Hezbollah-Israel Conflict 2024 - Lebanon & Occupied Palestine Territories

[Raiden]

Just see how the 9.9 millions of israeli people resist to the 450 millions or unfriendly neighbors, and compare their GDP per capita.

The answer to this lies on my 2 post above you.

Israel's 9.9 million survives in a sea of 450 million Arabs due to the fact that it can harness the combined power of the West to make sure the Arabs are deterred.

The moment the West lose its advantage, or collapse. Those 9.9 million Jews living in Israel and elsewhere could no longer play parasite to Western power because there will be no power anymore.

And the West is undeniably currently at the stage of decadence, it's only a matter of time before decadence transform into collapse. You guys simply tick all the boxes of a decadent society.

 

[Raiden]

The answer to this lies on my 2 post above you.

Israel's 9.9 million survives in a sea of 450 million Arabs due to the fact that it can harness the combined power of the West to make sure the Arabs are deterred.

The moment the West lose its advantage, or collapse. Those 9.9 million Jews living in Israel and elsewhere could no longer play parasite to Western power because there will be no power anymore.

And the West is undeniably currently at the stage of decadence, it's only a matter of time before decadence transform into collapse. You guys simply tick all the boxes of a decadent society.

Another recent events in a smaller scale :

Armenia (a nation of ~5 million) we're able to hold the Turks (Tr and Azerbaijan) with a combined population of close to 100 million and even occupied a chunk of Azeri land due to the fact that it could convince the two Turkish nation that Russia will be on their side.

The moment Turkey and AZ realizes that Russia is not that powerful after their performance in Libya and Syria. Armenia losses Nagirno Karabakh and even some Armenia proper itself.

 

[Nuffle]

View attachment 67353

As a comparison:

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israel bombs border crossings between Lebanon and Syria

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839253160788902015

Alleging that they are used to smuggle weapons into Lebanon

 

[Persian Gulf]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839256229157212285

Israeli "centre" Labor party opposes a temporary ceasefire unless Hezbollah fully capitulates and agrees to all of Israel's demands

this suggests there will be no ceasefire and the war will continue, likely with a ground invasion (not imminent).

 

[Persian Gulf]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839264227137302695

large impacts but on random hills. CEP is high

 

[Persian Gulf]

The Israeli army attacked 8 border crossings between Syria and Lebanon during the past hours.

In an Israeli attempt to undermine what it calls the transfer of supplies to Hezbollah

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839267282494640237

the good news for Lebanon is that Israel cannot also occupy these border crossings like they occupied Gaza's sole border with Egypt

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israel bombs south Beirut, another assassination attempt

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839278061897785586

Israeli media indicate that the target of the recent airstrike in Beirut is the head of Hezbollah's aerial forces.

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these guys refuse to leave their offices in residential high rises in south Beirut .... how many more of them have to be killed before they move somewhere else ?!

 

[Falcon29]

Israel bombs south Beirut, another assassination attempt

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839278061897785586

Israeli media indicate that the target of the recent airstrike in Beirut is the head of Hezbollah's aerial forces.

--

these guys refuse to leave their offices in residential high rises in south Beirut .... how many more of them have to be killed before they move somewhere else ?!

They are behaving like the PIJ. And any talk of ceasefire should not mean lay low. Hamas's commanders that killed are usually underground or just went out on the battlefield and died there because an entire city was being decimated at a time so the commander of the regional brigade would just fight. And Hamas would increase fire an hour before any ceasefire to test seriousness of it and show they're still on high alert.

Even if floor/office is in middle of complex, they can reach it. But more importantly there are spies gauging the place 24/7 for such figures. And they do identify them and report to Israeli/US intelligence.

 

[Falcon29]

A 21 day ceasefire would involve both Gaza and Lebanon. But that would mean Israel actually has to cede it's hostilities on Gaza and end the genocide there. But they've committed a horrible massacre there today. Which is why I believe they threw that out to give false hope.

 

[Falcon29]

They said they killed this guy way earlier in the conflict. So unless they mean the next guy that inherited the position, then they're just calling anyone commander of air force. Or other times missile force.
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Israeli Army Radio: The assassination in Beirut targeted the commander of the air unit for drones in Hezbollah

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839286696476631268

 

[Falcon29]

Netanyahu's office:

Netanyahu did not respond to the American-Israeli proposal, nor did he give instructions to stop operations in Lebanon.

The fighting in Gaza continues until the objectives of the war are achieved.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839227275620802824

 

[Developereo]

As a comparison:
View attachment 67356

One would have thought that, after this 2006 bombardment, Iran would have made it a priority to develop and deploy dozens of SAM systems across South Lebanon.

Especially after how Iranian drones helped Russia in Ukraine, Russia should return the favor and share at least S-400 level technology.

 

[Falcon29]

They're announcing it in this manner to give Hezbollah false hope and make sure he only deploys the minimum most firepower. It's an all out war in Lebanon. Hezbollah should not approach it as a skirmish, imo. If they're being hurt on a continuous basis they reconsider. If you take steps back or try to take steps down the escalation ladder, they see it as opportune to continue degrading your capabilities.
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Breaking | Israeli Army Radio: The Minister of Defense approved the continuation of offensive operations on the northern front

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839293620194591167

 

[Falcon29]

Hezbollah should approve a offensive operation as well. Such as saturation bombing of city of Safed with 700-800 rockets in one day throughout the day. That's how you deter. Israel is doing strikes all over Lebanon anyway and is it not holding back.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1839293434063941684