Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Saudi export disruptions help drive some physical oil cargoes above $130 a barrel​

Prices for some physical oil cargoes in Europe have topped $130 a barrel on Tuesday as tensions in the Middle East fester and a key Saudi pipeline remains offline since an attack last week, according to trade sources cited by Reuters, approaching record highs seen in April.

Saudi Arabia has suspended late-September cargo shipments to European buyers after an attack on its East-West Pipeline last week forced it to cancel loadings from the Red Sea port of Yanbu,

North Sea oil is being viewed as a potential alternative to Saudi crude, but according to LSEG data North Sea Forties crude has jumped to $136.75 a barrel, nearing an all-time high from April at the height of the Iran war.

I think we all going to be fubar because of this war very soon
 
Persian Gulf said:
also, glad to see your morale has improved.
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Only temporarily. If we keep oil prices above $120 for 3-6 months, the US will behave very differently but I doubt Iran would do that. Everything went to shit when we accepted a useless ceasefire and an even more useless MoU and oil prices went down to $70-$80 range and countries started to prepare for the consequences of the US-Iran war.

KAL-EL said:
The gloom and doom. Iran is fighting back they're perfectly capable. I don't believe there's an existential threat here
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Iran needs to stop the US naval blockade. Iran's currency is devaluating at a rate that is not sustainable because Iran's imports have been physically limited and we cannot export enough oil to sustain our expenses. This is obviously not sustainable and has to be changed fast.

Immortals said:
Arab world continues to plot with Americans and Israelis. While Iran desperately tries to get Trump to return to the MoU
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Blame the loudmouth in the IRGC for talking tough but sparing the Emirates and Saudi Arabia. The Emirates will not stop being a US naval base as long as Dubai and Abu Dhabi are not empty of tourists and foreign workers. One missile fired at a Dubai landmark would've changed everything. Instead, the Emirates bombed Iranian territory and we decided to ignore it.
 
Iran hopefully has contingency plans to fire dozens of cluster munition warheads at refineries in KSA and UAE if the US attacks Iran again

and similar plans for Israeli power plants and water desalination plants in case Israel attacks Iran's energy infrastructure
 
ShapurII said:
Only temporarily. If we keep oil prices above $120 for 3-6 months, the US will behave very differently but I doubt Iran would do that. Everything went to shit when we accepted a useless ceasefire and an even more useless MoU and oil prices went down to $70-$80 range and countries started to prepare for the consequences of the US-Iran war.


Iran needs to stop the US naval blockade. Iran's currency is devaluating at a rate that is not sustainable because Iran's imports have been physically limited and we cannot export enough oil to sustain our expenses. This is obviously not sustainable and has to be changed fast.


Blame the loudmouth in the IRGC for talking tough but sparing the Emirates and Saudi Arabia. The Emirates will not stop being a US naval base as long as Dubai and Abu Dhabi are not empty of tourists and foreign workers. One missile fired at a Dubai landmark would've changed everything. Instead, the Emirates bombed Iranian territory and we decided to ignore it.
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The sparing of UAE is the single biggest oddity of this war. It is absolutely senseless from a strategic perspective. There is at least some reasonable logic to limiting hitting certain countries, be it a range-related dilemma for Israel, political conflictions with KSA....but if i were Iranian, I would regard it as bordering on treasonous for my armed forces to leave this particular nation alone. It's so close and so easy to hit and nobody apart from the Arab world would give Tehran significant political backlash.

It makes me think there is some truth to the "pay off" conspiracy theory.
 
Master Chief said:
Lots of drone hits. I have been speculating on this. In your opinion, is USAF/USN deliberately using drones "suicidally" to assess positions/tactics of Iranian AD? Or do you think these hits reveal nothing of genuine intel value to the Americans (i.e. are a bona fide win for the Iranian defence)?
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It is a shift in their tactics... but the more important when they start to loose UAVs daily and hit again civilian targets... it is a weakness. They start to be nervous and hitting trawlers and light ships just show that they´re getting frustrated.

You will see much more mistakes in the coming days...
 
Persian Gulf said:


US pilot identified as Colonel Jonathan Bott, known by the callsign “Vapor.”
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WTF!!!!.
How embarrassing. It is as if Consul Marius had no trophies to display in his parades, nor Numidian kings to hurl from the Tarpeian Rock... and he shows up with a pathetic, lame legionary. What mediocrity!
 
Flotilla said:
WTF!!!!.
How embarrassing. It is as if Consul Marius had no trophies to display in his parades, nor Numidian kings to hurl from the Tarpeian Rock... and he shows up with a pathetic, lame legionary. What mediocrity!
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All hail the mighty colonel !!

The mighty colonel is great!
 
Persian Gulf said:
Iran hopefully has contingency plans to fire dozens of cluster munition warheads at refineries in KSA and UAE if the US attacks Iran again

and similar plans for Israeli power plants and water desalination plants in case Israel attacks Iran's energy infrastructure
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Isn’t it funny in a weird way Houthis are striking Saudi targets daily hitting a lot and no matter how anyone paints it’s bad but here’s the weird part yes I know Saudis have interceptors but if I’m a betting man they don’t have nearly enough to stop saturated attacks like Jordan or any Arab country that has significant amount of American troops and it doesn’t seem like Trump is moving tons of military cargo(whatever interceptors they can get their hands on at least) to Saudi Arabia
 


higher gas and diesel prices, and bond yields, are really hurting the Epstein axis, and there is a chance they will escalate

they didn't respond to Iran downing several drones and firing cluster munitions at Jordan, damaging 9 US jets. they are cooking something big.

no more in person meetings between the entire military / political leadership, all commanders in war time procedures immediately, set up ambushes and point defence systems ready to destroy drones surveilling around missile bases

@ShapurII

other Iranian accounts reported drone / jet violations and red alerts at missile bases earlier today, I didn't see it elsewhere so I didn't report it
 
Persian Gulf said:


higher gas and diesel prices, and bond yields, are really hurting the Epstein axis, and there is a chance they will escalate

they didn't respond to Iran downing several drones and firing cluster munitions at Jordan, damaging 9 US jets. they are cooking something big.

no more in person meetings between the entire military / political leadership, all commanders in war time procedures immediately, set up ambushes and point defence systems ready to destroy drones surveilling around missile bases

@ShapurII

other Iranian accounts reported drone / jet violations and red alerts at missile bases earlier today, I didn't see it elsewhere so I didn't report it
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This post looks like clickbait, Did israilis make him aware? if this was happening earlier today, credible and popular OSINTs would have shared it, Surely their transponders were not on, however refuelers would have given the signs. also no iranian source shared it
 
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