Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Immortals]

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[PakSword]

The government has introduced some measures where if you move due to security concerns, they will be billed. Otherwise the Ajman boys @Trailer23 and @StormBreaker can help.

Kuch nahi hua to let me know. shayad ye ghorib apke kaam ajaye.

Thank you bro. I have a friend who also lives alone and his apartment is at a safe distance. He is pushing me to move to his apartment.

Thank you for offering by the way. I will see what I have to do. Today, my visa to Oman got rejected for no reason as well. lol

 

[TallGuy]

Iran won’t surrender before the 40 day Anniversary of Khamenai. It’s bad optics.

The problem with killing Khamenai is it puts Iran in an awkward position if it negotiates. It can actually destabilize the republic more than the war itself if it negotiates too soon as it appears the system is too weak and with no honor to fight for their spiritual, political, religious leader of the revolution.

Thus the war will simply go on. Israel and U.S. sortie rates will begin to drop. More and more F-22’s and F-35s will enter maintenance protocol and won’t be flight ready which means more and more reliance on F-15’s and older aircraft. People forget how many hours of maintenance and F-22 needs for every flight hour. And right now the military is stressing these 5th gen fighters on 24/7 duty.

So there is a point within the coming days that Iran should theoretically if it still has a decent drone and missile stockpile, be able to create more and more damage on PGCC and Israeli assets.

The first week or two always goes to the attacking power. If the defender can survive and reorganize then the real war begins. (See Ukraine-Russia)

great post! you summed it well but "Surrender" not the word. ceasefire is correct word

 

[Persian Gulf]

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Iranian attacks against US targets in UAE and Qatar continue now

 

[ToddE]

Iran won’t surrender before the 40 day Anniversary of Khamenai. It’s bad optics.

The problem with killing Khamenai is it puts Iran in an awkward position if it negotiates. It can actually destabilize the republic more than the war itself if it negotiates too soon as it appears the system is too weak and with no honor to fight for their spiritual, political, religious leader of the revolution.

Thus the war will simply go on. Israel and U.S. sortie rates will begin to drop. More and more F-22’s and F-35s will enter maintenance protocol and won’t be flight ready which means more and more reliance on F-15’s and older aircraft. People forget how many hours of maintenance and F-22 needs for every flight hour. And right now the military is stressing these 5th gen fighters on 24/7 duty.

So there is a point within the coming days that Iran should theoretically if it still has a decent drone and missile stockpile, be able to create more and more damage on PGCC and Israeli assets.

The first week or two always goes to the attacking power. If the defender can survive and reorganize then the real war begins. (See Ukraine-Russia)

War will go on until Russia re-enters the oil n gas market in full swing, which this war was mostly about. They just won back two huge markets through Trump. Weapons do not matter that much if prolonging is needed.

 

[Ali_Baba]

Turkey considering possible F-16 deployment to northern Cyprus

Trump accuses Starmer of seeking to 'join wars after we've already won' and says UK aircraft carriers not needed

Meanwhile, Iran continues attacks on Gulf states as UAE officials say a Dubai resident has been killed by falling shrapnel.

www.bbc.co.uk

Turkey is examining the possibility of deploying F-16 Fighting Falcon jets to the island of Cyprus as part of security planning linked to the self-declared Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, according to reports in Turkish Cypriot media.

Citing sources from the Turkish defence ministry, the reports say that, in light of recent developments in the region, plans are gradually being drawn up to strengthen the territory’s security, with the possible deployment of F-16 aircraft among the options under consideration.

The same sources say the planning is being assessed within the broader context of regional developments and what Ankara describes as evolving security needs.

 

[ToddE]

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Our Commander looks like he is working for General M. Bison's Shadaloo, delivering missiles and drones from their secret bunkers.

 

[Trailer23]

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Iranian attacks against US targets in UAE and Qatar continue now

Well, I personally saw the Shahed-136 earlier this morning (before it went boom-BOOM...

...or was it the LUCAS.

 

[clutch]

Thank you bro. I have a friend who also lives alone and his apartment is at a safe distance. He is pushing me to move to his apartment.

Thank you for offering by the way. I will see what I have to do. Today, my visa to Oman got rejected for no reason as well. lol

You should head to the Oman border and ask for safe passage to Pakistan (or where you want/can go).

You can cite the following UN laws that Oman is a signatory to:

International humanitarian law (IHL), specifically the Geneva Conventions of 1949 and their Additional Protocols, mandates that civilians in a war zone be protected and allowed to leave, but it does not contain a specific, universal UN law that waives visa requirements for exiting to another country. Safe passage is generally arranged through ad hoc agreements between parties to a conflict.

https://opil.ouplaw.com/display/10.1093/law:epil/9780199231690/law-9780199231690-e396?d=%2F10.1093%2Flaw%3Aepil%2F9780199231690%2Flaw-9780199231690-e396&p=emailAYgIxszF2Wjr2&print#:~:text=Safe%20conducts%20also%20may%20be%20granted%20to%20entitle%20passage%20of,2).

 

[Persian Gulf]

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the drone only has 50km range, suggesting it was launched from inside Iran

 

[MastanKhan]

Or that noone dared to sell high tech weaponary to Iran due to extreme western pressure. Similar to how noone sells to North Korea. Iran then decided to invest everything in to ballistic, cruise missiles, built underground cities etc. The question is have is when will Iran run out of these missiles or what if Usa Israel manage to neutralise them via destroying the launchers. Iran will then be sitting duck.

Hi,

Timing is everything---. They had enough time to procure the aircraft package---.

 

[r3alist]

Hi,

Timing is everything---. They had enough time to procure the aircraft package---.

But the training and the supplies and the maintenance infrastructure? And having a trusted supplier

 

[El Sidd]

Thank you bro. I have a friend who also lives alone and his apartment is at a safe distance. He is pushing me to move to his apartment.

Thank you for offering by the way. I will see what I have to do. Today, my visa to Oman got rejected for no reason as well. lol

He is not wrong. Atleast for the weekend.

 

[Immortals]

. Weapons do not matter that much if prolonging is needed.

Weapons are needed to keep the Bankers at Lloyds of London in risk off.

It’s not Iran that closed the strait of Hormuz. It’s Lloyd’s of London that did it. With the world’s largest and one of the oldest insurers refusing to insure cargo, no ship is willing to risk that financial liability. Many didn’t even accept US offer to insure.

As long as the insurers feel that Iran poses a risk to the cargo transit, they won’t insure, which keeps the strait effectively closed without mines or speedboats needed.

 

[Bratva]

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Iranian attacks against US targets in UAE and Qatar continue now

And this is why Iran cant be trusted at this moment. What is the point of attacking Qatar? it's day 8 and you keep attacking Udeid airbase hoping what actually ?