AM.png


It was expected that our economy would reach $900 billion GDP this year, but we haven’t been able to achieve it ?!
 
What a terrible situation for Pakistan’s economy.

Have we really been at around $200-400 billion GDP for almost 20 years now - wth?!

New updates recently:

The Republic of Turkiye has surpassed Indonesia's economy and become the country with the largest economy among Muslim-majority population countries.

Thus, today Türkiye holds the position of the largest Muslim-majority country both economically and militarily.

By GDP:
🇹🇷 Turkiye - $1.64 Trillion 📈
🇮🇩 Indonesia - $1.54 Trillion
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia - $1.39 Trillion
🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates - $622 Billion
🇲🇾 Malaysia - $516 billion
🇧🇩 Bangladesh - $511 billion
🇪🇬 Egypt - $430 billion
🇵🇰 Pakistan - $408 billion 📉
🇩🇿 Algeria - $317 billion
🇮🇷 Iran - $300 billion

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Pakistan’s economy to grow 3.5% in FY2026

Pakistan%20Economic%20Outlook.jpg_20260410060742650_17358f.jpeg


April 10, 2026 (MLN): Pakistan’s economic landscape is showing signs of steady revitalization, with gross domestic product (GDP) growth projected to climb to 3.5% in the fiscal year 2026.


This anticipated acceleration marks a continued upward trend from the 3.1% growth recorded in FY2025 and is expected to gain even further momentum, reaching 4.5% by FY2027.

The optimistic outlook for the coming year is primarily anchored in a quicker-than-anticipated recovery within the manufacturing sector, particularly large-scale manufacturing which saw a strong 4.8% rebound in the first half of FY2026 across the textile, cement, and automobile industries.

Additionally, flood-related crop damage was less severe than initially feared, providing a more stable foundation for the broader economy as it moves into the next fiscal cycle.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) in its recent report highlights that this positive trajectory is the result of prudent macroeconomic policies and essential stabilization measures that have successfully boosted market confidence.

According to the ADB’s analysis, the easing of monetary policy following a dramatic fall in inflation during 2025 has created a more accommodative environment for private investment.

While the current account is expected to return to a modest deficit due to rising global energy prices linked to Middle East instability, the ADB notes that resilient worker remittances and continued fiscal discipline remain critical pillars for maintaining this newfound stability.

The following table summarizes the key growth and inflation projections:

Economic Indicator2024 (Actual)2025 (Actual)2026 (Projected)2027 (Projected)
GDP Growth (%)2.63.13.54.5
Inflation (%)23.44.56.46.5

Looking ahead, the sustainability of this growth depends on the government's ability to maintain fiscal targets, such as the 2.6% primary surplus aimed for in the FY2026 budget.

The industrial sector is expected to remain a primary driver, supported by a 21% surge in construction activities fueled by post-flood reconstruction efforts and specific fiscal incentives.

However, the ADB warns that external risks, particularly geopolitical tensions that could disrupt energy supplies or trade routes, remain significant factors that could influence domestic inflation and the overall external position.

By continuing to pursue structural transformations including the privatization of state-owned enterprises and the modernization of agricultural value chains Pakistan aims to break the historical "boom-bust" cycle and secure long-term improvements in living standards.


 
Enough with loans, we must eliminate High interest borrowing and focus on growing our own economy

- IMF Loans
- USA Loans
- Chinese Loans
- Saudi Loans
- Qatari Loans
- UAE Loans (rejected and refunded)

Future Loans (maybe coming, joking below)
- Sri Lanka Loans
- Bangladesh Loans
- Australia Loans
- Zimbabwe Loans
- Congo Loan
- Cuba Loans
- Sudan Loans

Vice versa
 
What a terrible situation for Pakistan’s economy.

Have we really been at around $200-400 billion GDP for almost 20 years now - wth?!

New updates recently:

The Republic of Turkiye has surpassed Indonesia's economy and become the country with the largest economy among Muslim-majority population countries.

Thus, today Türkiye holds the position of the largest Muslim-majority country both economically and militarily.

By GDP:
🇹🇷 Turkiye - $1.64 Trillion 📈
🇮🇩 Indonesia - $1.54 Trillion
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia - $1.39 Trillion
🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates - $622 Billion
🇲🇾 Malaysia - $516 billion
🇧🇩 Bangladesh - $511 billion
🇪🇬 Egypt - $430 billion
🇵🇰 Pakistan - $408 billion 📉
🇩🇿 Algeria - $317 billion
🇮🇷 Iran - $300 billion

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For more detailed information, see our cookies page.



Pakistan’s economy to grow 3.5% in FY2026

Pakistan%20Economic%20Outlook.jpg_20260410060742650_17358f.jpeg


April 10, 2026 (MLN): Pakistan’s economic landscape is showing signs of steady revitalization, with gross domestic product (GDP) growth projected to climb to 3.5% in the fiscal year 2026.


This anticipated acceleration marks a continued upward trend from the 3.1% growth recorded in FY2025 and is expected to gain even further momentum, reaching 4.5% by FY2027.

The optimistic outlook for the coming year is primarily anchored in a quicker-than-anticipated recovery within the manufacturing sector, particularly large-scale manufacturing which saw a strong 4.8% rebound in the first half of FY2026 across the textile, cement, and automobile industries.

Additionally, flood-related crop damage was less severe than initially feared, providing a more stable foundation for the broader economy as it moves into the next fiscal cycle.

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) in its recent report highlights that this positive trajectory is the result of prudent macroeconomic policies and essential stabilization measures that have successfully boosted market confidence.

According to the ADB’s analysis, the easing of monetary policy following a dramatic fall in inflation during 2025 has created a more accommodative environment for private investment.

While the current account is expected to return to a modest deficit due to rising global energy prices linked to Middle East instability, the ADB notes that resilient worker remittances and continued fiscal discipline remain critical pillars for maintaining this newfound stability.

The following table summarizes the key growth and inflation projections:



Economic Indicator2024 (Actual)2025 (Actual)2026 (Projected)2027 (Projected)
GDP Growth (%)2.63.13.54.5
Inflation (%)23.44.56.46.5

Looking ahead, the sustainability of this growth depends on the government's ability to maintain fiscal targets, such as the 2.6% primary surplus aimed for in the FY2026 budget.

The industrial sector is expected to remain a primary driver, supported by a 21% surge in construction activities fueled by post-flood reconstruction efforts and specific fiscal incentives.

However, the ADB warns that external risks, particularly geopolitical tensions that could disrupt energy supplies or trade routes, remain significant factors that could influence domestic inflation and the overall external position.

By continuing to pursue structural transformations including the privatization of state-owned enterprises and the modernization of agricultural value chains Pakistan aims to break the historical "boom-bust" cycle and secure long-term improvements in living standards.





Better than nothing. Pakistan was stuck on $300 billion for many years.
 
I can’t find any sticky thread dedicated to Pakistan’s ECONOMY and nobody seems to know the current status of our GDP 📈 📉

Let’s create one to keep track of progress toward reaching $700 Billion - $1 Trillion GDP, Insha'Allah

Status - $408 Billion GDP (2025) to $430 Billion GDP (2026) approximately

View attachment 195312
View attachment 195313


It was expected that our economy would reach $900 billion GDP this year, but we haven’t been able to achieve it ?!
Sticky'ed
 
$407bn is for FY 2024-26. For current FY 2025-26 ending June26 GDP is $454bn.

Still very low numbers

I just check prices for gas in our own country as we bought alot of gas from Iran via Strait of Hormuz.

Pakistan gas prices from 257 to 399 rupees, I don't understand why our prices are increased

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HHTdM0waUAALOKH


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Sticky'ed

Thank you sir - appreciate it.
 
I know its a terrible and embarrassing situation for Pakistan especially compared to our Bangladeshi brothers

but I would rather than a weak economy and strong military than the other way around

and 2026 is shaping up to be the best year for Pakistan military

off course a stronger economy means better military

but it is what it is , dont think we will ever have a strong economy
 
Even the 400 billion dollar figure is bullocks according to sum people , do we have a comparbale gdp to Malaysia??? then why this state? i consider these claims of 454 billion dolar gdp hyperbole
 
Biggest issue is bringing the informal sector in the tax net. By some estimates the informal sector is 30-40% of the country’s GDP. Hst it is more of a political issue by successive governments to ignore this issue - this is where the vote bank lies.
 
Still very low numbers

I just check prices for gas in our own country as we bought alot of gas from Iran via Strait of Hormuz.

Pakistan gas prices from 257 to 399 rupees, I don't understand why our prices are increased

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HHTdM0waUAALOKH


Reference:
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Thank you sir - appreciate it.


There is simple explanation for oil prices. Pakistan under IMF program cannot lower levy/taxes on petrol to provide short term relief like good old times. Because in those good old times Pakistan borrowed $$ and now is time to payback.

India have 9 months import cover, Pakistan barely 3.
 

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