Cicero
Registered Member
Maybe, maybe not. Lets not exaggerate looking at live feeds of Dubai and things look pretty intact, localized impacts from 45 suicide drones is something to disrupt a country's economy and logistics but I see no evidence of widespread destruction. When you look at the casualties in the Gulf whether its civilians or soldiers its all relatively low given that thousands of drones and hundreds of missiles have been fired, it seems believable that the interception rate is pretty high. I think Iran is banking on two things: 1. Despite limited success, its stranguling the economy and causing a disproportionate impact on energy prices and 2. The GCC countries run out of interceptors which will increase Iran's efficacy rate.For some reason those interceptions seem exaggerated given the destruction we have seen on here within the UAE.
I think the first point is more likely for success than the second. The geography of the Straight of Hormuz allows Iran to block transport with limited force and as well as ground the Gulf economies to a halt. On the second point I think its already clear today that Iran has lost complete control of its air-space and the bombing sorties by the Israel/US limit its ability to launch large scale missile attacks (which is they are mostly targeting the Gulf countries and not Israel as much). Time will tell if I'm right.







