Besides 3 Myanmar and 3 Nigerian JF17s, have any other deals been signed yet? Is the Azerbaijan contract signed and real or still in discussion?
Azeris bought a fair few. Allegedly up to 40.
how many did they buy or are they doing the same BS as what others did..ie will buy 2-3 and test it first. lot of hype from Khwaja Asif and fanboys here on Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Argentina and how this is transform Pakistan economy etc but has anything real been signed?
At the time of the Argentinian evaluation, i was in regular communication with a close aide of their brig general isaac, who was their COAS basically. They REALLY liked the JF-17, particularly in terms of weapons package and financing. It was the govt who was dragging their feet under the pressure of the US. The JF-17 was the preferred choice, over Tejas and the F-16 at the time, but the govt had fell to US pressure, leading to the deal being canned. It was a purely political play. They were really impressed.
In terms of KSA, etc, it was all utter nonsense anyway. Some kids at Reuters were having the time of their lives selling JF-17s every day. I would ignore anything that came from them. The GoP even denied them lol.
With Iraq, originally there was a deal to sell shahpar 2's, alongside JF-17's. I was in touch with some of the guys at GIDS who had mentioned a Shahpar Contract was basically due to be signed within coming days. Never heard of it again. I havent written this one off entirely because the delay could be due to a variety of factors. If a shahpar contract does get signed, then id probably quite safely say that a JF-17 contract will have been signed too. Though, i could be wrong and they could just stick with UAV's.
My fear is that JF17 is not up to the mark in global market. This whole positioning of "we are cheap" is back firing. No one likes to buy cheap things no matter how poor you are particularly when national pride is at stake. Nations want quality and performance.
The issue is, military purchases, particularly large ones are as much of a politics play as they are capabilities. But also, governments want long term assurances, they want to know their multi billion dollar investment will be protected, supported and sustained 20/30/40 years down the line. This is where the JF-17 struggles a bit.
Because Pakistan does not produce much in house in terms of spares/sustainment, its heavly reliant on Chinese production lines to supply parts. If more lucrative contracts become available to those producers, why would they be interested in renewing contracts with the PAF or continuing to sustain the aircraft? They're not a charity, their interest is money, and they'll chase wherever they can get the most of it.
This above was also used as a negative point by prospective F-20, YF-17 and F16XL customers. Its also why the PAF had made it a part of the contract that the PLAAF was to induct the type too. By doing so, it would have made sure that the PAF would continue to receive support from China, as they will have needed it themselves too. This is quite a big negative for any prospective customer. The UAE for example was ready to buy F-16XL's, on the condition that the USAF purchased 100+ units itself too. This was for security.
Beyond this, the fighter markets had been split into a couple of distinct camps. Europe, US and Russia. If you couldn't buy US, you'd buy from UK, if it was a no from the UK, youd turn to the French. If the French said no, then Russia Zindabad. There was a market each of them had carved out for themselves. Nothing China had on the export catalogue really was groundbreaking enough to create that market. The original JF-17 evaluations had it viewed as underwhelming, and not necessarily worth the cost vs just MLU'ing old stock fighters.
Now while things are different now, the other issue is LCA's are very limited in markets. Everyone who needed an LCA, built their own. Those who needed LIFT's looked at LCA's also for that market, but the LIFT market isnt that huge, limited to airforces who are going to be using more advanced aircraft in the future, so to build capacity for their pilots.
The problem is the JF-17 is a limited market fighter, chasing a limited market segment. It was bound to struggle. It was always going to be an issue, and anyone who viewed it as a potential export success was probably drinking their kool aid a bit too much. Though, its very sufficient for Pakistan, how many countries have the same reqs as Pakistan. Not many.
I think the Chinese will carve out a very nice market and make their entrance into the fighter markets with the next gen's though.
Also, while JF17 has proven to be strong in A-G roles (both in Swift Retort and BUM), it has not proven to be up to the mark in AA roles. I still dont get why PAF did not have JF17 equipped with PL15s, engage Indian fighters in on May 3 2025? Why the JF17 was in a support role rather than be in a lead role along with J10s? Is it that they couldnt carry PF15s or their radar is weak? or they couldnt climb to the required altitude fast enough ? Even is Swift Retort, the AA role was primarily led by F16 even though JF17 were carrying SD-10s back then...so why did they not engage Indian fighters in Feb '19? Does the PAF not trust JF17 in AA roles? No matter how much we try to hide it, we cannot deny that JF17 did not have a single AA kill (except for a drone). This would have greatly helped its sales if it had shot down just 1 Indian plane. We need to do something about its engine thrust or lack thereof.
IMO, nothing to do with engine thrust, but the reality is the JF-17 fits into the LO mix of our fleet, it wouldn't be the tip of the spear anyway. It was always designed to be the airspace defender as opposed to the formation leader. Though, what i will say is it was a very, very poor decision on part of the PAF to so hastily attribute all kills to the J-10. Just handing a few over to the JF-17 would have done wonders for it. They did try to do this in 2019, but it was a very stupid endeavour, however, they could have done that now since the J-10 and JF-17(allegedly) both carry PL-15's.