China pushes CPEC 2.0 despite fears

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BEIJING:
China is moving forward with the second phase of its $62 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) despite deep concerns among Chinese officials about security challenges, political instability, and Pakistan's ability to ensure timely completion of projects that stalled during the first phase.

The renewal of Beijing's commitment comes despite lingering frustrations over Pakistan's implementation failures after its 2018 government transition, which saw critical infrastructure projects grind to a near halt.
Chinese authorities remain particularly concerned about security threats to personnel, bureaucratic obstacles, and whether Islamabad can maintain policy consistency for the corridor that represents a cornerstone of China's Belt and Road Initiative launched in 2013.

A Chinese diplomatic official expressed cautious optimism tempered by practical concerns. "For the past one and a half years, we are witnessing consistency and betterment in policies from Pakistan," he said, while emphasising that "security remains our primary concern for our companies and investors."


The first $25 billion phase, launched with great fanfare in 2015, achieved limited success in addressing Pakistan's energy shortages and infrastructure gaps through power plants and road networks. However, the project's momentum dissipated following Pakistan's political changes, with multiple projects facing delays, cost overruns, and security challenges that tested Beijing's patience.

The corridor represents a crucial strategic priority for China, designed to connect the Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region to the Arabian Sea at Gwadar, providing Beijing with direct access to Middle Eastern markets while bypassing the potential maritime chokepoint of the Strait of Malacca. This connectivity is essential for China's energy security and trade expansion ambitions, making successful implementation critical despite the challenges.


"Pakistan has once again gotten a chance to rebuild its economy through the second phase of CPEC," the Chinese official said, noting the timing is particularly important as Pakistan "recently averted a potential default". The official stressed that "the country should not waste this opportunity," indicating both the economic importance and Beijing's apprehension about Pakistan's capacity to deliver.

The second phase shifts focus from infrastructure to industrial cooperation and technology transfer, though Chinese officials remain wary of implementation risks. Chinese companies have shown interest in joint ventures with Pakistani counterparts, particularly in waste management energy generation and mass transit systems, including a proposed high-speed rail link between Lahore and Islamabad. However, these commitments remain contingent on improved security protocols and implementation frameworks.

The much-awaited $7 billion upgrade of Pakistan's colonial-era Main Line One (ML-1) railways project is now at the centre of CPEC 2.0, a four-year initiative seeking financing from a consortium of bilateral and multilateral partners. The railway transformation represents both the ambition and the challenges of the new phase, requiring coordination among multiple stakeholders and continuous political support from Pakistani authorities.

Chinese officials have pointed to their own economic development model as inspiration for Pakistan, noting how Beijing lifted 800 million people out of poverty. "These investments can prove to be a fresh breath of air for Pakistan's economy and its people," the Chinese official said, while adding that success depends on whether "the country by large can avail this opportunity in its true spirit."

The new phase aligns with Pakistan's national policy agenda centred on the 5E's, export, e-Pakistan, environment, energy, and equity, and China's vision of building five corridors focused on growth, innovation, green development, livelihoods, and openness. This comprehensive framework aims to create sustainable economic development rather than simply constructing physical infrastructure, though Chinese officials remain cautious about Pakistan's execution capabilities.

The Chinese diplomats said that a fully functional CPEC would provide a secure gateway to Gulf and African markets, allowing cheaper trade expansion with Middle Eastern energy suppliers. For Pakistan, they said, it offers the prospect of industrial development, job creation, and economic stability at a time when the country is emerging from financial crisis.

Nevertheless, the success of CPEC 2.0 will ultimately depend on Islamabad's ability to address China's persistent concerns about security, political stability, and implementation capacity. As another Chinese official noted, "CPEC 2.0 is not merely about infrastructure; it's about ambition, innovation, and a shared future," making Pakistan's ability to ensure smooth implementation crucial for both countries' strategic interests, as we foresee a greater role and future for Pakistan both at regional and international level.
 
CPEC is going live in 2026. 5 new routes have been added. Iran and Afghanistan to also come onboard in next 2-3 years. The work will now be expedited.

2028 will be a good year to see our economy re-balance our GDP and witness our economy start to climb.
 
I highly doubt anything usefull will come out of this. The only thing it will bring will be more violence in Balochistan.
 
Fantastic news.

I wonder how's rebasing of the GDP is coming along for 2025-2026 considering they've got a lot more data this time around than in the past? 🤔
 
Fantastic news.

I wonder how's rebasing of the GDP is coming along for 2025-2026 considering they've got a lot more data this time around than in the past? 🤔

I think that activity for re-baselining is better suited for 2028. Many reasons stop it including now the floods and associated impact to the economy.


We need no fukking Infra projects , we need manufacturing industries that can produce exportable goods ....any dumbass with money can build infrastructure.... developing infra with borrowed money is the worst kind of investment.

You don't have roads connecting to business districts, how will you setup any business activity, like manufacturing, research, etc? How will people travel to work, how will supply chain work? How will goods be transported to other places including other countries?

The baseline for any business activity and a healthy economy is infrastructure buildout first. If we hadn't faced Indian and Afghan sponsored terrorism, we'd have at least enabled 5 business districts by now. But due to these terrorist attacks and security of the Chinese nationals, things had to slow down and now a large clearing operation will be completed first to clear some areas. Then economic activity will start. The Phase I infrastructure is ready to start working and industry to start setting up.
 
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CPEC 1.0 has proved one thing, that the current corrupt military and political elites cannot be trusted with a single dollar.

Can anyone share how much money came in with CPEC 1.0 and how many projects have been completed ?
 
CPEC 1.0 has proved one thing, that the current corrupt military and political elites cannot be trusted with a single dollar.

Can anyone share how much money came in with CPEC 1.0 and how many projects have been completed ?
You are the one who's making accusations . Onus is you to provide the details.
 
The person appointed to provide security to our Chinese guests working on infrastructure projects should be exposed and hanged in public no?

Who is that incompetent motherfucker?

Name.........anyone?
 
I think that activity for re-baselining is better suited for 2028. Many reasons stop it including now the floods and associated impact to the economy.




You don't have roads connecting to business districts, how will you setup any business activity, like manufacturing, research, etc? How will people travel to work, how will supply chain work? How will goods be transported to other places including other countries?

The baseline for any business activity and a healthy economy is infrastructure buildout first. If we hadn't faced Indian and Afghan sponsored terrorism, we'd have at least enabled 5 business districts by now. But due to these terrorist attacks and security of the Chinese nationals, things had to slow down and now a large clearing operation will be completed first to clear some areas. Then economic activity will start. The Phase I infrastructure is ready to start working and industry to start setting up.
Dude , name one country in the world who first build infrastructure and then business and industry......start from Europe to North America and then East Asia ......take the example of the biggest proponent of infra development 'CHINA ' ......did she first developed the infrastructure ? Hell no....she started with sweatshops , made money and then went on to develop infrastructure.
 
We need no fukking Infra projects , we need manufacturing industries that can produce exportable goods ....any dumbass with money can build infrastructure.... developing infra with borrowed money is the worst kind of investment.

ML1 railways upgrade that can reduce cost of transported goods by 4 times compared with trucks. OR oil pipeline that will again remove more trucks from roads.

Motorways? No unless its BOT with private investment. That DI Khan-Islamabad motorway was gigantic waste of money just to please Maulana Diesel. Hardly anyone uses it. Infact Pakistan shouldn't have build any motorway under CPEC.
 
ML1 railways upgrade that can reduce cost of transported goods by 4 times compared with trucks. OR oil pipeline that will again remove more trucks from roads.

Motorways? No unless its BOT with private investment. That DI Khan-Islamabad motorway was gigantic waste of money just to please Maulana Diesel. Hardly anyone uses it. Infact Pakistan shouldn't have build any motorway under CPEC.

Why did they even bother with balochistan and kpk. These areas are too underdeveloped and lawless to take advantage or yield revenue.

They should have focused on the port in karachi and building up the city's industrial and manufacturing and gone up into punjabi cities building up the transportation and infrastructure.

islamabad-lahore-karachi should have a high speed railway.
 
I highly doubt anything usefull will come out of this. The only thing it will bring will be more violence in Balochistan.
Balochis think they should get lion share because of their location but its actually combine effort military and civil leadership who have built ties with China. China would love to bypass Balochistan just to avoid the headache.
 
Why did they even bother with balochistan and kpk. These areas are too underdeveloped and lawless to take advantage or yield revenue.

They should have focused on the port in karachi and building up the city's industrial and manufacturing and gone up into punjabi cities building up the transportation and infrastructure.

Because retarded Nawaz hyped CPEC for political reasons. Then the vultures started demanding "share" in infrastructure projects. PTI turned against CPEC because KP was not getting this or that. To calm down Nawaz under pressure from Maulana Diesel build DI-Khan Islamabad motorway. Billions of $ debt that have no use.

There was no need for motorways anywhere under CPEC. Just invest in Karachi port and upgrade ML-1. Along with some coal power plants in Thar. And game is set for industrialization. Build Karachi-Lahore motorway with private investment when economy start growing.
 

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