Israel’s Genocide in Gaza | 2023- till present

[Persian Gulf]

Could be from Iraq aimed at the port but fell short. Let's wait and see. If it's from Yemen they can't and won't do anything.

I don't see why you view Tel Aviv with such high importance. They're already bombing Lebanon, Syria, Gaza, and West Bank. Tel Aviv is a legitimate target and should be reduced to being a regular target.

Iraq doesn't make sense given trajectory of the drone. It entered from the sea into Tel Aviv. That would not make sense if it was aimed at Eilat but fell short (in that case it would continue south not turn into Tel Aviv).

Tel Aviv is the capital city and has been immune to feeling any effects of the war so far and is clearly many steps up the escalation ladder. Making Tel Aviv a regular targets makes Beirut a regular target too.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Does appear to be a drone:

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the sound of the drone's engine is clearer in the video I posted above. it's indisputably a drone strike. and clearly an Iranian drone. the only question is who fired it and how did it evade detection/interception.

 

[Persian Gulf]

A car exploded as a result of being hit by shrapnel from the drone strike in Tel Aviv

6 injuries as a result of the drone strike

 

[Falcon29]

Iraq doesn't make sense given trajectory of the drone. It entered from the sea into Tel Aviv. That would not make sense if it was aimed at Eilat but fell short (in that case it would continue south not turn into Tel Aviv).

Tel Aviv is the capital city and has been immune to feeling any effects of the war so far and is clearly many steps up the escalation ladder. Making Tel Aviv a regular targets makes Beirut a regular target too.

Tel Aviv was not immune when Hamas was able to target it. Hamas targeted Tel Aviv heavily on October 7 and every day while they could. An airstrike on Beirut wouldn't make a difference in grand scheme of things.

If it entered from the sea then it came from Lebanon.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hezbollah is an irreplaceable part of the Iranian-led Axis of Resistance. Iran will not allow Israel to defeat Hezbollah.

If Hezbollah is invaded, Iran will fully activate the Axis of Resistance and likely authorise significantly more frequent strikes like this from Syria, Iraq, and Yemen to support Hezbollah. We have seen an escalation on the Syrian front in recent weeks, with Israeli reports that Iran plans to activate the Syrian front if Israel escalates with Hezbollah.

Warning shot?

 

[Meengla]

Drone is described as the size of a car. Passed over and impacted 100m behind the US Embassy in Tel Aviv. Was that the target? Could it be a Yemeni or Syrian or Iraqi drone? Hezbollah seems most likely.

The Litmus Test for a regional war will be massive targeting of Beirut and Tel Aviv.

I do not expect them to go into a full blown war in the way the war in Gaza was. And it's not really about my expectations. It's the reality of what's happening in Gaza which is a existential war for Palestinians and not a normal kind of war.

And the Palestinian existence is now totally dependent upon the support from the Iranian proxies. Sunni Arabs--btw I was raised a Sunni Muslim-- have more or less abandoned Palestinians. The MOST disappointing of them are the large Palestinian refugees living in Jordan: They haven't done much for their brothers in Gaza, have they?? They have the land connectivity to Syria/Iraq and beyond and they have the numbers but....

This proves that Gaza Palestinians WERE RIGHT to fight Israel for their freedom, no ifs, ands or butts about that after Israel's knesset passed this law- its also an admission that Israel has been preventing the emergence of a Palestinian state.

The Knesset could be from 1948. No surprise.

 

[Falcon29]

the sound of the drone's engine is clearer in the video I posted above. it's indisputably a drone strike. and clearly an Iranian drone. the only question is who fired it and how did it evade detection/interception.

My bet is on Hezbollah. Showing Israel one of their 'surprises'. Showing they can be vulnerable. And showing they're not afraid of going up escalation ladder.

The airstrike on Lebanon was with a massive bomb and killed civilians in it. For Hezbollah, I believe it is a big deal.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Tel Aviv was not immune when Hamas was able to target it. Hamas targeted Tel Aviv heavily on October 7 and every day while they could. An airstrike on Beirut wouldn't make a difference in grand scheme of things.

If it entered from the sea then it came from Lebanon.

Since the first few days the reality is that Tel Aviv has not noticed there is a genocide/war happening. Hezbollah and other Resistance factions have a much greater ability to sustain larger and more effective strikes on Tel Aviv. But this comes with severe consequences...

 

[Persian Gulf]

My bet is on Hezbollah. Showing Israel one of their 'surprises'. Showing they can be vulnerable. And showing they're not afraid of going up escalation ladder.

The airstrike on Lebanon was with a massive bomb and killed civilians in it. For Hezbollah, I believe it is a big deal.

Seems unlikely Hezbollah would go for Tel Aviv after a airstrike in south Lebanon (dozens of these happen every day for months). They are much more calculated. I was personally expecting a response in Haifa.

 

[Falcon29]

I don't believe Israel would start a war over this. They will lay off such strikes for awhile. As they used a very big bomb on a civilian home. As they've been doing in Gaza for 9 months. Hopefully that shows how much suffering people of Gaza have been through. God bless them.


@Persian Gulf

Look at this Israeli take :

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[Persian Gulf]

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at least for one night Israelis can't sleep. after they don't let Palestinians in Gaza sleep for 9 months.

 

[Falcon29]

Seems unlikely Hezbollah would go for Tel Aviv after a airstrike in south Lebanon (dozens of these happen every day for months). They are much more calculated. I was personally expecting a response in Haifa.

So you think it came from Iraq or somewhere else? Iran? Jordan? Wild scenario would be some kind of homemade drone from Egypt or something. But if you recognize the drone parts as Iranian one.

And believe it's Hezbollah, then it makes sense. Hezbollah is trying to draw a line to recent equation Israel has enforced, of accelerated targeted killings. And now using a 2,000lb bomb on a home. They have to draw a line. Netanyahu is headed to the US. Hezbollah will strike northern areas after this morning. It will attempt to send a message.

 

[Persian Gulf]

I don't believe Israel would start a war over this. They will lay off such strikes for awhile. As they used a very big bomb on a civilian home. As they've been doing in Gaza for 9 months. Hopefully that shows how much suffering people of Gaza have been through. God bless them.


@Persian Gulf

Look at this Israeli take :

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that is an uneducated Israeli take, that guy is clueless

he is right that Tel Aviv is their red line, though. which is why it likely isn't Hezbollah. I would actually rather it was Yemen or Iraq. this would show the strength of the Axis of Resistance in a way we haven't seen before. if so, this suggests there are many more levers for Iran/the Resistance to pull.

 

[Falcon29]

Could be from Yemen

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[Persian Gulf]

So you think it came from Iraq or somewhere else? Iran? Jordan? Wild scenario would be some kind of homemade drone from Egypt or something. But if you recognize the drone parts as Iranian one.

And believe it's Hezbollah, then it makes sense. Hezbollah is trying to draw a line to recent equation Israel has enforced, of accelerated targeted killings. And now using a 2,000lb bomb on a home. They have to draw a line. Netanyahu is headed to the US. Hezbollah will strike northern areas after this morning. It will attempt to send a message.

Not from Iran or Jordan. Either Lebanon, Yemen, or Iraq. I highly doubt Hezbollah would escalate from airstrike in south Lebanon (within ROE) to drone strike in Tel Aviv (radical departure from ROE that puts Beirut in severe danger). So that leaves Yemen or Iraq. We have seen some Yemeni officials tweet about this event on Twitter, which indicates they may have been involved. Drone seems bigger than those launched by Iraqi Resistance in recent months.

So at this moment I lean towards Yemen but it's speculation.