Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Persian Gulf]

Iran is kind of on its own it didn't do a bad job just ran out of missiles/launchers

most missiles in underground SSM bases were unharmed, just the entrances were repeatedly bombed and blocked so they couldn't be accessed during the war. so Iran did not run out of missiles or launchers, just couldn't access or use the biggest SSM bases in West Iran.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Most likely Spring - Summer of 2026 we could see renewed attacks

Or sooner than that we may see smaller attacks

Israel will do whatever to prevent an ISF force from deploying in Gaza

They know Hezbollah and Iran cannot respond in a powerful manner at the moment, only in a smaller manner. They may try filling 2026 timeline with such drama to avoid discussion of ISF force in Gaza. Israel wants Gaza permanently.

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by definition every missile exercise is preparation to attack Israel

this is a normal part of combat readiness and does not indicate Iran is preparing to attack Israel

IRI is defensive in nature and would never initiate such a war. the new Chief of Staff confirmed this himself only a few months ago.

 

[Arash]

destroying every above ground building at 20+ SSM sites

reducing Iran's rate of firing MRBMs to 1-5 per day

locating, tracking and killing the entire IRGC-ASF leadership and their accumulated knowledge and skills, including the Chief of Staff of the Iranian Army (Bagheri)

locating, tracking and killing 10-15 of the most talented nuclear scientists with direct experience on many aspects of Iran's nuclear program including via SEPAND

killing dozens of highly skilled iRGC-ASF missile teams (35 martyred in one strike in Khorramabad alone)

precisely destroying the Arak reactor

precisely destroying all above ground sites at Natanz enrichment site (including sites crucial for weaponisation)

destroying or rendering unusable the Natanz and Fordow enrichment plants, ending all known uranium enrichment in Iran even 6 months later with no sign that enrichment will resume in the near future

should I continue? we can debate whether these led to any strategic achievements, but please stop the cope.

Useless to continue, you are always exaggerating.

Iran weakness in this war has been the infiltration of the country by saboteurs.

Destroying near border ssm sites : yes
Destroying the same in the depth of our country : no, failure

Reducing Iran firing rate : even in the western media they acknowledge that Iran's firing rate diminished as Israeli defences vanished .....

Locating and killing iran commanders & scientists, yes 100% agree it was our major weakness

Destroying Arak & Natanz, come on these sites weren't even concealed or underground !!!!! What about Haifa , mossad HQ and israeli HQ in TelAviv????

As per all serious analysis I've seen so far, iran key weaknesses have been : 1/ being tricked in believing in diplomacy with the U.S. 2/ vulnerability to electronic warfare used to destabilize air defences and command networks 3/ high infiltration of the apparatus by foreign agents

On the other hand, key israeli weaknesses have been : 1/ wrong assessment of Iran's public opinion and military capabilities 2/ attrition tolerance near to zero 3/ high dependency on top level military hardware supplied by the u.s.

 

[Falcon29]

most missiles in underground SSM bases were unharmed, just the entrances were repeatedly bombed and blocked so they couldn't be accessed during the war. so Iran did not run out of missiles or launchers, just couldn't access or use the biggest SSM bases in West Iran.

Israeli estimate was Iran had 3,000 ballistic missiles before the 12 day war and 1500 by end of it. It fired 500 at Israel during that duration. So 1,000 were destroyed presumably.

But if they had 1500 they're likely going to save at least 1,000 as it's not easy to replenish that arsenal, takes more time.

It was more a deterrent program than being an offensive attack platform program.

It must be resource intensive and difficult to build production capacity of 3,000 such missiles a year. Doesn't appear realistic for Iran when other nations can't do such a thing.

If Iran had capacity to build 300 a month Israel would have certainly attacked. It was probably closer to 50-100 a month prior to war.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Destroying Arak & Natanz, come on these sites weren't even concealed or underground !!!!! What about Haifa , mossad HQ and israeli HQ in TelAviv????

so if our HVTs are above ground it doesn't count as a tactical achievement to destroy them, interesting

Mossad HQ building was not hit. the closest missile landed around 400m away from it. Not sure what "Israeli HQ" is. some residential buildings and an oil refinery in Haifa were hit, yet, but not sure why that's relevant in a comparison with Arak and Natanz being destroyed.

 

[Arash]

so if our HVTs are above ground it doesn't count as a tactical achievement to destroy them, interesting

Mossad HQ building was not hit. the closest missile landed around 400m away from it. Not sure what "Israeli HQ" is. some residential buildings and an oil refinery in Haifa were hit, yet, but not sure why that's relevant in a comparison with Arak and Natanz being destroyed.

No it's an achievement, definitely

But we also hit them very badly on their commands and economic centers

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israeli estimate was Iran had 3,000 ballistic missiles before the 12 day war and 1500 by end of it. It fired 500 at Israel during that duration. So 1,000 were destroyed presumably.

But if they had 1500 they're likely going to save at least 1,000 as it's not easy to replenish that arsenal, takes more time.

It was more a deterrent program than being an offensive attack platform program.

It must be resource intensive and difficult to build production capacity of 3,000 such missiles a year. Doesn't appear realistic for Iran when other nations can't do such a thing.

If Iran had capacity to build 300 a month Israel would have certainly attacked. It was probably closer to 50-100 a month prior to war.

zero evidence that 1,000 MRBMs were destroyed ... Israel claims it destroyed 100-150 missile TELs. even if that is correct, all those TELs were active and had a missile on them at the time of being hit, that doesn't come close to 1,000 MRBMs. and most MRBMs are stored in the missile bases, which were not penetrated (Israel only attacked the entrances).

I don't trust these Israeli estimates. they were caught releasing duplicate videos of strikes on TELs that were edited to show the strike from a different angle or with slight edits to make it look like a new strike. they did this several times, clearly designed to create a perception that they were attacking more TELs than they actually were.

 

[Shags101]

Iran didn't run out of missiles/launchers

The western bases were temporarily blocked

which part did I exaggerate about? in my list I did not say much about missiles, other than almost all above ground buildings at 20+ SSM sites were destroyed, which is true and verifiable from satellite imagery.

I didn't claim they stopped missile assembly. this wasn't Israel's main focus and although they destroyed the mixers, there are workarounds and it seems Iran has fully resumed significant missile production.

the scientists killed were nuclear scientists, not missile scientists.

first they removed the nuclear option, next time (if there is a next time) the target will be missile infrastructures and possibly leading missile scientists.

producing even 10 million missiles does not help if Israel has air superiority and can easily block key entrances and destroy excavation equipment for the short duration of a war.

Well it does help if it’s a first second third and nonstop wave against iaf airbases in the early hours let’s see what’s faster missiles that are covertly launched from underground silos deserts mountains keep on hitting those bases hit ben gurions runways so only one option for them they land in Arab countries or Cyprus

 

[tsunset]

Israeli estimate was Iran had 3,000 ballistic missiles before the 12 day war and 1500 by end of it. It fired 500 at Israel during that duration. So 1,000 were destroyed presumably.

But if they had 1500 they're likely going to save at least 1,000 as it's not easy to replenish that arsenal, takes more time.

It was more a deterrent program than being an offensive attack platform program.

It must be resource intensive and difficult to build production capacity of 3,000 such missiles a year. Doesn't appear realistic for Iran when other nations can't do such a thing.

If Iran had capacity to build 300 a month Israel would have certainly attacked. It was probably closer to 50-100 a month prior to war.

Where are you getting your numbers from? Random IDF-fanboy telegram?

 

[Shags101]

Where are you getting your numbers from? Random IDF-fanboy telegram?

Not going to lie will believe Israel when it comes to Iran but anything about Arab or Muslim groups it’s a complete lie propaganda material…..honestly though if Iran only has 3000 missiles before the onset of this war between Gaza and Israel and Iran had used around a 1000 or more missiles let’s say Israel was able to destroy a few hundred and slowed down the production but if Iran has only 1500 missiles after the war even if let’s say another war erupts if they sent them in huge salvos for several days that means they would run out in a week or less I after 30 years of Iran concentrating mainly on ballistic missiles I’m pretty sure the info is flatly wrong I remember reading the 3000 number like 20 years ago on the cia fact book thing if that’s even still around

 

[tsunset]

Not going to lie will believe Israel when it comes to Iran but anything about Arab or Muslim groups it’s a complete lie propaganda material…..honestly though if Iran only has 3000 missiles before the onset of this war between Gaza and Israel and Iran had used around a 1000 or more missiles let’s say Israel was able to destroy a few hundred and slowed down the production but if Iran has only 1500 missiles after the war even if let’s say another war erupts if they sent them in huge salvos for several days that means they would run out in a week or less I after 30 years of Iran concentrating mainly on ballistic missiles I’m pretty sure the info is flatly wrong I remember reading the 3000 number like 20 years ago on the cia fact book thing if that’s even still around

Israel didn't destroy 1000 missiles and 100 launchers

Else post your sources and proofs

I'm not going to bring back the primitive propaganda made by Israel since their creation

 

[FUB]

We hear all the time about the incompetence of IR security stablishment .

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[Shags101]

Israel didn't destroy 1000 missiles and 100 launchers

Else post your sources and proofs

I'm not going to bring back the primitive propaganda made by Israel since their creation

I think you should have added @Falcon29 just saying no one knows the exact number of anything to fair it’s more speculative than anything even Israel’s own intelligence is saying they may not have done a great deal damage to Irans missile or even nuclear programs …..if you can believe anything the Israeli intelligence leaks out

 

[Immortals]

We hear all the time about the incompetence of IR security stablishment .

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Russia is nearly as incompetent as IRI. Just look at how many Generals and high ranking officers they lost in the first 2 years of the war.

Russia like Iran doesn’t value human life, that much is clear when U.S. killed 100+ Russians in Syria and Russia quickly said they were “mercenaries”, in order to prevent having to answer the U.S. massacre. And let’s not forget the killing of the Russian pilot by Turkey and the lack of response by Russia.

Currently the only power that can stand up to the West is China. Neither Russia nor Iran have the ability to climb the escalation ladder like China can when the moment comes.

 

[kastor ville]

Well it does help if it’s a first second third and nonstop wave against iaf airbases in the early hours let’s see what’s faster missiles that are covertly launched from underground silos deserts mountains keep on hitting those bases hit ben gurions runways so only one option for them they land in Arab countries or Cyprus

I agree....they live and die with their air force, you don't need a military degree to know that's where you hit them. Also refulers......we have to learn to take out the refuelers.