Iranian Chill Thread

Persian Gulf said:
"strategic patience"
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they need to do a nuclear test launch. Considering all the chaos in the region, that act would be the ultimate act of strategy. After that, Iran wud be able to strike Israel at will and there woudnt be damn thing anyone wud dare to do about that.
 
Xerxes22 said:
they need to do a nuclear test launch. Considering all the chaos in the region, that act would be the ultimate act of strategy. After that, Iran wud be able to strike Israel at will and there woudnt be damn thing anyone wud dare to do about that.
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it will take at least a few months to 1) enrich sufficient uranium, 2) organise and conduct a test, 3) weaponise/miniaturise the uranium into a feasible warhead to be delivered for a IRBM

Iran is under 24/7 IAEA (and Mossad/CIA/etc) monitoring in all parts of its nuclear supply chain, a rush to a weapon is not so easy (and there is no political will for such a brave step within the IRI regardless)
 
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Another PR disaster by a IRGC general today

Our PR departments need serious improvement
 
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???
 
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Xerxes22 said:
Any speculations on what the Iranian response would be like to the assasination of its commander? I doubt anything significant looking at the past events, but they do need to respond big.
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Barring the garbage coming from IRI officials in this regard, coupled with an outrageously poor PR engine, I won’t expect much.

Having said that, I imagine this as Iran in a football game. Last 15 minutes and 2-0 ahead. The opponent is fouling and has taken out a bunch of our players including our goalkeeper. If Iran reacts, it will hinder her advantage and possibly destroy it. So Iran carries on the game without reacting until it ends with a solid victory.

The strategy is painful to watch. On principle, the opponent must get yellow or red cards which they aren’t and they will continue to foul since they have nothing to lose.

Beyond all this, these events are manifestations of the IRI’s fundamental lack of understanding of PR and messaging as one that is as important as any military hardware..

And so it goes.
 
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sadly true, the Iranian diaspora is a liability rather than an asset for Iran, and this is the consequence
 
Persian Gulf said:
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sadly true, the Iranian diaspora is a liability rather than an asset for Iran, and this is the consequence
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The Iranian diaspora is by far the worst in the world when compared to China or Russia /others
 
I always think about what would happen if Trump/Bolton gets assassinated..' The US army is going to war just for the sake of Bolton/Trump that are not even elected
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Kidnapping/straight up shooting

I mean to avenge Soleimani this would be the most eye for an eye vengeance, even if the US and Isral are struggling in Gaza and will more than likely sign a loser ceasefire, this has nothing to do with Soleimani but basic region control that Iran does since decades
 
Russia launched one of its biggest missile/drone attacks against targets in Ukraine yesterday, here are claimed Ukrainian interception numbers:

114 of 153 missiles/drones have been neutralized.

The detailed breakdown of destroyed objects of what we know:
- 87 of 90 Kh-101/Kh-555/Kh-55 cruise missiles
- 27 of 36 Shahed-136/131 UAVs
- 0 of 14 ballistic missiles (S-300, S-400, Iskander-M)
- 0 of 5 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal
- 0 of 8 Kh-22

So Kh-55/101 (Russian origin of Soumar-class LACM) had worst success rate with only 3% evading air defences, Shahed-136/131 had a 25% success rate (impressive considering low cost) whilst ballistic missiles (including Kinzhal hypersonic missile) had a 100% success rate (only Patriot can intercept these)
 
Persian Gulf said:
Russia launched one of its biggest missile/drone attacks against targets in Ukraine yesterday, here are claimed Ukrainian interception numbers:

114 of 153 missiles/drones have been neutralized.

The detailed breakdown of destroyed objects of what we know:
- 87 of 90 Kh-101/Kh-555/Kh-55 cruise missiles
- 27 of 36 Shahed-136/131 UAVs
- 0 of 14 ballistic missiles (S-300, S-400, Iskander-M)
- 0 of 5 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal
- 0 of 8 Kh-22

So Kh-55/101 (Russian origin of Soumar-class LACM) had worst success rate with only 3% evading air defences, Shahed-136/131 had a 25% success rate (impressive considering low cost) whilst ballistic missiles (including Kinzhal hypersonic missile) had a 100% success rate (only Patriot can intercept these)
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I thought it was 154/153
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