unconventional
Registered Member
If I were to speculate how this war could end, these might be the final terms:
a) Iran will not pursue nuclear weapons - US win
b) Uranium can be enriched for purely civilian purposes - Iran win
c) Highly enriched uranium will not need to be handed over to the US or transferred out of the country, but will be kept under an international watchdog - slight US win
d) Iran will stop blocking the Straits of Hormuz, but might get some beneficial arrangement on the guarantees from the US and China - Mixed, more US win
e) Comprehensive ceasefire between Iran and the US, Lebanon and Israel will be included; as well as the GCC countries - Mixed advantage
f) Ceasefire will most probably not include the Houthis in Yemen, or Palestinian occupied territories - Israeli win
g) Iran will not be required to cease support to Hezbollah and Houthis, but Israel can go after them any time - Mixed advantage
h) Iranian missile program remains intact - Iran win
i) IRI regime/IRGC stays in power - Iran win
j) Unfreezing of frozen Iranian assets - Iran win
There will probably be some sort of guarantee that the US/Israel don’t attack Iran again as well.
a) Iran will not pursue nuclear weapons - US win
b) Uranium can be enriched for purely civilian purposes - Iran win
c) Highly enriched uranium will not need to be handed over to the US or transferred out of the country, but will be kept under an international watchdog - slight US win
d) Iran will stop blocking the Straits of Hormuz, but might get some beneficial arrangement on the guarantees from the US and China - Mixed, more US win
e) Comprehensive ceasefire between Iran and the US, Lebanon and Israel will be included; as well as the GCC countries - Mixed advantage
f) Ceasefire will most probably not include the Houthis in Yemen, or Palestinian occupied territories - Israeli win
g) Iran will not be required to cease support to Hezbollah and Houthis, but Israel can go after them any time - Mixed advantage
h) Iranian missile program remains intact - Iran win
i) IRI regime/IRGC stays in power - Iran win
j) Unfreezing of frozen Iranian assets - Iran win
There will probably be some sort of guarantee that the US/Israel don’t attack Iran again as well.
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