Both of you have valid points.
And who really knows what's going to happen? Israelis have made it some 'existential' struggle--they are in the Warsaw Ghetto / Concentration Camp mindset, if not some Biblical Amalek mindset, right now. They are even imagining 'digging' by Palestinians in the West Bank to repeat October 7 attack. They fear Hezbollah tunnel into northern Israel. There are about 200,000 Israelis displaced from the northern/southern parts of Israel, living in temp places/hotels, and those people wouldn't go back unless there is zero-threat. Bribes have been offered to Lebanon and Egypt by Americans/EU--to pullback Hezbollah from the border or to take in Gazans, respectively.
But one thing is for sure--without the American involvement, Israelis can't fight and win a two-front war. And as Alastaire is saying, American involvement will be very difficult in an election year.
I think we should all expect a major False Flag!!!