Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[AZ_HighCountry]

What are updates just awake

You have at least a couple hundred pages to read.

 

[Tamerlane]

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[ToddE]

IRGC should not stop, throw everything with full force because enemy (17 countries) would not stop spilling Iranian blood in whatever way. Even if the Larijani led new system starts talks, IRGCASF should cluster fuk them all up so atleast majority of them think 10 times before touching Iranian nation again. The ABM/AD shield has failed completely against Fattah, K-4 and even Sejjil now. In some time the entire interceptor stock will be gone and then strikes will become even easier. This is a strategic decision IRGC has to make otherwise we will again be getting bombed by NATO, US, EU, Israeli in 2-3 months.

 

[EugeneP]

IRAN IS NOW MILITARILY NAKED

The IDF dropped over 2,000 bombs in 30 hours and achieved air superiority over Iranian airspace on Day One. Read that again. Air superiority over a nation of 88 million people with the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, accomplished before the second sunrise.

Here is what that means in physics, not politics.

The HQ-9B air defense ring protecting Tehran was inactivated. The S-300PMU-2 batteries that Russia delivered in 2016, the crown jewel of Iranian integrated air defense, were struck in the opening waves alongside their associated radar systems. The IDF conducted 700 sorties. CENTCOM hit over 1,000 targets. The New York Times confirmed that half of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers have now been destroyed across the June 2025 and February 2026 campaigns combined.

Half.

Iran entered 2025 with an estimated 3,000 ballistic missiles and roughly 400 mobile launchers distributed across hardened sites, tunnel networks, and dispersal positions refined over three decades. The IRGC Aerospace Force built the most sophisticated road-mobile missile architecture outside of China and Russia. Ghadr-1 variants with 1,950-kilometer range. Emad precision-guided reentry vehicles. Kheibar Shekan solid-fuel missiles designed specifically to evade Israeli early warning.

That architecture is being dismantled in real time.

The IDF released footage of F-35I Adirs destroying TEL vehicles (transporter-erector-launchers) on open roads. CENTCOM published video of Tomahawks striking hardened missile storage facilities. B-2 stealth bombers hit sites that survived the June campaign using 2,000-pound penetrating munitions. Israel-Alma’s battlefield assessment logged 62 separate waves of Iranian launches, each wave smaller than the last, confirming the progressive degradation of launch capacity in real time.

This is the Scud hunt problem from 1991, solved.

Coalition forces spent the entire Gulf War failing to suppress Iraqi mobile Scud launchers in the western desert. The kill rate was near zero despite thousands of sorties. The difference now: persistent ISR from space-based sensors, AI-assisted targeting, and F-35 sensor fusion creating kill chains that compress the detect-to-destroy timeline from hours to minutes. The mobile launcher that once survived by relocating between launches now gets struck during erection sequence.

And here is the implication no one is stating plainly.

Iran’s air defense network is the only thing standing between whatever enriched uranium remains and a future strike that removes it permanently. The 408 kilograms of 60% enriched material that the IAEA flagged before June 2025 was never fully accounted for. Defense Minister Katz admitted Israel does not know where all of it went. If that material exists in any recoverable form, the air defense architecture that would have protected it during a breakout attempt is now burning across 24 provinces.

Iran is not just losing a war. Iran is losing the physical capacity to protect the one asset that guaranteed regime survival: the latent nuclear option.

Without air defenses, without launchers, without command structure, the nuclear hedge is exposed.

The Islamic Republic just became the first nuclear-threshold state to be stripped of its deterrent in real time while the world watches.

(Shanaka Perera)

I have a basic question: Iran seems to have depended almost entirely on missile technology for its national defense for over 3 decades. If they have designed, developed (or acquired) so many missiles of various kinds, why is their targeting so poor? Most of the hits they seem to have achieved so far are civilian structures like apartment buildings and hotels. Most seem to be just random hits than intended targets. Hard to believe they intentionally targeted some 20-story apartment tower in Dubai in preference to, say, Israeli Airforce runways. Runways are 6,000+ ft long. They seem to have not hit even one runway or military plane on ground or navy ship at port.

 

[ToddE]

I'll certainly give the benefit of the doubt. Just commenting that particular post looked very similar to a couple from June.

Back then F-5E and F-14A/AM decoys/mockups were hit, F-4E/D mockups are a new thing. The video is new but its the same old trick and company that makes them. They even make and deploy fake Khordad batteries

 

[Cash gk]

You have at least a couple hundred pages to read.

What if my prediction is fulfilled? That is, Israel is going to be cooked tonight.

 

[ToddE]

I have a basic question: Iran seems to have depended almost entirely on missile technology for its national defense for over 3 decades. If they have designed, developed (or acquired) so many missiles of various kinds, why is their targeting so poor? Most of the hits they seem to have achieved so far are civilian structures like apartment buildings and hotels. Most seem to be just random hits than intended targets. Hard to believe they intentionally targeted some 20-story apartment tower in Dubai in preference to, say, Israeli Airforce runways. Runways are 6,000+ ft long. They seem to have not hit even one runway or military plane on ground or navy ship at port.

Why is Israeli and US targetting so poor that its killing 150 school girls?

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

What if my prediction is fulfilled? That is, Israel is going to be cooked tonight.

Then we will all find out at roughly the same time. In my case however, about 8 hours after you.

 

[ToddE]

What if my prediction is fulfilled? That is, Israel is going to be cooked tonight.

Remove US from equation, Jews have been handed their azz back to them one on one. US the hyper power is the problem.

 

[AZ_HighCountry]

Why is Israeli and US targetting so poor that its killing 150 school girls?

Ask the Israelis. I doubt the US deliberately targeted a girls school. If you have proof otherwise, I will gladly stand corrected.

 

[EugeneP]

Why is Israeli and US targetting so poor that its killing 150 school girls?

Israel and US seem to have made about 1,500 bombing runs in 24 hours. If they missed one (i.e. incorrect targeting), that is an error rate of 1 in 1,500. By comparison, every target that has been hit by Iran seems to be random/unintentional target.

 

[Tabmachine]

IRAN IS NOW MILITARILY NAKED

The IDF dropped over 2,000 bombs in 30 hours and achieved air superiority over Iranian airspace on Day One. Read that again. Air superiority over a nation of 88 million people with the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, accomplished before the second sunrise.

Here is what that means in physics, not politics.

The HQ-9B air defense ring protecting Tehran was inactivated. The S-300PMU-2 batteries that Russia delivered in 2016, the crown jewel of Iranian integrated air defense, were struck in the opening waves alongside their associated radar systems. The IDF conducted 700 sorties. CENTCOM hit over 1,000 targets. The New York Times confirmed that half of Iran’s ballistic missile launchers have now been destroyed across the June 2025 and February 2026 campaigns combined.

Half.

Iran entered 2025 with an estimated 3,000 ballistic missiles and roughly 400 mobile launchers distributed across hardened sites, tunnel networks, and dispersal positions refined over three decades. The IRGC Aerospace Force built the most sophisticated road-mobile missile architecture outside of China and Russia. Ghadr-1 variants with 1,950-kilometer range. Emad precision-guided reentry vehicles. Kheibar Shekan solid-fuel missiles designed specifically to evade Israeli early warning.

That architecture is being dismantled in real time.

The IDF released footage of F-35I Adirs destroying TEL vehicles (transporter-erector-launchers) on open roads. CENTCOM published video of Tomahawks striking hardened missile storage facilities. B-2 stealth bombers hit sites that survived the June campaign using 2,000-pound penetrating munitions. Israel-Alma’s battlefield assessment logged 62 separate waves of Iranian launches, each wave smaller than the last, confirming the progressive degradation of launch capacity in real time.

This is the Scud hunt problem from 1991, solved.

Coalition forces spent the entire Gulf War failing to suppress Iraqi mobile Scud launchers in the western desert. The kill rate was near zero despite thousands of sorties. The difference now: persistent ISR from space-based sensors, AI-assisted targeting, and F-35 sensor fusion creating kill chains that compress the detect-to-destroy timeline from hours to minutes. The mobile launcher that once survived by relocating between launches now gets struck during erection sequence.

And here is the implication no one is stating plainly.

Iran’s air defense network is the only thing standing between whatever enriched uranium remains and a future strike that removes it permanently. The 408 kilograms of 60% enriched material that the IAEA flagged before June 2025 was never fully accounted for. Defense Minister Katz admitted Israel does not know where all of it went. If that material exists in any recoverable form, the air defense architecture that would have protected it during a breakout attempt is now burning across 24 provinces.

Iran is not just losing a war. Iran is losing the physical capacity to protect the one asset that guaranteed regime survival: the latent nuclear option.

Without air defenses, without launchers, without command structure, the nuclear hedge is exposed.

The Islamic Republic just became the first nuclear-threshold state to be stripped of its deterrent in real time while the world watches.

(Shanaka Perera)

obviously ai-generated essay

 

[ToddE]

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Some Persian Gulf country is asking for it again.

 

[Cash gk]

Remove US from equation, Jews have been handed their azz back to them one on one. US the hyper power is the problem.

American assets become liability for host countries

 

[Owaiz]

CNN is reporting that Saudi Arabia will retaliate if American assets are attacked again by Iran on Saudi territory. So, the country that was receiving security protection will now be responsible for providing security to those assets.
This means those American assets have now become a liability for Saudi Arabia.
In fact, American assets may now be considered a liability for any country hosting them. That is my understanding at this point

The Americans are not in Saudi Arabia to protect the country. They are there for the protection of the Al Sauds from the local population and others. The same is true for the Al Nahyans, Al Maktums, Al Thanis and the others.

10 Pakistanis were shot in Karachi today by the police.

It was not Sindh Police that used live bullets, but the security guards from inside the consulate. Reuters has reported on this.

Political Scene in USA as Trump's rating Drop for starting war without consent from Congress (OR Member of Parliament for those who are familiar with UK style government)

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It seems the steam is building up against Trump locally

You won't see this on BBC or CNN

Trump should hire Gallup Pakistan to do his polling. He will have a 99% approval rating.