Interesting developments at play here. Looking at it from a neutral perspective:
a) Iran was the first one to stop attacks on Israel.
After Iran stopped its attacks on Israel, Israel stopped its attacks on Iran.
Both sides have said they have only stopped attacks for now.
But it goes to show that the Iranians (enemies of the US) heeded more to Trump’s requests than the Israelis (a so-called ironclad ally).
There can be many reasons for this: Iran (as does the US) might genuinely be looking for peace, but Israel does not, and is playing spoiler.
b) Iran said it is stopping attacks on Israel, but warned them not to attack any part of Lebanon. If Israel attacks Lebanon again, they have promised restarting strikes against Israel.
Israel has halted attacks on Iran for now, but said they will keep striking Lebanon with more force.
So we will see if Iran is willing to reinforce its red line on Lebanon.
But seeing this 1-day skirmish, on the damage inflicted on Iran (by Israel) vs the damage inflicted on Israel (by Iran); it seems like Israel is feeling pretty emboldened that it can handle Lebanon and Iran simultaneously on its own without US support.
I would say this 1-day skirmish definitely goes to the Israelis. But in a prolonged war between Israel and Iran, without US support, I have no doubt that Iran would give a decisive knockout blow to Israel. In a prolonged war between Iran and Israel, with US support, it’ll be a stalemate.
Israel cannot fight Iran on its own for more than a few days/weeks. In a few days, it can inflict significant damage on Iran though, more than what Iran can on Israel by far.