Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Immortals said:
1) Hezbollah is not in a state to fight Israel. It entire leadership is rebuilding and retraining. It will take a few years for Hezbollah to reach even 75% of pre-10/7 strength

2) Hezbollah has lost a lot of influence in Lebanon in the latest confrontation and the destruction that brought. The people of Lebanon don’t want HZ dragging the country into war for Iran.

3) backdoor unwritten rules of war. This is a 1 v 1 battle (with Yemen been in the war since the beginning of Gaza war).

As long as HZ/Iraq militias sit this out then Trump is likely not feeling compelled to physically join in. HZ and Iraq join then it becomes a multi party war


This is fluid situation and could all change if U.S. comes in and this becomes an existential Shite Crescent battle.
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If Hez had joined their ranks would have bolstered more then they could have imagined look at Hamas they got stronger then ever after the war due to so much recruits.

Warriors, battle hardeness and good fighters are fine tuned within wars.

The Lebanon war could have gone on for wallahi 10-15 years none stop but Israel can´t go more then 3-4 years in a conventional conflict.

Imagine the Syrian war and the amount of casualities both sides were taking for that 10 years and look both sides could take these amount of casualities due to manpower abundance but Israel can not take that kind of casualities in such prolonged war.

There was no way Israel was gonna roll thru them and if you remember they held them in that mountain position the Israelis even said it was super tough to move them even a centimeter all they had to do is keep going and do not abandon Hamas and keep the 2 front going.
 
This crazy psychotic Israeli is claiming Iranians are begging Israel to bomb the state broadcasting authority and kill tv anchors live on air

They itch to commit war crimes

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Based on traffic of business in the US you can tell what is going on. When the pizza store by the pentagon is busy late at night you know they are working overtime.

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p200 said:
Based on traffic of business in the US you can tell what is going on. When the pizza store by the pentagon is busy late at night you know they are working overtime.

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Gay clubs empty + Pizza places busy = large escalation imminent

It's a reliable formula for many years. Before journos used to take pics of the pentagon city parking lots but then the feds paid em a visit...
 
The entire holy land is burning all because of the right wing lunatic Israeli Govt, they never intended to live in peace, They will burn the hold land to the ground if it suits them, Netanyahu should've been arrested by Israeli police and replace him, he has destroyed Middle East peace for decades to come, shame on America to give standing ovations to the War criminal.
 
The world's largest publicly listed oil tanker company is refusing new contracts to sail into the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz following Israel's attack on Iran, its chief executive has said.
The decision by Lars Barstad of Frontline is an early sign of the widespread disruption to global shipping patterns expected as a result of the outbreak of conflict early on Friday.
The concerns are focused on movements through the Hormuz Strait, the narrow stretch of water between Iran and Oman that links the Gulf and the Arabian Sea.
About a quarter of global oil supplies and a third of liquefied natural gas production move through the strait. It is also an important conduit for container ships going to and from the regional hub at Jebel Ali in Dubai.
Barstad said that "extremely few" owners, including Frontline, were accepting charters to enter the region.
"We're not contracting to go into the Gulf," Barstad said. "That's not happening now." ....
paywall:
www.ft.com

Oil tanker owners reluctant to brave Strait of Hormuz, Frontline chief says

Israel’s strike on Iran raises questions about waterway handling quarter of world crude oil supplies
www.ft.com www.ft.com
 
Israel’s true strategic surface, the 1,200 square miles that matter, is terminally small. Strip away the uninhabited Negev and unstrikeable agricultural belts, and what remains is a hyper-dense, fragile lattice of power, industry, and C4I nodes stacked atop civilian density. No strategic depth, no room to maneuver, and no capacity to absorb. Every hit is a system hit.

Meanwhile, Iran operates from a defense-in-depth paradigm, 636,000 square miles of sovereign volume, dozens of hardened redundancies, and decades of war-conditioned infrastructure. But more importantly, Iran manufactures its missile inventory domestically at industrial scale. Israel does not. The Israeli war machine is a proxy scaffold: F-35s from Lockheed Martin, interceptors from Raytheon, C4I firmware with NSA backdoors, and kill-chain logistics that begin and end in the Pentagon.

This is why Tel Aviv’s confidence is not self-derived. CENTCOM is the real command spine, and the entire Israeli escalation posture is designed with one core assumption: the Americans will step in before the ammo runs out. But the calculus flips if the U.S. blinks, delays, or decides, under resource pressure from the Pacific or domestic unrest, that a second-hand war with a nuclear-threshold state isn’t worth it.
 
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