Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[UKBengali]

I doubt it, Iran is launching at best 15-20 missiles a day usually in 1-2 salvos at a time. It's relatively easy to intercept. People forget that during the June War the Salvos were often 20-30 missiles at a time. It's the reason why the casualties were higher. Up until now, their has been only one mass casualty event when a bunker was struck killing 9 people. Meanwhile Israel is hitting hundreds of targets per day. You can't hide deaths and funerals. Iran's ability to hit Israel was greatly reduced in a space of 24-48 hours which is why they are going after the GCC more since its easier. The question is whether full deterrence will be established or not, their was massive declines in missile launches to Israel by day 4, but it seems the rate of decline has slowed or stopped. Best case scenario they can keep up 15-20 missile launches per day with numerous 1-2 missile salvos, will prevent Israel from opening up its airport and general economy but won't cause mass destruction and casualties. We need to be realistic at this point.

Iran's missile firings are showing similar pattern to what happened during 12 day war in June 2025.

15-20 missiles probably needs 30-40 interceptots like SM-3/THAAD/ARROW 2/3 to intercept reliably, and they can only last another 5-7 days before significant depletion kicks in.

Remember now heavier missiles like Khorramshahr are being used, and not only do they have larger warheads but higher penetration capability than earlier waves of missiles.

Iran just needs to keep going and once the ABM shield and drones are degraded sufficiently, then it will be able to cause significant damage to Zionist entity.

 

[Ali_Baba]

It’s up to Cypriotes, and GCC Arab citizens to kick out these U.K. and American criminal bases from their country’s.

On BBC Newsnight yesterday, the Cypriot MPs were questioning how the UK having those bases are in their interests or not, with the undertone that they may/will ask the UK to close them down once this current conflict is all over.

 

[Ali_Baba]

China only provided BEIDOU satellite. At the moment China would rather watch U.S fight a long stupid war.

China is not a factor in this war at all. They have done nothing to help Iran it seems, even simple things like intelligence information/satellite access etc, it seems to be the Russians who are providing that.

 

[PakSword]

Drone!

 

[clutch]

1/8 was huge.. I don't know about the impacts as I was doing Iftari.

I hope you are safe. Including all innocent people.

But the UAE brought this upon themselves through their support of the Zionist State and harboring American bases on their soil. Iran has 100% right to attack and defend itself.

GCC needs to learn a lesson. FAFO.

 

[Immortals]

None of the sides know what they want. This is a true stalemate situation.

Trump wants out, he is making bizarre claims of 50 ships and what not to create fake victory and claim it. Israelis have no longer got the control of their skies and are receiving cluster munition on their faces, hiding casualties through extreme censorship. They wanted Khamenei gone, IRGC fought 10 times more aggressively post his departure, might even go nuclear now that fatva is gone, thanks to Israelis. They cant invade Iran so what do they do after this ? Involve Kurds ? Iran-Turkey-Iraq willall join hands.

Iranians do not know what do they want out of this either ? continue fight to what purpose, IRGC wont get deterred and keep firing but civilian infrastructure and casualties will accumulate at USAF hands ? THAADs, bases, radarsm other assets in region no longer exist (for now), They have landed every type of missile in Israel. Now what ?

IMO everyone wants to escape from this war now but they are waiting for one side to make the first move.

Iran won’t surrender before the 40 day Anniversary of Khamenai. It’s bad optics.

The problem with killing Khamenai is it puts Iran in an awkward position if it negotiates. It can actually destabilize the republic more than the war itself if it negotiates too soon as it appears the system is too weak and with no honor to fight for their spiritual, political, religious leader of the revolution.

Thus the war will simply go on. Israel and U.S. sortie rates will begin to drop. More and more F-22’s and F-35s will enter maintenance protocol and won’t be flight ready which means more and more reliance on F-15’s and older aircraft. People forget how many hours of maintenance and F-22 needs for every flight hour. And right now the military is stressing these 5th gen fighters on 24/7 duty.

So there is a point within the coming days that Iran should theoretically if it still has a decent drone and missile stockpile, be able to create more and more damage on PGCC and Israeli assets.

The first week or two always goes to the attacking power. If the defender can survive and reorganize then the real war begins. (See Ukraine-Russia)

 

[El Sidd]

I can't.. Rent too high. I am outside of the city at the moment.. My colleagues want me to stay with them as I am alone, but it's ok.

The government has introduced some measures where if you move due to security concerns, they will be billed. Otherwise the Ajman boys @Trailer23 and @StormBreaker can help.

Kuch nahi hua to let me know. shayad ye ghorib apke kaam ajaye.

 

[PakSword]

I hope you are safe. Including all innocent people.

But the UAE brought this upon themselves through their support of the Zionist State and harboring American bases on their soil. Iran has 100% right to attack and defend itself.

GCC needs to learn a lesson. FAFO.

I hope the conflict ends soon.

 

[rishi7887]

There is nothing to worry. India could assist Iran.

Not a chance. Modi is a cuck. He's never going to cross the Americans or Israelis. Right now India has been reduced to being an American colony. This is not Indira Gandhi, who gave 0 f***s about what the Americans wanted. The Indian government is under such pressure that they couldn't even condemn the school bombings, the bombing on Gandhi hospital or the sinking of IRIN Dena right in their backyard.

 

[KingQamaR]

On BBC Newsnight yesterday, the Cypriot MPs were questioning how the UK having those bases are in their interests or not, with the undertone that they may/will ask the UK to close them down once this current conflict is all over.

Cypriot Citizens understand they are being used , for no good reason. I can not say the same for GCC Arabs

 

[r3alist]

 

[Immortals]

 

[PakSword]

The government has introduced some measures where if you move due to security concerns, they will be billed. Otherwise the Ajman boys @Trailer23 and @StormBreaker can help.

Kuch nahi hua to let me know. shayad ye ghorib apke kaam ajaye.

Thank you bro. I have a friend who also lives alone and his apartment is at a safe distance. He is pushing me to move to his apartment.

Thank you for offering by the way. I will see what I have to do. Today, my visa to Oman got rejected for no reason as well. lol

 

[TallGuy]

Iran won’t surrender before the 40 day Anniversary of Khamenai. It’s bad optics.

The problem with killing Khamenai is it puts Iran in an awkward position if it negotiates. It can actually destabilize the republic more than the war itself if it negotiates too soon as it appears the system is too weak and with no honor to fight for their spiritual, political, religious leader of the revolution.

Thus the war will simply go on. Israel and U.S. sortie rates will begin to drop. More and more F-22’s and F-35s will enter maintenance protocol and won’t be flight ready which means more and more reliance on F-15’s and older aircraft. People forget how many hours of maintenance and F-22 needs for every flight hour. And right now the military is stressing these 5th gen fighters on 24/7 duty.

So there is a point within the coming days that Iran should theoretically if it still has a decent drone and missile stockpile, be able to create more and more damage on PGCC and Israeli assets.

The first week or two always goes to the attacking power. If the defender can survive and reorganize then the real war begins. (See Ukraine-Russia)

great post! you summed it well but "Surrender" not the word. ceasefire is correct word

 

[Persian Gulf]

Iranian attacks against US targets in UAE and Qatar continue now