The clerical leadership is anything but religiously-minded, as we have previously seen with their nuclear fatwa. They are self-preserving and prefer to stay in power than to make a bold move and lose everything. And that's exactly the type of mentality that has brought us to this situation now. One can only hope that the IRGC thinks differently
I think what you might be really saying is you are of the view that you either win as absolutely as possible, or if you do not then you are content with starting again as the losing side but an opportunity to effectively have an improved social contract between the Iranian people and whoever the new leadership is
and then that really means coming into the Israeli orbit geopolitically, after all netanyahu has stated he believes Iran and Israel will eventually become great friends, and it's not as if there is not a pro Western faction somewhere in the Iranian polity
Turkey and Pakistan are of little significance in major global affairs. Major players of this game are the US and China, and surprisingly tiny Israel because of its tremendous influence in the Western world, particularly on the US. After the US and China, Russia comes second, then you have the UK and France to a much lesser extent.
Turkey and Pakistan in this context have remained, by in large, passive with no hint of confrontation
but every neighbor is theoretically consequential to another neighbor so I disagree with you there, you say what you say above based on the current balance of equations. But is one aspect dramatically changes then so will the rest.
inherently they both have equities with the current state of world affairs so they need to keep an eye out on their own perspective if suddenly equations change on their own borders, Israel would then consider confrontation with turkey or Pakistan using Iran as its new ally
You ought to note that you were able to accuse Pakistan of "treachery" in the last two weeks yet if you theoretically accept the possibility to start again, I.e. not winning , then invariably you will likely become hostile to Pakistan, and maybe China as you go fully into the Israeli and American orbit, in which case I am sure the response will be Iran must pursue its national interest, I am just theoretically speaking
didn't understand this part. All I know is that the US is not going to give Iran a deal with remotely favorable terms until it feels they have no other option left
These blockades are most affecting second and third world countries and they are counting costs, this is not a value judgment just a basic reality
By the way this is just all gaming out different scenarios and so it is just somewhat theoretical and abstract
