Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

Another angle is will Jordan, UAE, Saudi Arabia and Egypt accept pro Turkish government in Syria, i doubt it and it will lead to more war. Also will Turkey allow SDF to establish their rule in Syria. If Bashar Al Assad government falls, we can see another fight between SNA and SDF, and possibly HTS v SNA.
 
Jolani claims he wants a Syria without sectarianism. So kill him, indirectly promote hardcore HTS elements to prominence, make them a problem from surrounding countries and for Syrian minorities. Then befriend the Kurds, who seem to be the only ones fighting, and forge a coalition with other minorities. But would be hard to draw them away from US influence.

But partically this is impossible. HTS has no reason to allow passage of weapons to Lebanon, it would disincentivize removal of sanctions by US.
Unfortunately, day after day seems more evident there is a secret agreement between Netanyahu and Erdogan. The first would give Syria to Erdogan if the last stop flowing material to HZ. That was probably the sentence that Netanyahu did when he said "Israel will change the face of entire Middle East". It is shameful for all arab countries and the entire world. Another Ribbentrop-Molotov pact that will finish in another World War.
 
Iran losing Palestine, Lebanon, and Syria since 10/7/2023 was not on my Bingo Card.

Good thing we have General Salami as Commander of IRGC. He for sure will know what to do. Ghaani might be the most disappointing Quds Force Commander we have ever had.
 
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More talk from Iranian liberals. Everything Solemani did reversing in a matter of days.

Even the users quick to label everyone a “Zionist” supporter are noticeably absent from these forums.

Very strange times.
 
Iran losing Palestine, Lebanon, and Syria since 10/7/2023 was not on my Bingo Card.

Good thing we have General Salami as Commander of IRGC. He for sure will know what to do. Ghaani might be the most disappointing Quds Force Commander we have ever had.

What's shocking is Israel said they will clean middleeast from anti Israeli forces and they're becoming successful. They harmed Hamas and committing genocide in Gaza, WestBank is neutralised, Hizbollah is still strong but once Syria falls, Hizbollah will have no support in Syria left so will be isolated, unfortunately it looks like internal uprising will take place against Hizbollah from Lebanon, and Syrian HTS type hate Hizbollah, I remember listening to a video during beginning of Syrian war when Wahabi rebels were claiming we will destroy Hizbollah.
 
what can we do to prevent this?

Israel will come after Hizbollah, and from Syria the rebels will sponsor anti hizbollah forces in Lebanon. The only option left for Hizbollah is to allow Lebanese army on the border, withraw from border region and only concentrate on defensive war if Israel invades. Internally they must keep eye on new forces who will over the years become anti hizbollah. Hizbollah will face great difficulties without Syrian support, look at Assad, he is struggling even with Russian and Iranian support and with supply line opened.
 
If Syria falls they will invade Lebanon like they tried to do back in 2013-2015. Then you will get a civil war in Lebanon.

There is no Solemani to rally the region and ethnic groups, Ghaani might as well be an Israeli spy at this point with how useless he has been.

If everything falls apart then Lebanon and Syria will be under Sunni and Turkic rule in alliance with Israel. Iran will only have Iraq as its buffer. Even in Iraq some groups dont like Iran for exerting so much influence and interfering in domestic affairs. So Iraq isn’t as Pro-Iran as people think. Mostly just some Shiites allied with the PMU and resistance axis.
 
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@Persian Gulf

Looks like our worst fears coming true.

Where is the pro-propaganda crowd? Disappeared? At this point they seem to the be Zionist agents they accused everyone else of being!
 
Iran pays out better than FEMA.


Reuters

Hezbollah to pay total of $77 million and rent to families affected by war​

Timour Azhari and Maya Gebeily
Thu, December 5, 2024

d091c4f7c9d66fbae82cb4775c7ee653

FILE PHOTO: Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sheikh Naim Qassem delivers an address from an unknown location
By Timour Azhari and Maya Gebeily

BEIRUT (Reuters) - Hezbollah has paid out more than $50 million in cash gifts to families affected by war with Israel, its leader Naim Qassem said on Thursday, as the Iran-backed group seeks to shore up its support base after a devastating conflict with Israel.

The payments of between $300 and $400 per person will total more than $77 million when paid out to all 233,500 families who registered, Qassem said in a recorded speech, thanking Iran for its financing of the effort alongside Hezbollah.

Hezbollah will also provide a lump sum of $8,000 to those whose primary homes were destroyed in the war, and $6,000 for a year of rent for those living in Beirut or its suburbs and $4,000 for those living outside the capital until they can move back home, he said. The payments would be financed mainly by Iran, he said.

 
This looks like the end of Syrian government and SAA. HTS are marching down, from the south the tribes are rebelling and overtaking territory, the Usa backed FSA are moving from Iraqi border to the centre and Kurdish SDF is moving South. We may see a big clash between SDF and HTS.

Syrian_Civil_War_map.svg.png
 
The future of Syria @Tamerlane @Mobius

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The future of Syria @Tamerlane @Mobius

I like some of the videos of Sheikh Imran Hussain but, I’m sorry, this one takes the cake in rubbishness.

He’s saying that the Sunnis of Syria should get united (good) and send a delegation to Moscow to file a petition with Putin to grant them control over Syria under Russian colonial control.

I’m ready to explode.

Does he consider Muslims to be of so little worth that they would accept Putin as their overlord? How is that different to the kinglets bowing to the US?

Seriously.
 
This looks like the end of Syrian government and SAA. HTS are marching down, from the south the tribes are rebelling and overtaking territory, the Usa backed FSA are moving from Iraqi border to the centre and Kurdish SDF is moving South. We may see a big clash between SDF and HTS.

View attachment 86805

Balkanization. It’s might just end breaking up into semi autonomous zones.

Modern Syria is an artificial construct of the British empire where they slapped together a bunch of tribes that don’t like each other and called it a country. That’s what they did in Africa and Iraq.

Uneducated Europeans who got to play King Maker.

Iran built up Palestinian resistance when no other Arab country would: then the Palestinian resistance went and did 10/07 with no prior warning to Iran and got their land nuked via conventional bombs.

Assad refused to share power and sanctions kept 90% of Syrians in poverty. So yeah no wonder there are rebellions everywhere. They thought Assad victory meant a return to pre-war. When that didn’t happen, they grew disenchanted.
 
Israel will come after Hizbollah, and from Syria the rebels will sponsor anti hizbollah forces in Lebanon. The only option left for Hizbollah is to allow Lebanese army on the border, withraw from border region and only concentrate on defensive war if Israel invades. Internally they must keep eye on new forces who will over the years become anti hizbollah. Hizbollah will face great difficulties without Syrian support, look at Assad, he is struggling even with Russian and Iranian support and with supply line opened.

It is actully the opposite keep up it´s fight with Israel they will get support from the rebels in that way but if they move away from the border they will see them as seeing them as more threat then Israel. Hezbollah should seize the chance to ally themselves with the rebels if it wants Israel gone..

Also there is alot of infiltration within Hezbollah ranks. The new Hezbollah is trash compared to Nasrallah who was actully respect because he was harsh towards Israel and the same with the one who succeed immediately but the third one is trash. All the Sunnis, Shia and Christians of Lebanon loved Nasrallah one way or another he was bullish against Israel. Hezbollah needs a very anti-Israel leader in that way he will have no enemies in region only friends.

I am 100% sure either Assad or Iran or someone within Hezbollah got Nasrallah killed because of his anti-Israel stance being to hardcore to some peoples likening that is why they also killed the second one but not the third one.

If you bring another rapid guy like Nasrallah it would be in the interest of everyone to arm him slowly and keep him in engaged with Israel in cat and mouse game to just fatigue them mentally before they are taken out completely
 
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