Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[vmro]

Your concern about your homeland turning into another Syria is totally valid, and I respect that. It’s always smart to stay cautious and not underestimate potential threats. I also agree that Iran having nukes as a deterrent makes sense. But the situation is very different, and here’s why:

When ISIS and Sunni tribes kicked out the corrupt and incompetent Iraqi military at that time, it wasn’t because ISIS was super powerful—it was because the Iraqi system was a mess. The military was full of treasonous, quota-based officers who bailed the second things got tough, especially in Sunni-majority areas like Mosul. These areas already hated the Shia-led government because of Saddam’s downfall and other sectarian BS, so they didn’t resist ISIS. Locals didn’t just tolerate them; they welcomed them.

Now, compare that to Shia-majority cities in Iraq. Even when the military was in shambles and didn’t have basic stuff like fighter jets or drones, ISIS couldn’t take a single Shia city. Why? Because the people actually fought back. You had teenagers and old men with hunting rifles defending their homes. That level of resistance doesn’t happen unless the locals absolutely refuse to let outsiders in.

Iran’s situation is even more unified. Most major cities are populated by people who share the same religion, language, and culture. Genuine question: would an Iranian who’s critical or outright hates the government really let Sunni Baloch extremists into their city knowing they might start raping and beheading their families, friends, colleagues and neighbors? Highly doubtful.

The only places where I could see some kind of collapse happening are in Baloch or Kurdish regions. But even then, it wouldn’t last long. The Iranian government and military have way too much manpower and resources to let something like that spiral out of control.

Yes, Iran has its flaws, and there are definitely spies and traitors, but the country still has a strong sense of national unity and relatively solid institutions. Sure, enemies could try to stir up trouble in Sunni-majority areas, and they might succeed in causing some chaos. But in my opinion Iran’s more than capable of handling those kinds of threats.

C"mon man, that is sci-fi scenario, hundreds of thousands madmen in run on iran, and it will be like Syria...
That's impossible for few crucial reasons...Arabs are not nation, no one, unlike Iran...

This kind of invasion was tried by most capable Arab army ever, Sadam's army, with million heavily armed forces supported from all sides, during big internal struggle and division within Iran itself, on only flat field on Iranian borders, with arab majority, arabistan old name...

Everyone was sure that would be quick and easy victory for powerful and ready military against shaken Iran that was practically without functional army...

What happened???
Simply, they couldn't predict that Iran is nation, and will put internal divisions to defend homeland...

What is that entity that will find millions soldiers to attack on Iran, and to prevail...???

That was final proof of reality that Iran is nation and will fight for Iran...

Aside from the fact that there is a reason why is named "Iranian Fortress", is goddammit logistical nightmare to penetrate one of the most hostile mountains that are natural borders of Iran...

Look serious analysis of what countries are hardest to invade and why Iran is always on such lists...

Of course, it's not impossible, and that has been happened few times in....3000 years, by most powerful forces in human history...

But after Sadam Hussein, no one will ever underestimate Iranian nationalism...and I will repeat, that was only arab army that during that times was really capable, heavily armed and supported by tens of countries for recourses...

Arabian land is flat dust, and and comparisons from tactical-logistical position end to be serious...

But yes, it's always smart to stay cautious, but not to overestimate fantasy scenario...

 

[Immortals]

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Great we got Iranian Biden leading iran.

 

[Mehdipersian]

The place where the Yemeni drone hit Israel

 

[Tijani]

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Sohail Karimi should know better! As I stated before. This can not be true! Whether any Iranian controlled contingent in Syria is to fight or not is not the prerogative of the Iranian president. He presides over national security meetings as president and would probably have a say when such and if such things are decided in the Supreme National Security Council. There are 23 sitting members and there's no way a novice president would have that kind of clout influence all of them and besides all decision taken by the SNSC must be confirmed by the Supreme Leader in order to come in to effect.

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[Mehdipersian]

Hebrew Channel 14:
Israel completely destroyed more than 180 Syrian fighter jets.

 

[jauk]

Sorry folks...I was 'banned' without reason. And now I was unbanned without asking to be unbanned. Nothing will change for me. I will continue call out the anti-Iranians here (you know the regular crew) and I will continue to challenge any mod that posts anti-Iranian hogwash. @Waz @Musings

Anyway, about Syria, the developing narrative is that Assad simply did not want to be or pursue activities within the AoR. There are different rationale provided for this where none really jive with me.

To me, the simplest explanation, is he feared for his life given the assassinations of Hezbollah leaders and with Iran being unable to protect them/him. It's simple as that. Any other rationale beyond this fundamental point is conjecture. Regardless, this is a strategic loss for the IRI and a PORTION of the AoR. There's no other way to put this. Additionally, the ongoing onslaught on Syria's defense systems is a red herring. Zionia is after Iranian assets in Syria which are far more advanced and capable. Syria didn't have anything worthwhile to bomb in the first place.

All this, however, does not nullify the strategic defeat of Zionia on Oct 7. They will not recover from any of this. AoR will. Resources put into an historical fragile asset like Syria will now be freed up.

So all this hogwash posted before is nothing more than hogwash. Just needed to wait for a few days. That's all.

 

[vmro]

I don’t give a damn for Syria anymore, and almost everyone in my circle, they already destroyed own country and even celebrate...Part of country is already occupied, and process is going on, but if they are happy to be slaves, good luck...Best case is West Bank, with status of unsecured and insulted half-slaves, where zionists can enter into their own homes to insult families...worst case is Gaza, or deadly starvation...they sold own country practically without firing bullet...

But they are obviously happy with their disastrous reality, and I respect that...everyone has right to degrade himself...congratulations to Syrian friends...

 

[Nuffle]

2. Russian air force was dominating Syria's airspace for Syrian troops, and SAA forces still gave up.

This is a complete lie.

In almost nine years of Russian intervention, the IAF (Israel) has been freely bombing Syria, from ammunition depots to airfields, with the RuAF providing no opposition to Israel. No army can maintain the morale and ability to fight with its ally by simply ignoring the intense and continuous IAF strikes on Syrian territory.

 

[Nuffle]

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Interesting backstory by the Russians

The SAA under Assad did not want to modernize, because at the same time in 2018 regarding the reforms advocated by Moscow at the time, Syria was negotiating a ceasefire and was beginning to demobilize. Syria's dependence on private militias, Iran and Russia, with Assad's total neglect to modernize the army eventually led to Syria's downfall, but this is hardly entirely Assad's fault, because he really did not have the economy to achieve the desired status of modernization in the army, when everyone in the country was living in poverty.

 

[Garcia Sea]

Of course, we do not condone taking life lightly.
But when I see a Russian soldier shot to death laughing after asking for a cigarette and having a smoke before being executed in Ukraine.
Or to see a Russian soldier jumping alive into an enemy trench.
I can't say that I don't think of it in comparison to the sight of soldiers fleeing immediately in the Muslim world.

This is due to the difference in history that has been nurtured over the years, and it does not seem to be something that can be overturned by religious beliefs.
Even fanatical Al Qaeda members have never shown the manly appearance of Russian soldiers before their executions.

Russia is by no means right, but surely there is something wrong with the state of society and nations in the Middle East that lack so much courage to defend their countries.
Sinwar was indeed brave, but Russia is as brave as Sinwar, down to each and every man at the end of the line.

 

[vmro]

This is a complete lie.

In almost nine years of Russian intervention, the IAF (Israel) has been freely bombing Syria, from ammunition depots to airfields, with the RuAF providing no opposition to Israel. No army can maintain the morale and ability to fight with its ally by simply ignoring the intense and continuous IAF strikes on Syrian territory.

90% of targets were Iranian targets, on one or other way, borders were keeping by Russian, they didn't want to provoke idf and distance from Iran...cowardly and dishonesty, probably enriched with plenty of traitors...now everyone is guilty except them...how yes no...

 

[Mehdipersian]

Turkey/israel plan for syria

 

[Flotilla]

Sorry folks...I was 'banned' without reason. And now I was unbanned without asking to be unbanned. Nothing will change for me. I will continue call out the anti-Iranians here (you know the regular crew) and I will continue to challenge any mod that posts anti-Iranian hogwash. @Waz @Musings

Anyway, about Syria, the developing narrative is that Assad simply did not want to be or pursue activities within the AoR. There are different rationale provided for this where none really jive with me.

To me, the simplest explanation, is he feared for his life given the assassinations of Hezbollah leaders and with Iran being unable to protect them/him. It's simple as that. Any other rationale beyond this fundamental point is conjecture. Regardless, this is a strategic loss for the IRI and a PORTION of the AoR. There's no other way to put this. Additionally, the ongoing onslaught on Syria's defense systems is a red herring. Zionia is after Iranian assets in Syria which are far more advanced and capable. Syria didn't have anything worthwhile to bomb in the first place.

All this, however, does not nullify the strategic defeat of Zionia on Oct 7. They will not recover from any of this. AoR will. Resources put into an historical fragile asset like Syria will now be freed up.

So all this hogwash posted before is nothing more than hogwash. Just needed to wait for a few days. That's all.

You are the real first persian astronaut in the forum. You went out of the atmosphere and came back

 

[Mr Iran Eye]

Geopolitical Analysis - Fall of Bashar Al-Assad: The Game of the Actors

Iran and Russia have decided to distance themselves from Bashar al-Assad, who has become increasingly troublesome and deaf to calls for peace talks. Support for Syria has proven particularly costly for Iran, which has not obtained the expected benefits from its engagement.

The Syrian army, under the command of Assad, has shown its inaction in the face of the challenges posed to its strategic ally, Hezbollah.

When the latter found itself confronted by Israel, Damascus chose not to intervene, going so far as to turn a blind eye to Israeli incursions into Syrian airspace, aimed at destroying the military capabilities of the "party of God".

The death of Hassan Nasrallah marked a turning point, but Damascus remained motionless. For Tehran, continuing to sacrifice itself for a leader deemed increasingly less useful was no longer a viable option. Russia is focused on Ukraine, a vital conflict.

- A conflict that remains complex
Despite these upheavals, the Syrian conflict is far from being resolved, and the West cannot proclaim itself the winner. The Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), although marginalized, still drags terrorist antecedents that no one ignores.

For its part, Turkey continues its maneuvers in eastern Syria, in support of the Free National Army, while the Islamic State continues to operate in the Syrian desert. The Kurds, for their part, still benefit from the support of the United States. This unstable context keeps the region in a strategic impasse where nothing is yet decided. The coming months will be crucial.

- The big winners: Israel and Turkey
In this imbroglio, Israel and Turkey appear to be the main beneficiaries. The Hebrew State seems determined to keep Syria in a state of chaos, as evidenced by the recent Israeli bombings.

Some observers are talking about the possibility of an agreement between Trump and Putin, a possible geopolitical barter: "I leave you Syria, and you give me the Donbass." But for now, these speculations remain unconfirmed. The coming days could bring clarifications.
El Hadji Ibrahima Faye

 

[Mr Iran Eye]

Sorry folks...I was 'banned' without reason. And now I was unbanned without asking to be unbanned. Nothing will change for me. I will continue call out the anti-Iranians here (you know the regular crew) and I will continue to challenge any mod that posts anti-Iranian hogwash. @Waz @Musings

Anyway, about Syria, the developing narrative is that Assad simply did not want to be or pursue activities within the AoR. There are different rationale provided for this where none really jive with me.

To me, the simplest explanation, is he feared for his life given the assassinations of Hezbollah leaders and with Iran being unable to protect them/him. It's simple as that. Any other rationale beyond this fundamental point is conjecture. Regardless, this is a strategic loss for the IRI and a PORTION of the AoR. There's no other way to put this. Additionally, the ongoing onslaught on Syria's defense systems is a red herring. Zionia is after Iranian assets in Syria which are far more advanced and capable. Syria didn't have anything worthwhile to bomb in the first place.

All this, however, does not nullify the strategic defeat of Zionia on Oct 7. They will not recover from any of this. AoR will. Resources put into an historical fragile asset like Syria will now be freed up.

So all this hogwash posted before is nothing more than hogwash. Just needed to wait for a few days. That's all.

Some moderators should be moderated by other moderators because they are censoring and have a power trip. You can't block a topic you don't like or an opinion that bothers you, the role of a forum moderator doesn't work like that.