Syrian Civil War and The future of Syria after liberation

[Developereo]

Stupid attack? The Palestinian resistance is justified. The entire world ganged up against Israel.

The people who blame Hamas have the mentality of a slave. This is the standard defence of the Zionists whenever Israel commits another atrocity, "But, but, but, October 7th...." and these Muslims parrot the Zionist propaganda. I am only surprised they also don't add "but, but, but the Holocaust".

By their logic, if a woman is being raped and she fights back, they will blame her instead of the rapist.

Let's be crystal clear: no matter what Hamas did on October 7, it does NOT justify Israel's genocide. Even many Jewish people have the courage to speak the truth, but some Muslims have the slave mentality.

 

[Sinan]

Who will block?

Damascus is in striking distance of the southern forces.

If north is and south are working together then north needs to shift focus towards the Kurds.

No, one step at a time. At best Kurds can take some desert in the East, makes no diffence.
Rebels shouldn't divide forces. Focus on bringing Assad down.

-Damascus should fall.
- Tartus and Latakia.
-Sweeping PKK to east of Eupharates
- Completely dismantling PKK in Syria.

All lands liberated.

 

[tower9]

The people who blame Hamas have the mentality of a slave. This is the standard defence of the Zionists whenever Israel commits another atrocity, "But, but, but, October 7th...." and these Muslims parrot the Zionist propaganda. I am only surprised they also don't add "but, but, but the Holocaust".

By their logic, if a woman is being raped and she fights back, they will blame her instead of the rapist.

Let's be crystal clear: no matter what Hamas did on October 7, it does NOT justify Israel's genocide. Even many Jewish people have the courage to speak the truth, but some Muslims have the slave mentality.

They victim blame as an excuse either for their own cowardice or treachery.

 

[EyelessInGaza]

Not according to the Pro-Propaganda crowd. Everything is awesome!

All our warnings and threats were dismissed and we were labeled as Zionists for not saying the all powerful Iran was crushing Israel who tommorrow would be surely eliminated. ……

This was great analysis too, but let me ask a direct question.

But before I ask, let me make clear I’m a neutral in this whole affair (Syria). I’ve been to Istanbul, and also have in the past had many Iranians as friends when I was working in the US. I think Turks and Iranians both are wonderful peoples, but that’s personal experience.

A lot of people is being blamed - the IRGC, the politicians and the generals. But how much blame for this strategy lies at the door of the Man himself? Can one not (as an analyst) question Khamanei? Isn’t he responsible for at least giving a general direction to policy?

Or does it not work that way in Iran, and he cannot be questioned?

 

[EugeneP]

The people who blame Hamas have the mentality of a slave. This is the standard defence of the Zionists whenever Israel commits another atrocity, "But, but, but, October 7th...." and these Muslims parrot the Zionist propaganda. I am only surprised they also don't add "but, but, but the Holocaust".

By their logic, if a woman is being raped and she fights back, they will blame her instead of the rapist.

Let's be crystal clear: no matter what Hamas did on October 7, it does NOT justify Israel's genocide. Even many Jewish people have the courage to speak the truth, but some Muslims have the slave mentality.

What should have been a good response by Israel against an enemy (Hamas) who's only stated goal is complete destruction of Israel? If Israel really wanted to just kill large number of Gazans, they could have dropped a few large bombs instead of bringing down individual buildings. They have killed a tiny fraction of the number of (East) Pakistanis that were killed by Pakistan military in the 1971 uprising.

 

[Musings]

Iran gave opportunity to Israel to destroy Gaza

only traitors can attack on Israel ... what a betrayal
Iran used HAMAS as a proxy to attack on Israel

RESULT
-- GAZA was destroyed
-- over 40.000 muslims were killed
-- Lebanon under attack
-- The perception of HAMAS as a terrorist organization has increased in the world
-- Israel has become a victim from aggressor


This stupid attack on Israel resulted in nothing but destruction and death to Palestinians

Palestinians have been suffering for 75 years. Women being raped - kids disappearing - land grabbed - whole generations disappearing before last October. Don’t insinuate all this started just now. No Muslim nation lifted a finger . Don’t criticise the one that did

 

[Snake]

They have killed a tiny fraction of the number of (East) Pakistanis that were killed by Pakistan military in the 1971 uprising.

You're blowing your cover EugenePritamacharya. When Israel is gassed out of existence you will be told "Well it's only a teeny tiny fraction of the numbers gassed by Hitler." Better yet October 4th was a fraction of a fraction of what Hitler did.

 

[Immortals]

A lot of people is being blamed - the IRGC, the politicians and the generals. But how much blame for this strategy lies at the door of the Man himself? Can one not (as an analyst) question Khamanei? Isn’t he responsible for at least giving a general direction to policy?

Or does it not work that way in Iran, and he cannot be questioned?

A considerable amount of blame can also lie on Rahbar, but if he is criticized by government officials it would happen behind closed doors not in the public like you see with Trump or Putin. Sure the average citizen can complain all they want, that also used to be taboo prior 2009 Green Revolution by CIA. But now people openly yell it during protests. Changing times.

At the end of the day Rahbar role in Iran is a paradox, on the surface he is powerful, but underneath he has to balance an increasingly opaque power structure. Lately he has distanced himself from being the ultimate decision marker or at least the appearance of one. He belongs to a particular conservative faction but he must make sure all power players are kept content and no one faction gains too much an upper hand (even if it’s his own allies). Most of the power factions care about gaining power over each other and superseding him when he passes. You know the usual stuff. No one wants to lose their power because they went into a costly war with America and got demolished.

It’s a very complex Roman Republic like politics. Could he make a demand and everyone has to follow? Sure, but if it turns out to be wrong or to be costly it is HIS legacy that gets tarnished. He is at the point in his life he wants to pass a strong Iran to a successor rather than a weakened Iran like Khomeini passed after years of war.

Now he is the opposite of Khomeini, Khomeini was a revolutionary interventionist and believed in expanding the revolution far beyond Iran’s borders and even conquering Karbala. After Saddam’s pathetic invasion attempt was rebelled Saddam offerred a ceasefire, but Khomeini refused to accept and wanted to press on to conquer Karbala and possible Baghdad itself. This lead to years longer war with so much death and destruction on both sides that makes Ukraine war look like child’s play. Eventually he accepted “drinking from poison chalice” in 1988 to end the war on the same ceasefire terms as 1982. It is widely known as his biggest mistake continuing the war which led the West/Arabs to arm Iraq to prevent Iranian Shiites from reaching Lebanon and the Mediterranean (Syria was the only Arab country to be allied with Iran at the time of war).

Khamenai is the opposite, he avoided war with Afghanistan in 1998 when Taliban slaughtered Iranian consulate diplomats including the diplomats children. Any country would have gone to war for far less than that, Iran did not. That set the tone for the rest of his time as Rahbar. He wanted to avoid another Iraq war and thru Solemani (one of the only generals to have a personal relationship with Rahbar) they came up with the Axis of Resistance to keep any future war far from Iran’s borders and to have enough deterrence from Israel/America. It was largely successful especially once Saddam was removed by Bush in 2003 and Iraq became a de facto Iran satellite country. Then came Hezbollah success in 2006 war with Israel. At the point it was the dawn of Iranian power.

So Rahbar shares the blame because during his time he didn’t strength the economy enough, root out corruption, and his policy of strategic patience is turning to be like the “poison chalice” making Iran weaker and more likely to have to go nuclear to save itself from Turkish and Israeli schemes.

Maybe things turn around, but it requires a complete 180 and this time there is no Solemani around.

 

[EyelessInGaza]

A considerable amount of blame can also lie on Rahbar, but if he is criticized by government officials it would happen behind closed doors not in the public like you see with Trump or Putin. Sure the average citizen can complain all they want, that also used to be taboo prior 2009 Green Revolution by CIA. But now people openly yell it during protests. Changing times.

At the end of the day Rahbar role in Iran is a paradox, on the surface he is powerful, but underneath he has to balance an increasingly opaque power structure. Lately he has distanced himself from being the ultimate decision marker or at least the appearance of one. He belongs to a particular conservative faction but he must make sure all power players are kept content and no one faction gains too much an upper hand (even if it’s his own allies). Most of the power factions care about gaining power over each other and superseding him when he passes. You know the usual stuff. No one wants to lose their power because they went into a costly war with America and got demolished.

It’s a very complex Roman Republic like politics. Could he make a demand and everyone has to follow? Sure, but if it turns out to be wrong or to be costly it is HIS legacy that gets tarnished. He is at the point in his life he wants to pass a strong Iran to a successor rather than a weakened Iran like Khomeini passed after years of war.

Now he is the opposite of Khomeini, Khomeini was a revolutionary interventionist and believed in expanding the revolution far beyond Iran’s borders and even conquering Karbala. After Saddam’s pathetic invasion attempt was rebelled Saddam offerred a ceasefire, but Khomeini refused to accept and wanted to press on to conquer Karbala and possible Baghdad itself. This lead to years longer war with so much death and destruction on both sides that makes Ukraine war look like child’s play. Eventually he accepted “drinking from poison chalice” in 1988 to end the war on the same ceasefire terms as 1982. It is widely known as his biggest mistake continuing the war which led the West/Arabs to arm Iraq to prevent Iranian Shiites from reaching Lebanon and the Mediterranean (Syria was the only Arab country to be allied with Iran at the time of war).

Khamenai is the opposite, he avoided war with Afghanistan in 1998 when Taliban slaughtered Iranian consulate diplomats including the diplomats children. Any country would have gone to war for far less than that, Iran did not. That set the tone for the rest of his time as Rahbar. He wanted to avoid another Iraq war and thru Solemani (one of the only generals to have a personal relationship with Rahbar) they came up with the Axis of Resistance to keep any future war far from Iran’s borders and to have enough deterrence from Israel/America. It was largely successful especially once Saddam was removed by Bush in 2003 and Iraq became a de facto Iran satellite country. Then came Hezbollah success in 2006 war with Israel. At the point it was the dawn of Iranian power.

So Rahbar shares the blame because during his time he didn’t strength the economy enough, root out corruption, and his policy of strategic patience is turning to be like the “poison chalice” making Iran weaker and more likely to have to go nuclear to save itself from Turkish and Israeli schemes.

Maybe things turn around, but it requires a complete 180 and this time there is no Solemani around.

Thank you for that analysis and insight. It’s very illuminating.

Solemani’s loss I think was a strategic blow.

 

[Developereo]

What should have been a good response by Israel against an enemy (Hamas) who's only stated goal is complete destruction of Israel? If Israel really wanted to just kill large number of Gazans, they could have dropped a few large bombs instead of bringing down individual buildings. They have killed a tiny fraction of the number of (East) Pakistanis that were killed by Pakistan military in the 1971 uprising.

1. Why do you bring 1971 Pakistan into the discussion?
2. Why are you ashamed to show your Indian flag?

I will only respond further if you show your Indian flag.

 

[MMM-E]

Palestinians have been suffering for 75 years. Women being raped - kids disappearing - land grabbed - whole generations disappearing before last October. Don’t insinuate all this started just now. No Musljm nation lifted a finger . Don’t criticise the one that did

Iran has brought nothing but destruction and death to the Palestinians

Palestine experienced destruction and death in 1 year that did not happen in 75 years combined

On the opposite side there are USA , The UK , Germany and France to protect Israel
Before the right time comes , Weak Iran can't solve the Palestinian problem militarily and the situation has become 100 times worse

Türkiye was preventing this cruelty of Israel and Iran took it away with the HAMAS attack and gave Israel an excuse to destroy Gaza

Iran has wasted Turkiye's $500 billion loss for Palestine so far

 

[j_hungary]

Russian navy evacuates second key base this year

Satellite imagery shows Russia relocated vessels from Syria's port of Tartus, raising questions about Moscow's help for its ally.

www.newsweek.com

Well, if this is true, seems like Assad is doomed.

Would have thought the Russian are going to at least fight for it, but seems they did the reasonable thing to just leave........

That gonna blow back on Russian international image......and this is going to have implication to Russian allies in Africa as well.

 

[ziaulislam]

What should have been a good response by Israel against an enemy (Hamas) who's only stated goal is complete destruction of Israel? If Israel really wanted to just kill large number of Gazans, they could have dropped a few large bombs instead of bringing down individual buildings. They have killed a tiny fraction of the number of (East) Pakistanis that were killed by Pakistan military in the 1971 uprising.

Absolutely shameless bullshit

First Hamas has PUBLICALLY STATED IT will so have arab league accept Israel if it ends occupation

Every form of resistance against occupation is JUSTIFIED(just like it was in WW2 EUROPE)..hence evey form of resistance against Israel is JUSTIFIED UNTILL it ends INTERNATIONALLY RECOGNIZED INCLUDING BY USA occupation of west bank (even though this UN given land itself was nothing but white colonist granting land illegal to foreigners)

Reality is Israel will annex all Palestine kill many more millions untill 20-30-50 or even 100 years kater the arabs come to their senses and take back everything..i mean whats the end game here kife happily ever after in foteign land surrounded by 100x your population (Israeli jews are 6 million vs 500m arabs)

Its not matter of if arabs/muslims will push the colonial powers out but when

The only way for Israel to save itself was to do the right thing and leave the land it occupied (by western standards i.e keep the UN granted landed) but ofcourse it wont..hence when it comes to war they will get the karma

Karma is real give it another 50,100 or even a 1000 years ..the arabs/muslims and their animosity to Israel isn't going anywhere

Good luck Israel..the arabs, persians turks and Muslims arent going to magically disappear in next 1000 years but the USA empire and their aircraft carriers can, as all empires fall

 

[Immortals]

Iran has brought nothing but destruction and death to the Palestinians

This is nonsense. Iran is one of the only countries that built Palestinian resistance up from kids throwing rocks at tanks under Yasser Arafat to a force that fired 5,000 rockets in 2 weeks at Israel in the 2021 conflict and trained soldiers that can fight against IDF toe to toe. It seems you forget how weak Palestine was from the 80’s up to early 2000’s.

Without Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Gaza would be just be like West Bank routinely getting invaded by settlers with a stooge like Abbas ruling over it for better or worse.

Palestine experienced destruction and death in 1 year that did not happen in 75 years combined

That you can thank Sinwar and Muhammad Deif. Iran wasn’t even told of 10/7. All evidence points to this being Deif’s masterplan alongside Sinwar being the political leader of Hamas inside Gaza post attack. It was Deif and Sinwar that refused to release the hostages. It was Qatar/Egypt/USA at the negotiating rooms with Israel, Iran was not even invited. Hamas political arm was living in Doha not Tehran. Yet Iran is the one that caused this?

Iran would never have approved 10/7 because there was no attainable goal. It was just “**** shit up and see what happens”. I’m not sure what Sinwar or Deif thought would happen? That Arabs would rush to their aid? That Iran would go to war with Israel? Maybe they thought if Arabs all normalized with Abraham’s Accord then there would be no one to support a Palestinian state in the Arab world. Who knows the logic.

I can only guess maybe they thought the hostages would secure them relief from the punishing blockade and become a 2006 60 day war that got them more rights. But that possibility went out the window once they killed 1,000+ Israelis. At that point Israel was going to go full Grozny on Gaza.

The whole attack never made sense. And iran is way too pragmatic/conservative to support such a suicide option with no end goal especially after pouring all those resources to make Gaza be able to resist Israeli expansion.

It reminded me of Imperial Japan deciding to surprise attack USA at Pearl Harbor only to get nuked (twice) and conquered and brought the U.S. into WW2.

Sinwar and Deif made a strategic error that cost everyone (Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran). You forget Iran and Hamas broke ties in 2010’s due to Hamas support for “Syrian rebels” and its anti Hezbollah stance for coming into the war.

Ironically in 2024 it was Hezbollah, Houthi’s, and Iraqi milita (All Shiites) that supported and fought for ceasefire that got Nasrallah killed because he refused to drop HZ attacks in the north without Gaza ceasefire. Yet in 2024 it is those same “Syrian rebels” cheering the genocide of Gaza and Hamas calling them infidels.

 

[FHN]

All I know so far that Netanyahu actually won, he outsmarted everyone, his gov is still in power, defeated all his long life enemies, and now he is changing the middle east like he said he would. He plays with Arabs and Muslims like toys.