Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Immortals]

So, this whole idea that Iran has 3,000-4,000 MRBMs is nonsense. My guess is well above 5,000. Probably closer to 6,000-7,000.

I think the number is around ~5000 to ~10000

Numbers like 50,000 is a joke. First of all, most of Iran’s missile types entered service post 2010 and some even less than that g- few years. Many old unreliable first gen missiles like Shahab-3 were scrapped/retired or converted with newer warheads.

So assuming we only count production from 2010-2025, that’s 15 years x 12 months = 180 months. 50,000/180 =278 missiles PER MONTH for 15 years straight.

US produces less than 100 SM-3 a year and about 50-75 THAAD. Russia is estimated to produce about ~150 missiles per month between all categories of cruise missiles and Iskander. It’s highly unlikely Iran can out produce Russia in missiles. So 150 per month is a more reliable number for comparison. But Russia’s defense budget is probably 3-4x Iran’s historically speaking last couple decades. Russia also has mastered many missile related technologies and can produce them at or lower than Iran can.

So personally I think if Iran made even 100 missiles/month would be extraordinary and if 50% of them were long range (vs short and medium) than that means iran should have about 9,000 long range missiles in 15 years of production.

 

[tower9]

The USA is a 'has been'. They are broken internally. Society wise, their people are not interested in the continued survival of their ruling class. Already the bond market is demanding higher yields and they are at the maximum of what they can afford. The Europeans hate and despise each other and at the FIRST CERTAIN inclination of resource scarcity they will turn on each other, just like their history shows. Japan is already unable to sell its debt anymore, and NO Eurpean country can match Japan in productivity.

SO, the only real options the colonisers have is to bet on the self-doubt of the global south in general and the Muslim world in specific.

Pakistan, China and Iran should announce joing military exercises in the Persian Gulf.

The USA is a paper tiger, will withdraw and run away. The beating they got from China in the Korean War is a permanent trauma in their institutional memory.

The US is in no position to take on Iran let alone China. The Pentagon knows this. The Trump administration also knows this. They also know the financial situation is getting dire. This is why he is refusing to get involved in this despite enormous pressure from AIPAC.

 

[Persian Gulf]

It's not over yet. Zionists are blood thirsty creatures.
We should prepare ourselves for some hits, most likely in residential areas.

for sure. but today they got embarrassed and Katz looks stupid.

 

[Falcon29]

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

Accept third party cookies

 

[Persian Gulf]

I think the number is around ~5000 to ~10000

Numbers like 50,000 is a joke. First of all, most of Iran’s missile types entered service post 2010. And many old first gen missiles (Shahab-3 were scrapped/retired or converted with newer warheads)

So assuming we only count production from 2010-2025, that’s 15 years x 12 months = 180 months. 50,000/180 =278 missiles PER MONTH for 15 years straight.

US produces less than 100 SM-3 a year and about 50-75 THAAD. Russia is estimated to produce about ~150 missiles per month between all categories of cruise missiles and Iskander. It’s highly unlikely Iran can out produce Russia in missiles. So 150 per month is a more reliable number. But Russia’s defense budget is probably 3-4x Iran historically speaking last couple decades.

So personally I think if Iran made even 100 missiles/month would be extraordinary and if 50% of them were long range (vs short and medium) than that means iran should have about 9,000 long range missiles in 15 years of production.

we only used 80-100 missiles today and < 200 yesterday. the success rate even yesterday was high (30-35%) and today even higher, even on the very first days and the fact we are mostly targeting Tel Aviv and major cities

we can sustain 80-100 launches per day for a long time. that one hit in Tel Aviv today probably caused 300+ casualties. don't think Israel wants to take many more of those.

and Israel hasn't been flying over Iran for a while. even when they did we still launched these missiles from Tehran under their noses (supposedly). and their sortie rates are dropping. once we dig out the entrances to Imam Ali and Khorramabad and Kermanshah bases then we have many more options.

 

[CrniLabud]

Let me tell u what the idf will do, since they think they are soooo smart. They will do false flags in the us to blame iran or hamas and therefore drag the us into war.

Or, they will do something to us assets in the ME, the paid for politicians and generals will press it with trumpy.

Like try harder this is too easy to figure out. But, yea, I said last night this is israel’s maximum, 2nd day in they’re already crying for help.

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

The fact the evangalical crazies and hate filled americans are quite now like mice, tells you this last strike was good.

Their supremacy and hubris can’t comprehend that an eastern Muslim country can fight back effectively.

The racist evangelist fake-christians (orthodox and catholic church should declare them as non-christians) cannot handle eastern achievements in war, history, science, economy.

 

[StormBreaker]

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

Accept third party cookies

 

[TopGun786]

9 is just what they announced now. it will rise to 35-40

I bet it even more than 50.

 

[Tijani]

Hey, keep me out of the "Everyone" please. I have been trying to put sense into everyone since yesterday and a few others were trying the same, like @Meengla and @Hakikat ve Hikmet, etc. Yes, most others were being completely impatient and depressed though.

Forgive me if I missed your sane posts. Wasn't my intention. Sleep deprivation does some special things to an old mans mind and eyes, despite me being use to 5 hours sleep per night. It's been 5 hours combined sleep in the past three nights. Don't take it personal

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

The fact the evangalical crazies and hate filled americans are quite now like mice, tells you this last strike was good.

Their supremacy and hubris can’t comprehend that an eastern Muslim country can fight back effectively.

The racist evangelist fake-christians (orthodox and catholic church should declare them as non-believers) cannot handle eastern achievements in war, history, science, economy. That's why their adopted baby (the GCC) use the same frame against Iran. I see some of them even siding with wahabism in this same frame: "sunni arabs hate persians, we should support sunni arabs". They write this literally.

The other fun theory, used by these GCC arabs which infected even some sunni Turks was: Iran and Israel are playing theatre, their missiles hit emty places etc. etc., it's just a game, they fooling us true "mouselimbs".

 

[pashtunkoum]

Is there any credible news of activity by hezbollah in north ?

 

[BigMela2onin]

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

Accept third party cookies

 

[Persian Gulf]

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

Accept third party cookies

 

[Persian Gulf]

Is there any credible news of activity by hezbollah in north ?

no. they are staying out of it so far. disappointing. but Houthis are going strong. god bless them.