Indian false flag and current Indo-Pak stand-off updates

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Yes, I remember that. Now that was triggered by such a False Flag operation that it defies logic! So some 'Pakistan backed terrorists' attacked the highly fortified Indian Parliament in New Delhi in broad day light and that too shortly after 9/11 when Pakistan was in a very precarious situation. There were about zero chances of causing any major damage to the Parliament building or killing Indian legislators. I don't know exactly what happened but I suspect Indian intelligence agencies managed some hardened criminals or some other political / militants to get into a vehicle and launch that stupid frontal attack. The attackers were killed but India used that as an excuse to launch the Operation Parakram: A mobilization to launch a full scale attack on Pakistan. India was trying to take advantage of Pakistan's newly weakened position. This was shortly after 9/11 and Americans needed the Pakistanis on Pakistan's western borders. Musharraf threatened to divert Pakistan's focus and resources to counter India and Pakistan in fact started its own mobilization. Bush Junior eventually prevailed on India to backpaddle but that was one humiliating and casualty heavy retreat of the Indian army, as your link shows.
The so called 'Parliament Attack' was so ludicrous that at that time, Ardeshir Cowasjee, who was a veteran Parsi jounalist on Dawn.com and not particularly a fan of anything about Pakistan had to call it an Indian false flag: In his words 'Not even a dhoti worn by the Indian parliamentarians was shredded'.
PS. I am working off my memory from 23-24 years ago and I have not Googled. So maybe a few places off but that's the gist I believe in.
 
What did the Indians expect? That they'd forever roam freely in land they are forcibly occupying?

If it wasnt for the cowardice of multiple Pakistani governments, Indian occupiers (uniformed or otherwise) would face daily attacks by freedom fighters.
 
Yes, I remember that. Now that was triggered by such a False Flag operation that it defies logic! So some 'Pakistan backed terrorists' attacked the highly fortified Indian Parliament in New Delhi in broad day light and that too shortly after 9/11 when Pakistan was in a very precarious situation. There were about zero chances of causing any major damage to the Parliament building or killing Indian legislators. I don't know exactly what happened but I suspect Indian intelligence agencies managed some hardened criminals or some other political / militants to get into a vehicle and launch that stupid frontal attack. The attackers were killed but India used that as an excuse to launch the Operation Parakram: A mobilization to launch a full scale attack on Pakistan. India was trying to take advantage of Pakistan's newly weakened position. This was shortly after 9/11 and Americans needed the Pakistanis on Pakistan's western borders. Musharraf threatened to divert Pakistan's focus and resources to counter India and Pakistan in fact started its own mobilization. Bush Junior eventually prevailed on India to backpaddle but that was one humiliating and casualty heavy retreat of the Indian army, as your link shows.
The so called 'Parliament Attack' was so ludicrous that at that time, Ardeshir Cowasjee, who was a veteran Parsi jounalist on Dawn.com and not particularly a fan of anything about Pakistan had to call it an Indian false flag: In his words 'Not even a dhoti worn by the Indian parliamentarians was shredded'.
PS. I am working off my memory from 23-24 years ago and I have not Googled. So maybe a few places off but that's the gist I believe in.
oh bhai why would we do something as ridiculous as this event when JD Vance enjoying butter chickunn in Jaipur and that Modi sucking off the sawdis? Embarrass both our biggest creditors in one go?

Aur hum khud IMF k bhattay per zinda?....... :ROFLMAO:

Blaming us for this is total bullshit!

Hum pagal hain jo hum ye harkat karen gay? aur vo bhee iss waqt?........lol
 
It’s a EMB 135BJ legacy, VIP transport I think - either Jaishanker or Rajanth Singh (likely the latter) since Amit shah is already in Srinagar.
Just touched down in Srinagar dual AFS/airport
 
What is Indian Govt official stand so far? did they actually blame Pakistan or its just 2 rupee ke Indian trolls and keyboard warriors posting their sick fantasies here ?
 
It might not be difficult..but it far easier to find Pakistanis who hate India are ready to commit terror for their beliefs

I would be surprised if no Pakistani link is found to this terrorist attack.
Consider who this benefits, we can’t discount the possibility this could be a false flag. Perhaps some patsies, some organization within the Indians establishment, recruited claiming to be some militant group, and brainwashed them to attack tourists, knowing the local and global outcry it would cause. Considering Kashmir people need tourists for this livelihood, this makes less sense than that false flag attack in 2019. India seems to love false flag attacks nowadays, in hopes of maligning Pakistan, and keeping it off balance and unstable, while India has the space to build its economy, and thus its leverage to become the regional hegemon.

The timing coinciding not only with Vance’s visit, but also considering how much in disarray Pakistan looks to be after years of instability and economic woes.

Pakistan being blamed for atrocities plays well India’s narrative meant to isolate Pakistan (more so than its already doing to itself). Pakistan needs to rebuild its leverage on the global stage if it is to protect itself without being forced to fight a war to do so.
 
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oh bhai why would we do something as ridiculous as this event when JD Vance enjoying butter chickunn in Jaipur and that Modi sucking off the sawdis? Embarrass both our biggest creditors in one go?

Aur hum khud IMF k bhattay per zinda?....... :ROFLMAO:

Blaming us for this is total bullshit!

Hum pagal hain jo hum ye harkat karen gay? aur vo bhee iss waqt?........lol
Yes Bhai , Pakistan is an innocent and harmless country .... Indians can do whatever they want in Baluchistan and get away scot-free .
 
The situation for poor Palestinians keeps getting worse every day, and yet some in India seem to gloat over their suffering and they are sent a reminder that is suffering can knock on anyone's door.

It’s hard to ignore how convenient the timing of this latest massacre is—it appears designed to provoke anti-Muslim sentiments, especially now that relations between India and Pakistan seem to be improving. Could this be tied to an upcoming election in India (perhaps our Indian friends can inform)? Stirring nationalist feelings, particularly through hostility toward Pakistan, has long been a strategy to rally votes for Hindu nationalist parties. This brutal attack may be aimed at pushing India more firmly into the anti-Muslim alliance that seems to be forming globally.

But the bigger question is: Why now?

The United States is on the verge of launching a strike against Iran. Could this massacre be part of a broader geopolitical move, maybe even to justify or distract from military actions in the region? Perhaps some stealth bombers will even fly toward Islamabad, sending a powerful message while also taking aim at Pakistan under the guise of fighting extremism. With the massive buildup of U.S. military forces—warships, aircraft, troops—it feels like the entire region is under threat. Every country is now a potential target.


It’s not surprising, especially considering the recent visits by American diplomats—often seen as representatives of Israeli interests—to key countries in the region. Historically, these visits are followed by some kind of escalation or dramatic event. The writing on the wall suggests that a war with Iran is all but certain. The so-called negotiations may just be a front to gain public and international support by painting Iran’s leadership as irrational and dangerous.

If war does break out, it will be a risky gamble for both Trump and Netanyahu. But it would also completely reshape the power dynamics in the Middle East. The global balance is already shaky, and a full-scale conflict could tip the world into a new order.

The big question is: How will Pakistan respond to this chaos? Can it use the turmoil to its advantage, or will it be pulled into the conflict? With the lure of petrodollars from Arab allies and the high-level attention from U.S. envoys, it seems unlikely Pakistan will remain neutral. So, what’s the real game plan for both Pakistan and India?

Meanwhile, powers like China and Russia are closely watching the situation. They’ll likely use any conflict in the Middle East to their benefit—fueling the Iran war to distract the U.S. and ease pressure off their own strategic fronts, like Ukraine and Taiwan. They might see this as a golden opportunity to push back against the U.S. and its allies, especially the neoconservative factions driving much of this foreign policy.

The assertion that “This is Israel’s last gamble too; a weakened U.S. will have catastrophic impact on its survivability as it is already choking on Gaza” crystallizes a stark geopolitical warning. It argues that Israel’s prolonged military campaign in Gaza has become a strategic quagmire, and that without the firm backing of a robust United States—militarily, financially, and diplomatically—Israel’s very capacity to defend itself and maintain regional deterrence is imperiled. Below, I advance a structured, evidence-based argument in support of this thesis.




I. Israel’s Gaza Campaign as a Strategic Quagmire​


Since the resumption of hostilities in March 2025, Israel’s airstrikes and ground operations in Gaza have inflicted devastating civilian and infrastructural damage, yet have failed to deliver a decisive victory over Hamas. On April 22 alone, airstrikes killed at least 17 Palestinians and destroyed nine bulldozers and other rescue equipment provided by Egypt and Qatar—equipment critical for clearing rubble and aiding humanitarian relief AP News. This persistent destruction underscores that Israel is expending enormous resources without securing lasting peace or stability, validating concerns that its Gaza campaign is more attritional than conclusive CSIS.




II. The Human and Political Costs of “Choking” on Gaza​


Beyond the immediate military stalemate, the Gaza offensive has generated profound moral and diplomatic costs. According to an IISS analysis, both belligerents in Gaza may emerge weaker after the conflict, suggesting that Israel’s tactical gains are undercut by broader strategic losses IISS. International condemnation has surged, fueling protests on university campuses and driving a record number of antisemitic incidents in the U.S. tied directly to anger over Israel’s actions in Gaza AP News. Domestically, the high casualty toll and humanitarian fallout are eroding public support and placing enormous strain on Israel’s social fabric—an unsustainable trajectory for any democracy.




III. The U.S. as Israel’s Strategic Lifeline​


Israel’s qualitative military edge hinges almost entirely on U.S. aid. Under the current Memorandum of Understanding, Washington commits $3.8 billion annually in military assistance through 2028—funds that sustain advanced weapons systems from Iron Dome interceptors to F-35 fighters Council on Foreign Relations. In addition, the U.S. has furnished over $130 billion in bilateral security cooperation since Israel’s founding, making American backing the backbone of Israeli defense State Department. This level of support not only provides materiel but also diplomatic shielding at the United Nations and beyond.




IV. Signs of a “Weakened U.S.”​


Yet, the United States itself faces mounting domestic and international pressures that threaten its ability to sustain unqualified support. Polarized domestic politics have resulted in record-high antisemitic incidents, illustrating that Israel–U.S. solidarity is under societal strain AP News. Globally, Washington’s strategic bandwidth is stretched thin by the wars in Ukraine, rivalry with China, and crises from Niger to the Sahel—diminishing its capacity to intervene diplomatically or militarily on Israel’s behalf Atlantic Council. Should U.S. political dysfunction or strategic fatigue force a retrenchment, Israel would find itself deprived of its most critical protector.




V. Catastrophic Impact on Israeli Survivability​


Without continuous U.S. backing, Israel’s survivability would be gravely threatened. Its qualitative military edge would erode as spare parts, munitions, and advanced technologies become scarce; diplomatic isolation could leave it vulnerable to sanctions or restrictions on arms imports; and regional adversaries like Iran and Hezbollah might exploit any perceived vulnerability. As one analyst warns, Israel’s long-term security cannot endure absent the U.S. “umbrella” of force projection and deterrence Carnegie Endowment.




VI. “Last Gamble” and the Imperative for Strategy Reassessment​


Framing the Gaza campaign as Israel’s “last gamble” emphasizes that the current strategy risks irreversible damage to the U.S.–Israel alliance. If Washington’s domestic or global challenges force it to scale back support, Israel could confront an existential crisis, having depleted its own economic and political capital without neutralizing its fiercest foes. The gamble, then, is twofold: to achieve a strategic breakthrough in Gaza, and to ensure the U.S. remains strong enough to underwrite Israel’s defense for years to come.




Conclusion​


Israel’s ongoing military efforts in Gaza, coupled with potential U.S. retrenchment, constitute a high-stakes gamble with existential implications. The evidence—from battlefield stalemates and humanitarian catastrophes to the immensity of American aid and Washington’s own vulnerabilities—converges on a single warning: without substantive shifts in strategy and a revitalized U.S.–Israel partnership, Israel may find itself irreversibly weakened. Recognizing this reality is the first step toward crafting a more sustainable approach to security, diplomacy, and regional stability.
 
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The only thing that stopped India from launching a full-scale war on Pakistan was Abhinandan being captured alive in Pakistan. Had he not been captured or had he been martyred, the world might have witnessed another 1971.
You are out of your rehabilitation cell?
I will suggest you to stop watching Indian movies.
 
What did the Indians expect? That they'd forever roam freely in land they are forcibly occupying?

If it wasnt for the cowardice of multiple Pakistani governments, Indian occupiers (uniformed or otherwise) would face daily attacks by freedom fighters.
Yeah, Indian occupiers should face daily attacks by freedom fighters. But the Kashmiri freedom fighters have never attacked tourists. It's simply not their way of working. The main source of income for most Kashmiri people is tourism. Why freedom fighters would deprive their own people of their source of income.

On the contrary, this terrorist attack is very similar in its nature, timing, and number of casualties to the attack in 2000 when 36 innocent Sikh were murdered by Indian agencies just before US president Clinton started his Indian visit. The goal was to gain diplomatic mileage from the high profile visit. Only Indian Hindu Brahmins have such an evil mentality.
 
Let me be the Devil's Advocate here. It may turn out to be "The Boy Who Cries Wolf" story for Bharat! Why?
  • The conventional advantage of Bharat over Pak is at its lowest point. The IAF Chief is openly weeping like a little girl.
  • The PA is gradually adopting the highly successful asymmetric robotic warfare tactics against Bharat's Afghanistan-based proxy terrorists.
  • BD has slipped out of Bharat's hand, so she's trying all sorts of dirty games inside BD. And, it requires resources.
  • China is all over the LAC with an active pursuit to regain her lost glory and prove her place under the sun. Any lapse in concentration, and a large chunk of Bharat's land may get lost forever.
  • President Trump doesn't give any damn to any outsider other than Israil for he's waging an existential "financial war" for the USA.
  • Russia is in a war, and so is Israil.
  • Etc.
 
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