hyperman
INT'L MOD
Depending on the survey and how you frame your inquiry, around 40% of the populace still prefers not to completely sever ties with Russia. The legacy of decades of Soviet rule doesn't simply vanish, I suppose. The core concern isn't if Russia is capable of executing a full-scale invasion, but rather if it can conduct an operation that would destabilize Armenia enough to halt its progress towards the EU and NATO indefinitely. I am convinced that the Russians still possess this capability. The real question is whether they are prepared to assert their influence at this moment.
But they do work on some sort of punishment in the background
Russian parliament passes bill allowing Putin to invade foreign countries
The new measure arrives amid fears the Kremlin might be ready to test the West’s commitment to NATO.www.politico.eu
Well yes, but to be fair, Pashinyan atleast for now don't want to leave the Eurasian Union, as Armenia is still exporting to Russia and Russia is its biggest trade partner, and they also depend of remissions from Russian Armenians.
But in terms of capacity, outside of Turning off the Gas(which might backfire on Russia if Armenia ends up buying Azeri or Iranian gas) and kicking Armenia out of the Eurasian Union and banning exports, what specifically can Russia do? Any of those moves might even accelerate the Turkey Armenia process, or have EU substitution.
Idk, lets see, Pashinyan's party is expected to win the election in June, 3 weeks from now. Depending on how that goes, and what sort of mandate is given, we will see how Armenia goes for the rest of the decade and beyond.
2026 Armenian parliamentary election - Wikipedia
