ToddE
Trusted Member
I will pull my old post here when its all over, so far its going as it seemed.
My prediction was IRGC initiated inflation => Protests => US-IRI Standoff => Talks => Benign Military Exchange, probably mutually agreed => de-escalation and Internal Coup completed. Now non-ideological IRGC Larijani, Ghalibaf etc + Reformist current crop + will take over entire country, its 1 million strong military, 8 trillion USD worth hydrocarbon reserves. They will open some proportion of Hydrocarbon to USD against guarantees of foriegn investment into the hydrocarbon sector. This is what was proposed during Raisi+Abdollahian tenure when Saudis (Basically US) offered cash against hydrocarbon sector modernisation. Conservative dominant IRI showed no interest and we had a war. Then Raisi and his FM were killed. Previously Soleimani was burnt from inside. A slow coup is hapening.
My prediction was IRGC initiated inflation => Protests => US-IRI Standoff => Talks => Benign Military Exchange, probably mutually agreed => de-escalation and Internal Coup completed. Now non-ideological IRGC Larijani, Ghalibaf etc + Reformist current crop + will take over entire country, its 1 million strong military, 8 trillion USD worth hydrocarbon reserves. They will open some proportion of Hydrocarbon to USD against guarantees of foriegn investment into the hydrocarbon sector. This is what was proposed during Raisi+Abdollahian tenure when Saudis (Basically US) offered cash against hydrocarbon sector modernisation. Conservative dominant IRI showed no interest and we had a war. Then Raisi and his FM were killed. Previously Soleimani was burnt from inside. A slow coup is hapening.
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