I don´t think Strikes will come because they will achieve nothing. It is honestly just another Israeli propaganda they do it every other 2 month and just paper selling and Israel trying to make themselves look big nothing to see here really.
Lets assume the negotiations fall. The US knows that irrelevant strikes are futile and not worth the time. But the Americans will rather prepare for an incursion. Toppling the regime and physically occupying Iran is the only way and they fully are well aware of it. I mean all of their command intelligence.
They will try to lobby for alliances regionally and Iran will also do the same thing hence they will try to out witt each other but at the end of the day who can offer most will win. My prediction is that Iraq completely gives the green light thru that corridor and Iran gets invaded..
Besides the incursion won´t occur now but most likely year after the Gaza war ends which means the Gaza war will end in this summer with a ceasefire and the Americans will wait for 1 more year quitely preparing the ground for an invasion into Iran.
I would say by October-November 2026 they will launch the war, all provinces in Iran will be entered..
I will even try to pinpoint the allies who will enter Iran on one cold morning.
The US armed forces, Turkish armed forces, Syrian armed forces (HTS, FSA) The British armed forces, and allied with gazillions of Ukraine armd forces volunteers who are out for revenge (Note at this point there will be ceasefire in Ukraine and finally the Polish armed forces..
They will enter from 5 sectors while Ilham Aliyev will cease eastern Azeribaijan.
Ahmed Al-Sharaa will bring in atleast 500.000 forces and will become a darling in the western media for awhile after a successful invasion into Iran
The US will keep forces in Iran for 10 years and while the Syrian forces will exit after 12 years of counter-terrorism basically breaking the back of the Iranians. A new pro-pan Turkish gov´t will be etablished by US/Turkey.
The Syrians will showcase great professionalism receive the most success on their sector penetrating right thru the Iranian armed forces with ease.