Iran has three weeks before its oil storage facilities fill up. Iran needs to be able to safely export its oil cargo unmolested through the Strait of Hormuz. Right now nothing is moving beyond the Strait. The other GCC nations currently have greater storage capacity and alternate albeit lower capacity export terminals beyond the strait to delay the storage crisis so they can wait five or six week. For that reason, I believe this conflict will not last beyond the end of March. If it does it will trigger the start of a global financial crisis.. But before that I expect Iran will run out of money. But if Trump got desperate and decided to force the issue he could take over Kharg Island and control 90% of Iranian oil exports indefinitely.









