Bangladesh Socio-Political Crisis 2024 and onwards

Well things can change wildly in situations like this.

I got this wrong I can admit.

Hasina just acted out of character all of a sudden and lost her political acumen, but it was not just the quota issue but her losing China as well, which meant the BA would no longer support her.

She did not carry on her previous careful balancing act between India-China.

I think the Bangladeshi economy has been extremely crappy with little job growth. Hence the economic discontent

This is not just post-Covid. I think it has been crappy pre-covid.
 
I don't think you know the context. There's a general suspicion that Meloni has the hots for Modi. So they meme her jealousy every opp they get. This should not be taken seriously.
Yup them both having a conversation in Urdu/Hindi should be taken seriously . 🙄
 
They gave a rail corridor, which India can use in the event of war with China to avoid relying on Chicken neck corridor.

Increased bi lateral military training.

And also recently ordered vehicles recently.

Just because they haven't let an Indian base in Bangladeshi soil, doesn't mean they have not done anything. They know very well a drastic move will face serious resistance, that's why they have introduced little changes over time.

Yes thats bad but still peanuts compared with a scenario where a superpower occupies a large military base on Bangladeshi soil
 
Not sure how reliable is this news.

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Wow, india is throwing her away like used tissue paper and distancing away from her like a leper. Let this be a lesson.
 
@Afif , @Raj-Hindustani @Joe Shearer @Nilgiri

Possible reasons for India to be nervous if the US is indeed provided a foothold against China in BD?

Encroachment?
Balance altering?
Frenemy surveillance?
USA base in Bangladesh will lead to destabilisation of Bangladesh similar to what happened in Pakistan. India will simply fence off Bangladesh and cut trade ties. Bangladesh has no suppliers without India as it has only 2 neighbours - Myanmar & India. It has sea linkage but it can't afford expensive transport costs for medicines, agriculture products, cotton etc.

China will be unhappy and won't aid BD. USA can't give any help either as it is in debt and does not have money to spare. USA may be able to print dollars but there is a limit on how much foreign countries will accept the dollars. If USA overprints dollars, China and other foreign countries will not accept the additional debt which will result in unstable external situation.

So, giving base to USA will result in ruining of Bangladeshi economy. The only justification for BD to give base to USA will be to do a suicidal move to spite India.
They gave a rail corridor, which India can use in the event of war with China to avoid relying on Chicken neck corridor.

Increased bi lateral military training.

And also recently ordered vehicles recently.

Just because they haven't let an Indian base in Bangladeshi soil, doesn't mean they have not done anything. They know very well a drastic move will face serious resistance, that's why they have introduced little changes over time.
Hasina ensured that India gets nothing from BD. The vehicles ordered were low tech transportation ones, not high end radar, air defence, tank or any offensive ones. The rail corridor is not functional and never built. It was always just a memorandum on paper. That proposal was made by India for decades & Bangladesh has always been delaying or slowing it. If Hasina really wanted to favour India, she would have accepted the railway a decade back but she didn't.

In my opinion, it will be easier to deal with a hostile Bangladesh government than pretentiously friendly Hasina who behaves friendly but never does anything friendly. Hostile governments can be coerced into doing what India wants by threatening cutting supply of cotton, vegetables, medicines etc as India genuinely has the upper hand and is not relying on Hasina's goodwill
 
Wow, india is throwing her away like used tissue paper and distancing away from her like a leper. Let this be a lesson.
More likely, she ASKED to be sent to UK.

In India she has no future. What will she do? India can not deploy her army against a student protest and revolt in Bangladesh. So she will go to UK where all her wealth is. Its almost impossible to get an extradition from UK, so she will be fine.

It was her job to keep Bangladesh stable, she failed quite spectacularly in it.
 
Pretty big development in South Asia.

How will this affect bilateral relations with Pakistan and India.
 
Bye Bye banga baltu.

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Iraqis were celebrating death of Saddam Hussain, Libyans were celebrating death of Qadafi... I don't want to be that guy but I think it's not yet time for celebration. Army did 19 military coups in Bangladesh, they have long history of desiring power. I just pray that future of Bangladesh is bright and not like the mentioned countries.
 
Pretty big development in South Asia.

How will this affect bilateral relations with Pakistan and India.

India is out.

I don't support any cooperation with current Mafia run state pakistan.

Let there be transition form Mafia to elected representatives.
 
Iraqis were celebrating death of Saddam Hussain, Libyans were celebrating death of Qadafi... I don't want to be that guy but I think it's not yet time for celebration. Army did 19 military coups in Bangladesh, they have long history of desiring power. I just pray that future of Bangladesh is bright and not like the mentioned countries.


I would agree that this is a step into the unknown.

Last 15 years were relatively stable by BD standards.

However BD is a homogenous country and so the examples of Iraq etc are not appropriate.
 

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