The war in Gaza has shown that Israel is an overrated paper tiger and all their military victories over corrupt incompetent secular Arab states are all in the previous century.
Israel hides the true number of its casualties in Gaza because of political sensitivity of this information.
Back in December 2023 Israel's largest paid newspaper “Yedioth Ahronoth” published an article with claims that Israel suffered significant casualties in Gaza with 3850 dead and 8000 wounded IDF soldiers. The journalist who wrote that article was fired from the newspapers.
As of now, Israel's real casualties are probably 5000-6000 dead and 10.000-12.000 wounded soldiers.
And this is before Hezbollah joins the fight.
If Israel can't handle Gaza after 7 months of war and suffers significant casualties and economic losses, imagine the consequences for them of war with Hezbollah, which is a multiple times more powerful organization than Hamas.
After witnessing IDF's performance in Gaza, it is now obvious that Israel is technically incapable of defeating Hezbollah and its 100.000 fighters without direct US military support.
And of course any war with Hezbollah will draw in Syria, Shia militias from Iraq and Iran.
Houthis targeted Israeli vessels in the Red Sea, but recently they claimed that they will target Israeli and US and British vessels in the Indian Ocean and around the Cape of Good Hope if Israel invades Rafah (I wonder how will they do that?).
Strategically, situation in the region becomes intolerable for Israel.
They have Hezbollah in the north, growing number of Iranian troops in bases in Syria and growing instability in Jordan.
King Abdullah II of Jordan is an ally of Israel. He doesn't want establishment of an independent Palestinian State because such a state will seek unification with Jordan and its significant Palestinian population and this will directly threaten survival of his regime.
Even more King Abdullah II of Jordan is afraid of Hamas and Muslim Brotherhood who seek to overthrow his regime and establish an Islamic state in Jordan.
So King Abdullah II fully supports Israel against Palestinians in general and Hamas in particular.
Iran expanded its sphere of influence into Iraq, Syria and Lebanon and Yemen and now there are articles that Jordan might be the next target for Iran.
The Islamic Republic of Iran is stoking violent discontent against the Hashemite Kingdom, with a view toward gaining control over Jordan as part of an expanded “Shiite Crescent.”
www.iranintl.com
Introduction In recent days, the grand Iranian plan is emerging – the plan with which the Islamic revolutionary regime is continuing despite the killing, in Israeli air strikes, the senior command of its IRGC Qods Force in Syria and Lebanon. The upcoming stage of this plan involves bringing down...
www.memri.org
Iran and its allies from the Axis of Resistance can work with Jordanian Islamic opposition and provide military support to them and seek to overthrow King Abdullah II. New Sunni regime in Jordan can be an ally of Iran just like Hamas.
If Jordan falls to Iran this will have significant consequences for the region:
1) Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and other Arab countries will be inspired by victory in Jordan and might seek to overthrow secular regimes in Egypt and other Arab countries.
2) Israel will become even more vulnerable due to appearance of a hostile state in its Eastern borders (with Iranian bases) and the distance between the Jordanian border and Tel-Aviv - Haifa corridor is only 50kms.
If Jordan falls to Iran in the near future, Israel will be finished as it will be strategically encircled by Iran from all directions.
Iran's doomsday clock for Israel's end is ticking:
View attachment 36335
www.yahoo.com
