Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

Iran can keep and expand its axis of resistance to Sudan, Somalia and Libya and also develop nuclear capability.
All 3 of those nations are fighting a civil war in some form or another.
 
All 3 of those nations are fighting a civil war in some form or another.
It's not about those countries, but countries like Lesotho, Niger, Mauritania and rest of that wider area...They use Franc as currency, and their enormous resources are under French control...till now...
While Somalia Sudan or Libya are also included in this clashing for Africa, but in different terms...
All 3 of those nations are fighting a civil war in some form or another.
But that are ideal conditions for foreign involvement and taking positions...
 
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It's not about those countries, but countries like Lesotho, Niger, Mauritania and rest of that wider area...They use Franc as currency, and their enormous resources are under French control...till now...
While Somalia Sudan or Libya are also included in this clashing for Africa, but in different terms...

But that are ideal conditions for foreign involvement and taking positions...
If the Sunni and Shia Revolutionaries unite then they can overturn most obstacles.
 
It's not about those countries, but countries like Lesotho, Niger, Mauritania and rest of that wider area...They use Franc as currency, and their enormous resources are under French control...till now...
Yes recently de-Frankified west Africa is a good area to try to expand into.
While Somalia Sudan or Libya are also included in this clashing for Africa, but in different terms...

But that are ideal conditions for foreign involvement and taking positions...
Much like Syria, countries locked in existential civil wars are not in a position to do much outside their own borders.
 
If the Sunni and Shia Revolutionaries unite then they can overturn most obstacles.
If they are smart enough, as far as I know, there are some united Iranian-Turkish agendas, so finally got to know that is not impossible...

For westerners this mindset is not understandable, in any geopolitical turbulence, only option is being friendly or being enemy...

But complex is second name for this regia, Iran and Turkey are full scale frenemies, in full definition...
 
Months ago Jolani was talking of "massive investors" that would invest in Syria, and make Syria prosper, that "everyone is welcome to invest in Syria"

Where are they now? This is heartbreaking for Syrian people, but they asked for it at the end

At least it can serve as a harsh, sad reminder for some Iranians that wants a regime change
 
Months ago Jolani was talking of "massive investors" that would invest in Syria, and make Syria prosper, that "everyone is welcome to invest in Syria"

Where are they now? This is heartbreaking for Syrian people, but they asked for it at the end

At least it can serve as a harsh, sad reminder for some Iranians that wants a regime change
Most will never learn no matter how hard the lesson is!
 
😡😡😡

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If true, Iran would be losing a massive opportunity. We wonder why we have not seen SU-35s. IRI Today is synonymous with the Garar government. It appears some factions in Iran are ready to trade away Iran's military deterrence for green cards for their families, a guarantee against individual extradition, and a safe harbor for the billions of the country's assets that have been stolen and stashed abroad.
 
Good read

 
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister and Head of the Strategic Studies Center at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Saeed Khatibzadeh, said on April 18 that the Islamic Republic was “ready to provide support and assistance to the new Syrian government.”

“We officially declare Iran’s readiness to support and assist the new Syrian government,” Khatibzadeh said, according to the Iranian outlet Tabnak.

“We withdrew from Syria when it became clear to us that the central government does not wish to defend itself,” he added.

 
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister and Head of the Strategic Studies Center at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Saeed Khatibzadeh, said on April 18 that the Islamic Republic was “ready to provide support and assistance to the new Syrian government.”

“We officially declare Iran’s readiness to support and assist the new Syrian government,” Khatibzadeh said, according to the Iranian outlet Tabnak.

“We withdrew from Syria when it became clear to us that the central government does not wish to defend itself,” he added.

I think It is a smart move. Israel will start soon harassing Turkey interests in Syria. So whatever Irán can do for helping Syria and Turkey will help Iran also to shield airspace from any hypothetical attack. From underground bases to light AA vehicles will help to defend Syria from israeli attacks.
 
I still maintain that it was all coordinated by Qatar and possibly Turkey against Iran's interests. Hezbollah lost a lot in this fight. Syria was lost. The so called "axis of resistance" is in a much weaker position than it used to be before October 7th.
And Arabs are still going to normalize their ties with Israel.

This whole situation didn't hurt anybody more than the Palestinian people and Iran's regional influence.
Hamas's interests don't strategically align with Turkey and Qatar. Turkey is a nationalist nation and we know that. Qatar doesn't see eye to eye with Hamas. Qatar benefits from Hamas as it is a shield against other Arabs that threaten to bully or even annex Qatar. It helps them build a popular case against these governments and keep them checked.

We can rest assured there was no conspiracy. But we wanted to compel you to use the 'resistance' resources and tools against Israel, in action. And put you in a situation where you had little choice but to put it into practice.

Doesn't mean Hamas can predict everything and the outcomes perfectly. Hamas is not oblivious to the fact that the people of the region, and including people of West Bank, do not want to change anything and won't put any effort.

However, Hamas hit its peak in Gaza. And wanted to take revenge for Palestinians. And take a gamble for strategic change. Ansarallah understood the strategic implications of this operation and saw eye to eye with it. The rest of the people didn't. So now concepts and strategies will be redrawn.
 
If you were Sinwar, you know where the region is heading. There was your only chance for revenge and attempt at bringing about strategic change. Give something to Israel would have never expected. A traditional yet sophisticated military reprisal targeting the IDF southern division that the IDF didn't believe Hamas was capable of.

And the IDF neutralized the cross border tunnels with a large $1.5 billion USD border project and fence. They were not focused on other threats or distracted from Gaza. They monitor Gaza 24/7 more than anywhere else and are in constant war with Gaza. The perpetual state of conflict with Gaza and unpredictableness of Sinwar and the Qassam Brigades threw them off. They underestimated Hamas's influence inside of Gaza. And Hamas's brains. And willpower.
 

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