Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[MLK]

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If these are the last images of this war then it will indicate Hezbollah needs to learn a lot

No, these images will indicate that Hezbollah and their families were the only honorable ones, in a region full of cowards and traitors. They sacrificed all they had when some weren't willing to even speak.

If anything these images will show that this heroic sacrifice was a massive mistake, involving yourself in a war against a massive super power backed genocidal state with no red lines, no accountability is suicide.

Defending your territory is one thing, and they succeed in that multiple times, against all odds. Stopping a fully unleashed genocidal state from committing genocide by yourself is sheer lunacy.

I wouldn't do what they did, and neither would anyone else, the evidence for that is what has unfortunately unfolded in front of us for over a year.

 

[Persian Gulf]

No, these images will indicate that Hezbollah and their families were the only honorable ones, in a region full of cowards and traitors. They sacrificed all they had when some weren't willing to even speak.

If anything these images will show that this heroic sacrifice was a massive mistake, involving yourself in a war against a massive super power backed genocidal state with no red lines, no accountability is suicide.

Defending your territory is one thing, and they succeed in that multiple times, against all odds. Stopping a fully unleashed genocidal state from committing genocide by yourself is sheer lunacy.

I wouldn't do what they did, and neither would anyone else, the evidence for that is what has unfortunately unfolded in front of us for over a year.

I agree

they created this problem for themselves by publicly linking their war to Gaza

and now they have to walk it back after suffering major tactical losses

 

[MLK]

I agree

they created this problem for themselves by publicly linking their war to Gaza

and now they have to walk it back after suffering major tactical losses

That’s one way of seeing it. A more charitable and, I’d argue, realistic way to look at it is that Hezbollah stepped in to try to stop a genocide when no one else was willing to act. They underestimated the 'license to kill' granted to their enemy by the international community, but their willingness to stand up in dire circumstances speaks to their determination, not disgrace.

Your formulation implies that seeking a ceasefire is a sign of weakness or failure, but that perspective only makes sense if both sides were on an equal playing field–which they obviously are not. Hezbollah was the underdog from the very beginning, up against overwhelming odds. If they had achieved their goal, it would have been nothing short of a miracle. Even if they fell short, their effort was still a worthy and courageous stand in the face of overwhelming power.

Success is not always measured by immediate victories but by the integrity and courage to act when others won’t. In a few generations when this genocide will be taught in history, Hezbollah will be remembered as the heroes who took a stand despite knowing no one else would.

 

[Bharatah]

Ben Gvir calls Hezbollah ceasefire 'a historic mistake'​

Far-right Israeli National Security Minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, has urged Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to reject a US-backed proposal for a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Slamming it as “a grave mistake”, the ultranationalist leader of Otzma Yehudit argued that agreeing to the deal would squander a “historic opportunity” to eliminate the militant group.

In a post on X, Ben Gvir emphasised the importance of maintaining pressure on Hezbollah, stating, “Precisely now, when Hezbollah is beaten and longs for a ceasefire, it is forbidden to stop.”



He urged Netanyahu to heed the advice of military commanders on the ground and claimed, “It’s not too late to stop this agreement,” he added. “We must continue until absolute victory!”

According to The Times of Israel, Ben Gvir has consistently opposed any ceasefires in both Gaza and Lebanon, even temporary ones. He has also repeatedly threatened to pull his party out of the coalition if Israel moves forward with such a deal.

Israel has engaged in cross-border warfare with Lebanon, launching an air campaign in late September against what it claims are Hezbollah targets.

More than 3,600 victims have been killed by Israeli attacks in Lebanon, with more than 15,300 injured and over 1 million displaced since last October, according to Lebanese health authorities.

Tel Aviv expanded the conflict by launching a ground assault into southern Lebanon on 1 October.

 

[Immortals]

Based on the ceasefire, HZ is withdrawing from the Gaza war. Which leaves just the token drone launches from Iraq and the periodic token missile launch Houthi’s towards Israel as the only harassment attacks happening by the Axis on Israeli soil.

Israel is still free to continue its genocide of Gaza and occupation..

HZ after the massive amount of air strikes it endured and decapitation of nearly its entire leadership will need potentially a number years to rebuild and reorganize.

Yes, Israel failed taking south Lebanon (if that was ever the true goal). But with HZ being mandated to withdraw its heavy weaponry and assets to the north than Israel succeeded in removing HZ from the border region which should allowed the residents to return.

More importantly it will cease the rocket, missile, and drone attacks across all of Israel and allow normal life to return to Israel and a chance to rearm their interceptors and iron dome.

I wouldn’t call this a Hezbollah victory by any means. The cost (to HZ) was likely quite a bit of destroyed weaponry that Iran spent years sending over to HZ, as well as lost of its senior leadership which now must be rebuilt. In that sense Israel was able to defang HZ for a while. A complete defeat of HZ was never realistic possibility without a complete takeover of Lebanon by a massive ground campaign. However, by utilizing a destructive campaign on Beruit and southern Lebanon, it raised the pressure on HZ to accept a ceasefire or risk losing the ordinary civilians caught in the crossfire and Lebanese government. One must not forget that HZ is also a political party with seats in parliament that it must defend in future elections.

In the end, Iran and HZ made some inaccurate assumptions about Israel and it cost them quite a bit. The future of GAZA is bleak with HZ now leaving the conflict.

 

[Bharatah]

Based on the ceasefire, HZ is withdrawing from the Gaza war.

no, ceasefire who will endure 60 days, not 60.000 years. If you pay attention, at the beginning of the Gaza war, Israel also made a week/months-long agreement with Hamas but then everything came back, it will be the same thing here. In a few months israel will attack Lebanon again, using tradicional lies as argument. Meanwhile, hezb can receive more weapons, and get more equipment. Hezb has about 100/150.000 soldiers , nor 500/1000 of them died ! , it means less than 0.3% of your army was destroyed but some equipment was(other equipment was not destroyed but were used), so they need new .

In these 60 days, Iran will prepare news fronts, news "proxies" , and all will continue.

More importantly it will cease the rocket, missile, and drone attacks across all of Israel and allow normal life to return to Israel and a chance to rearm their interceptors and iron dome.

No because, other fronts will attack, you will see.

 

[Immortals]

Meanwhile, hezb can receive more weapons, and get more equipment. Hezb has about 100/150.000 soldiers , nor 500/1000 of them died ! , it means less than 0.3% of your army was destroyed but some equipment was(other equipment was not destroyed but were used), so they need new .

Not sure where you got 500-1000 casualties.

Based on funeral posters alone there have been at least 1500 casualties

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This account tracks public funeral posters. Who knows the real number since not all families have public funerals.

But it’s not like HZ has a manpower problem. HZ lost ALOT more soldiers in the 10 year Syria civil war and was fine and gained valuable experience. This conflict today isnt a massive ground war it’s largely an aerial war with each side firing volleys at each other.

So the loss of foot soldiers isn’t really a critical factor at this time. The loss of senior advisors, commanders, etc on the other hand does hurt a bit because they had experience and wisdom you learn only thru repetitive battle.

In these 60 days, Iran will prepare news fronts, news "proxies" , and all will continue.


No because, other fronts will attack, you will see.

There is no new “fronts” , there is the Lebanon front, Syria front, Iraq front, and Yemen front. And the strongest proxies are Yemen and HZ. Yemen is too far away to threaten the Israeli homeland constantly and HZ needs to retreat to reform. Syria is not a player in the conflict nor does it want to be. Iraq also suffers from a distance problem like Yemen. So I’m not sure what new proxies or front you expect to open, but geographically there are numerous obstacles.

Israel’s goal always was to bring residents back to the North. Some users on here are claiming its victory because HZ was not destroyed, I am not sure how HZ could be destroyed by a minor ground incursion. That’s impossible, you can’t destroy militant groups by the air either, this has been proven in Afghanistan, Yemen, Kurdistan, Baluchistan, etc. and there is no stomach for a major ground incursion into Lebanon by Israel or U.S. Israel doesn’t even have the political capital for such a move due to its fallen standing in the world.

Now wether the ceasefire holds or doesn’t is to be seen, but the facts on the ground as of today is as follows:

HZ withdraws heavy weaponary and bases from the border.
HZ ceases all further attacks on Israeli territory

Israel withdraws from Lebanese land and stops targeting HZ assets
Israel reserves the right to attack HZ if it returns to southern Lebanon border or plans more attacks.

This was the same offer that Bibi presented to Nasrallah before the ground campaign started and Nasrallah refused to delink from GAZA. Well the new HZ leadership (with guidance from Iran) decided to fight another day and agreed.

In some ways HZ lost and some ways Israel also lost. I don’t think you can say either party clearly won or lost. HZ probably took the most strategic damage (loss of leadership and high value weaponry) and Israel likely suffered quite a bit in economic losses as well as material damage to bases/weaponry. The most significant is the economic losses due to civilian population and trade being impacted.

Nonetheless, the Axis has failed to secure peace in GAZA and that was the whole point of even being involved in this conflict by the various proxies (Houthi’s , HZ, and Iraqi Legions).

TP3 will mostly be Iran trying to restore deterrence on its sovereign territory so that tomorrow Iranian soil doesn’t look like Lebanon and Gaza with Israel striking Iranian military targets like it’s a game of wack - a - mole.

 

[Immortals]

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[Hack-Hook]

Breaking : Israel accepts hezbollah´s terms for Truce, israeli official´s announce it will be "official from tuesday"

Israels extreme right wing and ruling elite of northern Israel call it a "Surrender".

Population of Northern Israel is shocked by the News and claims its a "Humiliating defeat and betrayal by Netanyahu".

Looks like the war will end with another Hezbollah victory.

Its another victory for Hezbollah (like last Hezbollah-Israel war) , as the ISraelis themselves pointed out, their goal was the destruction of Hezbollah but they couldnt even manage to fully capture the Lebanese-Israeli border form Hezbollah.



part of the truce deal:

"
Israel says it will not seek anymore destruction or harm to hezbollah as long its not attacked ,israel will recognize Hezbollah as a part of the Lebanese government and will remove its troops from the border and limit the number of israeli settlers on the border regions to lebanon.

in return hezbollah should stop "raiding" northern israel.

"

Hezbollah term for ceasefire as I recall was the end of bombing of Gaza.
Did Israel accept that ?

 

[Mehdipersian]

Hezbollah term for ceasefire as I recall was the end of bombing of Gaza.
Did Israel accept that ?

Hezbollah caused heavy damage to Israel due to the Gaza genocide.

Hezbollah has managed to achieve some of its main goal

 

[Hack-Hook]

Hezbollah caused heavy damage to Israel due to the Gaza genocide.

Hezbollah has managed to achieve some of its main goal

What was hezbollah goals ?

 

[Mehdipersian]

What was hezbollah goals ?

The goal was to make Israel suffer a lot. and be forced to cease fire.

 

[Hack-Hook]

The goal was to make Israel suffer a lot. and be forced to cease fire.

Well some may say there was ceasefire in north.

 

[Mehdipersian]

Well some may say there was ceasefire in north.

I mean the ceasefire in Gaza. Of course, Israel was definitely looking for a war with Hezbollah from before and they were waiting for the right opportunity.

 

[StrategicBear]

It is isreli tactic to enact as much havoc as possible prior any ceasefire agreement.

To them, it's the cherry on the cake.

Muslims need to comprehend that we are not dealing with normal humans. We are dealing with Jewish fascists and supremacists who believe others are below them and they do not consider others as genuine human beings.

This is what allows them to act in such deplorable and cruel a manner. F**k the ceasefire I say, and continue bombarding Tel Aviv or at least return in kind prior any agreement.

I agree with this.

In fact, I have a better idea.

If Israeli planes even dare to drop bombs on not only Lebanese but Syrian territory during the duration of the ceasefire, then the response should be to flatten Tel Aviv to the ground with 1200+ specially-selected Ballistic Missiles from both Hezbollah and Iran.