Bangladesh: Analyzing Hasina era Adani Power Deal

Adani makes a decent profit out of this? Sure that is absolutely fine but with coal prices back to historical norms now, it is downright extortionate.

Just want to add a point here.

Suppose if there is a coal fired power plant in Bangladesh. We to import all that coal from abroad. And when importing, this has to be done through a Bangladeshi bank via an import letter of credit or import without LC.

This is subject to price verification by the banker. And this price verification is done through either their internal databases or from third party sources. And coal prices can vary from region to region. A unit price per ton of coal from South Africa will not be the same as the one imported from Australia. They have to cross check as per country of origin of that coal. If it exceeds the prevailing unit prices, transaction will be put on hold and subject to internal review. And usually would require guidance from Bangladesh Bank (the country's central bank) along with a justification of the pricing. And usually, these meetings don't end well in interest of completing the transaction.

Price verification is a very sensitive activity. If the central bank is not convinced of the price verification performed by the banker, they have right to issue a show-cause. And this letter is sent addressing the MD/CEO of that bank.

I do not know about India. But from what I gather from various sources is that the negotiations between India and Bangladesh during the AL-era were all one-sided in all the deals. This is mainly because the stakeholders on Bangladeshi side were not capable individuals. They were more concerned about their money and properties abroad than working for the benefit of the nation. That there was zero accountability in everything they did.
 
@UKBengali i really do try to engage with them men. But always descends into vitriol and trash talk!

Perhaps you ought to watch the tone you use while engaging with others. You get exactly what you give.

As for proof of corruption, I already posted this article today, clearly you didn't bother reading it as it went against the narrative you want to believe.

Here is an extract-

According to sources from the Power Development Board (PDB), the 1,320 MW power plant at Payra in Patuakhali is charging USD 75 per tonne of coal. In contrast, the coal prices at Chattogram’s Banshkhali SS Power Plant and Bagerhat’s Rampal Power Plant are both under USD 80 per tonne.

Adani, however, is requesting USD 96 per tonne of coal, which is USD 16-21 more per tonne than the prices at Payra and Rampal.



Here is another report from Al Jazeera back in 2023. Al Jazeera claims to have reviewed a copy of the agreement.


"Under the agreement, Dhaka will pay significantly higher prices – in comparison to what it pays for its other coal-based power – for lower-grade coal. That coal will be supplied from an Adani-owned mine in Australia to an Adani-owned port in India from where it will get shipped to the Godda plant, which is in a coal-mining state.

Apart from that, experts also point out that Bangladesh is not getting the benefit of the tax exemption which Adani Power Ltd got when its Godda plant was declared a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) – the exemption should have been passed on to Bangladesh.

In New Delhi, critics have questioned the whole point of the Modi government going the extra mile to ensure “multiple tax benefits” for a private coal plant that will supply electricity to another country at the cost of its own environment and people."

But you will conveniently ignore all evidence presented to you and will continue with the narrative that it's all gossip by detractors. One cannot have a rational argument with an individual with a biased mindset.
 
As of now, 1200 MW Matabari is closed due to lack of coal, & Rampal and Banshkhali power plants have their production reduced due to outstanding issues; but whenever Adani asks to clear it's outstanding, Bangladeshi media will run stories on how Adani is depriving them of cheap electricity, just like India deprived them of cheap hilsa?
 
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As of now, 1200 MW Matabari is closed due to lack of coal, & Rampal and Banshkhali power plants have their production reduced due to outstanding issues; but whenever Adani asks to clear it's outstanding, Bongu media will run stories on how Adani is depriving them of cheap electricity, just like India deprived them of cheap hilsa?
Can you please share where in Bangladeshi media it says India/Adani is depriving Bangladesh of cheap electricity?

I would like to see a news link from a reputable newspaper.
 
Usually anything that involves corruption, has unfair clauses embedded that will make it super expensive for Bangladesh to terminate the contract and prevent from renegotiating. I am afraid we may just have to live with this. But would surely like to see the terms and conditions of the contract being made public and independently reviewed.

i think if we take the matter to BD Court and secure a verdict that there was corruption and thus the contract is illegal, BD government can use that to cancel the contract while do negotiate with Adani to give us a fair deal. If no fair deal, cancellation of the contract. These sorts of things can be fixed in many ways.
 
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i think if we take the matter to BD Court and secure a verdict that there was corruption and thus the contract is illegal, BD government can use that to concel the contract while do negotiate with Adani to give us a fair deal. If no fair deal, cancellation of the contract. These sorts of things can be fixed in many ways.

I am not well versed with the International trade dispute arbitration process through World Trade Organization or International Chamber of Commerce. Even if they get a verdict from Bangladeshi court, I think they will eventually have to get a decision from WTO or ICC to enforce it. Again, pardon my ignorance on the process.
 
As far as I know Adani dues are paid. Sovereign guarantees are not easy to walk away from. I say hang the Hasina Power minister for that.
 
I am not well versed with the International trade dispute arbitration process through World Trade Organization or International Chamber of Commerce. Even if they get a verdict from Bangladeshi court, I think they will eventually have to get a decision from WTO or ICC to enforce it. Again, pardon my ignorance on the process.

As long as BD judges rule based on fact and WTO rules - it should be upheld in arbitration as well.

Question is does BD have competent judges and legal scholars?

Might be worth bringing in a internationally renowned Amicus curiae.

Easily found in the city of London - albeit expensive!

IG has made some toxic claims about Adani deal - and I am really interested to find the truth.

The ball is in the IG’s court - put up or shut up time really!

@UKBengali
 
As long as BD judges rule based on fact and WTO rules - it should be upheld in arbitration as well.

Question is does BD have competent judges and legal scholars?

Might be worth bringing in a internationally renowned Amicus curiae.

Easily found in the city of London - albeit expensive!

IG has made some toxic claims about Adani deal - and I am really interested to find the truth.

The ball is in the IG’s court - put up or shut up time really!

@UKBengali


If this is not a simple thing then it may be best to swallow it and let it go.

If the previous government did indeed guarantee that fixed rate for perpetuity then that is what any BD government needs to honour and pay.

Depending on how the contract was constructed it may not be too much over the market rate in the future if coal again starts becoming expensive.

BD needs to honour any sovereign guarantees as otherwise trust with India will be lost and that will have implications for relations in the future.

Any extra that BD pays with this specific deal can be more than made up with ultra cheap and clean hydroelectric power from Nepal and Bhutan through India.


Sometimes you need to look at the “big picture”.

@Pingle
 
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If this is not a simple thing then it may be best to swallow it and let it go.

If the previous government did indeed guarantee that fixed rate for perpetuity then that is what any BD government needs to honour and pay.

Depending on how the contract was constructed it may not be too much over the market rate in the future if coal again starts becoming expensive.

BD needs to honour any sovereign guarantees as otherwise trust with India will be lost and that will have implications for relations in the future.

Any extra that BD pays with this specific deal can be more than made up with ultra cheap and clean hydroelectric power from Nepal and Bhutan through India.


Sometimes you need to look at the “big picture”.

There’s international precedence for governments cancelling and even suing corrupt contractors.

If corruption was involved I want the bloody contract cancelled and Adani humiliated.

Mealy mouth nonsense like “bad deal” won’t cut mustered. Good deal and bad deal is just opinion. Especially with benefit of hindsight!

As I said, put up or shut up time!
 
The Indian conglomerate Adani Group has begun to curb electricity supplies to Bangladesh and threatened to completely shut down power exports as the new government in Dhaka struggles with a backlog of overdue payments.

The infrastructure-focused company owned by billionaire Gautam Adani on Thursday started slashing cross-border electricity flows by as much as half from its 1,600-megawatt capacity Godda coal-fired plant in eastern India, according to data published by Bangladesh’s power grid.

The group has set a November 7 deadline for a full cut-off unless Bangladesh can clarify how it will settle amounts owed to the company, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Adani Group has previously warned that the overdue payments have become “unsustainable”. Its executives told analysts last month that the country owed about $800mn at the end of September.

Muhammad Fouzul Kabir Khan, the top energy adviser to Bangladesh’s interim government led by Nobel Peace Prize laureate Muhammad Yunus, told the Financial Times: “We are both surprised and disappointed at the decision.”

Khan said Bangladesh contested the amounts owed to Adani, saying the government had paid the company about $100mn in October, “double of what we’ve been paying in the earlier months”, and had opened a letter of credit for $170mn. He said Bangladesh now owed about $700mn. The amount, however, could rise as Adani continues to supply the country.

The dispute with the influential Indian tycoon, Asia’s second-wealthiest individual, underscores the vulnerabilities of Bangladesh’s economy after the dramatic ousting of authoritarian prime minister Sheikh Hasina by student protesters in August. Hasina fled to India and her current whereabouts are unknown.

The turmoil disrupted the critical garments sector in south Asia’s second-largest economy, which was already faltering thanks to its reliance on costly fuel and commodity imports.

Yunus’s government has sought an additional $3bn from the IMF following a $4.5bn bailout in 2022. Financing talks are ongoing after officials from the lender visited Dhaka in September and noted economic activity had “slowed markedly”.

Despite the cutbacks by Adani, Khan said Bangladesh was “managing” and had fired up more expensive power generation plants using liquid fuels such as diesel and furnace oil.

“We are forced to run them, which is bringing up the cost of electricity generation . . . we are trying to bring in additional coal-based power,” Khan said. “We’ll be able to manage, but this is not what we expect, because [Adani] are contractually bound to fulfil their commitment, so we’ll look at what contractual options we have.”

Cemented during a 2015 visit by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Dhaka, the agreement with Adani to supply electricity from its Indian coal power plant in Godda has been criticised by activists, who say the high cost of importing power does not make sense for Bangladesh.

Yunus’s interim government has characterised deals negotiated during Hasina’s 15-year rule as opaque and expensive, heightening Bangladesh’s financial distress.

It has set up an expert committee to re-examine energy agreements signed by Hasina’s administration, and Khan said he expected them to report back in about two weeks.

“They are looking at these deals, and this Adani deal is one of them,” Khan said.

Adani Group did not immediately respond to a request for comment but has previously said the cost of its electricity to Bangladesh was “very competitive” compared with that of other imported coal-fired power plants.

In a filing last month, the conglomerate’s listed power business said it had been receiving payments from the Bangladesh Power Development Board “on a regular basis” and was “confident of recovering the overdue amount”.
 
Adani is being unreasonable here.

BD is paying both current electricity import and covering previous debt and so there is no need for this.

Yes it may take 12-18 months to clear it all but BD is trying its best.
 
Adani is being unreasonable here.

BD is paying both current electricity import and covering previous debt and so there is no need for this.

Yes it may take 12-18 months to clear it all but BD is trying its best.

I am afraid that’s the fruits of bellicose foreign policy and belligerent talk.

India is obviously trying to fast track the election.

I think Adani may also be under pressure from the Hinduvta mob!
 

No Power Supply If Dues Not Settled By November 7: Adani To Bangladesh




If Adani unilaterally terminates its end of the contract, BD won't care and will probably be relieved.


Roopur nuclear with its huge 2.4GW capacity will come online next year. In the meantime any shortfall can be made up with buying coal for Matabari power plant that has similar capacity(1.2GW).

Strange decision from Adani. :unsure:
 

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