Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
this assassination took place during the war, not now. I am actually somewhat encouraged by the IRI's growing confidence.Unfortunately, Iran no longer has the courage to mount a strong counterattack. If things continue like this, generals and high-ranking government officials will keep getting assassinated until only Epstein’s puppets remain. Netanyahu and Trump are relishing this sham ceasefire.
Iran shot down a US MQ-1 drone in international waters (US claim), the US did a symbolic response against an empty drone launcher, and Iran fired a missile at the US base in Kuwait, injuring 5 US soldiers and destroying 2 US MQ-9 drones (and forcing Kuwait to expend further Patriot interceptors), and the US backed down without responding
the US attacked a civilian ship linked to Iran in the Gulf of Oman, so Iran attacked a civilian ship linked to the US in the Persian Gulf, hitting it with a cruise missile and USV, and the US backed down without responding
Iran has now established a pattern where it will certainly respond to any provocation by the US, and the US backs down without seeking further escalation. Trump is making fewer threats these days and is keen to avoid returning to war.
The US has expended 30-50% of its high end offensive arsenal and the same percentage of its high end BMD stockpile, which will take years to replace, while Iran has still access to 70%+ of its ballistic missiles, restored access to 80%+ of the missile base tunnels, and already resumed production of drones. Is Trump willing to lose another 30-50% of the US' stockpiles of these high end weapons to reduce Iran's missiles stockpile to 40% instead of 70%? I am not sure that trade off is compelling for the US.












