Operation True Promise II - dozens of Iranian ballistic missiles hit Israel

[Pingle]

Interesing list
In my view on have vs dont have

Japan: on the treshold, but denied - Agreed and its not even a technical challenge for Japan if they want Nukes
Argentina: No - Yes they had ambitious nuclear program after folkland war defeat and had uranium enrichment facilities.... later they converted to civilian nuclear program but they surely have a knowhow...
Brazil: Maybe - yes can easily build...
South Africa: Maybe but probably not - They even tested in south IOR... Google South Africa nuclear program... you can even find images of dismantled south african nukes...
Myanmar: No, but probably a goal - Had capacity long back from late 90s.... later due to economy and other issues this was put on hold... but cannot be denied...
Iran: on the treshold - Yes already have it....
Egypt: maybe, probably not. - Have but older designs and we do not know how many are functioning now....
Sweden: No, but have the know how - Yes
Israel: probably yes, but uncertain - 100% Yes....
Italy: No - have technology
Canada: No - have technology
Ukraine: No - They had 3K nukes readymade... handed over to UN after independence...

 

[Zarvan]

This comment pretty much confirms Iran has nukes already. Excellent news. The entity days are numbered and this may just be the beginning of the end of western empire as we know it. If Iran is confirmed to be a nuclear power, ME will reshape and be dominated by Iran.

Not really as it would lead to many Arab nations getting nukes also

 

[Gabriel]

This comment pretty much confirms Iran has nukes already. Excellent news. The entity days are numbered and this may just be the beginning of the end of western empire as we know it. If Iran is confirmed to be a nuclear power, ME will reshape and be dominated by Iran.

dreamin, there's no nuke in iran, nuclear enrichment had been stopped long time ago since nuclear deal

 

[Taimoor]

Iran is couple years away from fielding a nuclear device.

Maybe but I have feeling they already have arrangement with someone to supply them which they can mate with their missiles on a short notice. You just dont pound a "perceived" nuclear power's military bases without backing yourself to deal with worst case scenario.

 

[Cipher212]

I do not mean to sound self demeaning here, but if Pakistan can get nukes, then anyone can.

 

[UKBengali]

You know I was thinking that Israel was 'baiting' Iran to a war to get an excuse to attack their nuclear sites.

Today I started seeing podcasts that their target is actually the Ayatolla himself.

That would be a drastic escalation wouldn't it? But more aligned with 'regime change' they've been talking about.

No capability dude and trying to hit the Ayotollah is all out war.

 

[Guynextdoor]

Maybe but I have feeling they already have arrangement with someone to supply them which they can mate with their missiles on a short notice. You just dont pound a "perceived" nuclear power's military bases without backing yourself to deal with worst case scenario.

No third party will give Iran nuclear weapons at this point.
China won't, Pakistan under no circumstances.
Russia will only posture. They know that if they do, then even India will stop buying oil from them. That kind of a dramatic escalation is not acceptable to anyone.

 

[Guynextdoor]

No capability dude and trying to hit the Ayotollah is all out war.

I was only reporting what I heard. I obviously don't understand on ground conditions there

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[FuturePAF]

With the talk of the Israeli planning on attacking Iran’s oil infrastructure, could the “unconventional” response be Iran using either chemical or biological weapons and/or attacking Saudi or Emirati oil and gas facilities? Both would have major ramifications. Iran could test a nuke and threaten to use it as well.

Btw, likely response by Israel would probably be this weekend, ahead of the October 7th anniversary and would be a strike on two Iranian nuclear sites. Will Iranian F-14s attempt to shoot down these Israeli tankers with long range BVR missiles when the planes are still over Iraq?

8:30-onward

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[tsunset]

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[drkrn86]

If they hit oil facilities, we will hit similar facilities. Israel has the upper hand in assassinations and controlling US foreign policy, and that’s probably the route they will continue with.

What similar (of value) infrastructure does Israel have that can cause financial loss similar to Iran?

 

[drkrn86]

There is a great danger to Israel's infrastructure.

Its entire infrastructure, such as power plants, ports, airports, factories, etc., will be easily destroyed.

Israel does not have much infrastructure, it is a small country.

Powerplants are difficult to bring back fast.
Attack on Ports, airports, and factories causes lots of financial loss (depending on what they manufacture)

 

[drkrn86]

The West will rebuild the infra at light speed.
Iran should also try to take out any military leader of. importance.

1. Rebuilding can happen once the fire settles.
2. You want to give Israel a valid reason to attack your leaders?

 

[UKBengali]

With the talk of the Israeli planning on attacking Iran’s oil infrastructure, could the “unconventional” response be Iran using either chemical or biological weapons and/or attacking Saudi or Emirati oil and gas facilities? Both would have major ramifications. Iran could test a nuke and threaten to use it as well.

No Iran would destroy Zionist infrastructure such as water and power of similar economic importance.

If it spirals out of control then the whole of the ME would be destroyed.

 

[FuturePAF]

No Iran would destroy Zionist infrastructure such as water and power of similar economic importance.

If it spirals out of control then the whole of the ME would be destroyed.

Your probably right, but if a significant portion of key Iranian oil infrastructure is destroyed, it’s possible Iran may feel the need to make the world pay with higher oil/gas prices by making the most western leaning Arab oil states also lose some oil/gas infrastructure.

This is why I think Israel (and/or the USAF) will try to strike a couple Iran’s nuclear sites as well as the missile production facility at Isfahan.

At the end The speaker says Iran would target the US allied Arab oil facilities in the gulf if they face a major attack

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