kobra
Registered Member
Iran airdefense has gone to sleep. They did achieve few hits in last round. Poor performance this time around.
Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds
- Thread starter Khorasan Black Flags
- Start date
BananaRepublic
Trusted Member
Unlikely!
With SPR two weeks away from blowout.
Invasion would set off a chain of events that cannot be stabilised for years.
BananaRepublic
Trusted Member
Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ
Trusted Member
There is time to act and there is time when you regret...
If he's already targeting bridges, ports and power plants then... not responding does two things... give the impression of weakness but secondly... a rubicon was crossed without much cost... on to the next. Remember you'll hear much hue and cry when this is reciprocated... as if the sky is falling. Let the sky fall on them!
sharreman10
Registered Member
Although your commentary usually offers valuable insights, you occasionally lapse into an unwarranted pessimism. Predicting a US land invasion feels like a hypothetical worst-case scenario rather than a realistic outcome. Beyond that, what is the ultimate goal? Is it to hold southern Iran, and for how long? It is hard to see how this scenario would actually result in regime change and control of Hormuz.
BananaRepublic
Trusted Member
Given Iran has been carved up into local units.
They aren’t reliant on troops movements directed from a centralised command?
Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ
Trusted Member
I know that Iran has been calibrating escalation... however, without a response it allows the belligerent to escalate. Lack of response makes for a mounting cost that now the aggressor can compound on the bearer.
It is the same thing when clown attacked from multiple countries but the reciprocal attacks, shocked him... he didn't expect a retaliation. He assumes the same...
ShapurII
Trusted Member
Shouldn't we always consider the worst case scenarios to prepare for the future? Because it's not wise to assume your enemy will not exploit your weaknesses.
Suppose that the US manages to annex the Kharg Island and parts of the Khuzestan province. How do you think the system in Iran can survive economically then?
That will be their ultimate goal, to completely cripple the Iranian economy and take our oil and gas until the IR decides to accept unconditional surrender. And since Iran cannot move its troops in the air or on the ground, I do not see how we want to defend against such attacks. We had 90 days to prepare after the ceasefire but how many soldiers have been deployed in the south since then?
The situation this time is very different from the Iraq-Iran war where we had one of the world's best equipped and best trained air forces in the world.
ShapurII
Trusted Member
Even if we assume that is true and 50K-100K soldiers can resist against tens of thousands of better-equipped American soldiers with air support, how long can they survive without reinforcement, weapons, food and medical supplies?
Hassan Al-Somal
Elite Member
ShapurII
Trusted Member
By the way, it is not only me that is worried about a ground invasion of Iran.
At least 3 high ranking officials have talked about the same thing in the last 48 hours:
1. Kamran Ghazanfari (Parliament Member, representing Tehran)
2. Rashidi Koochi (former Parliament Member, representing Marvdasht)
3. Mohammad Ali Larijani, one of the highest officials in Iran responsible for Iran's doctrine and strategy since the revolution. Also, Ali Larijani's brother.
Rashidi Koochi has talked exactly like me. He says a ground invasion is certain at this point and Trump is only waiting for the weather to get better.
At least 3 high ranking officials have talked about the same thing in the last 48 hours:
1. Kamran Ghazanfari (Parliament Member, representing Tehran)
2. Rashidi Koochi (former Parliament Member, representing Marvdasht)
3. Mohammad Ali Larijani, one of the highest officials in Iran responsible for Iran's doctrine and strategy since the revolution. Also, Ali Larijani's brother.
Rashidi Koochi has talked exactly like me. He says a ground invasion is certain at this point and Trump is only waiting for the weather to get better.
Hassan Al-Somal
Elite Member
Governor of Bushehr: Following the continued aggression by the American enemy, two explosions were heard in the city of Bushehr a few minutes ago.According to initial reports, no injuries or fatalities have been reported so far, and various aspects of this incident are being investigated by the relevant authorities.
Farsna
Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
The terrorist American regime has struck a railway station in Bandar Abbas, murdering two civilians
