gambit
Professional
Once an event occurred, any argument containing the words 'if' and 'had' quite become academic. Neither Russia nor China nor the rest of BRIC will do anything to help Iran, to the consternation of many, inside and out of the US, who predicted that. Why did that assistance not happened? That was a rhetorical question, anyway.United States is an Empire that wants to rule the world.
American Empire is vast and has a sphere of influence that includes such client states like UK, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Poland, Ukraine, South Korea, Japan, Saudi Arabia.
America wants to be the only Great Power of the planet.
Countries that challenge American desire for global hegemony are China, Russia and Iran. These countries are about to form an anti-American Continental coalition that will oppose US and its global Empire. So US wants to knock out these countries before they grow into a serious challenge.
And they start with the weakest of the three - Iran. If Iran gets nuclear weapons and ICBMs it will be a boost to China and a challenge to American hegemony, so US wants to demilitarize Iran leaving it without the ability to produce nuclear weapons, ICBMs, long range ballistic missiles and strip Iran of its regional sphere of influence.
After Iran is demilitarized, US will try to finish off the second weakest of the three - Russia. US will do it by arming Ukraine and Poland and trying to destabilize Russia internally.
US has 10 years to neutralize Iran and Russia before China reaches military parity with US and becomes a serious challenge.
After Iran and Russia are finished off, US will encircle, isolate and contain China.
It is a battle between the American Empire and the Continental Coalition and China must prevent fall of Iran and Russia, because if this happens China will be encircled, isolated and easily contained by the US.
BRIC is not NATO, not even in the same principled level that created NATO, in other words, BRIC was weak to start. Not 'weakened' but simply weak. NATO was a response to a threat, the Warsaw Pact. BRIC was created as a threat like how the Warsaw Pact was created. Unfortunately, at least the Warsaw Pact had at least a perceived threat, the West, whereas BRIC had nothing and China was a weak leader of BRIC.
The most important lesson here is that if you* want to challenge an alliance, whether that alliance is formal like NATO or notional like 'The West', you* and your* alliance had better have similar ideological, economics, and military powers to whoever is your target. BRIC never had it. There is no one in BRIC that can match the US, the leader of the notional 'West'. China is not a similar leader in BRIC and will stand back and watch Iran fall.
*Note: the 'you' generic and not personal.






