Meengla
Elite Member
And will Lebanon not lose even more once Israel is replenished after the 60 day break and with Trump as the President?Hezbollah is intact and not defeated
but Israel has been levelling high rise after high rise in Beirut and they has been putting alot of pressure on Lebanese government which is funded by USA
Lebanese have lost too much because Israel has been hitting the soft targets to force pressure on Hezbollah
that seems to have worked
Good post. Especially the bolded part but Trump may not 'like' only because of the political 'image' otherwise to him 'Palestinians', and by extension Arab/Muslims are a slur word.I read it the same as you, ie a staggered ceasefire first with Lebanon, and then with Hamas, all due to expire after Trump takes power. Israel, would then have to dare to start things "up again" on Trumps watch, which he wont like. In the meanwhile, the Americans will refill Israels ammunition stocks over this period ( just keep an eye on the air-bridge between the USA and Israel ).
Somehow I doubt it: We all know Iran doesn't want a regional war; actually no one except Netanyahu and a few extreme right in his cabinet want a regional war. But Iran showed the intent to escalate plenty of times before and unless Hezbollah is truly beaten, I don't see why Iran is backing down especially when Israel's fighting capabilities are lower than what it would be 60 days later.Also, Iran is pushing for this ceasefire, as it does not want a regional war that involves Syria any further ( pretty sure Russia is pushing for a ceasefire as it does not want Syria to be further destablished. ).
The ceasefire is with the government of Lebanon..Hezbollah is a political party (with an armed wing)..not the whole government..so this was sort of imposed on it..
If the Lebanese govt. had any control over Hezbollah then Hezbollah would have been reined in months ago. Power flows from the barrel of gun!



