Farhan23
Registered Member
Look, it’s not that simple. Hezbollah can’t just open a big front like you’re saying.
First, they’re politically cornered in Lebanon. Most people there don’t want another war with Israel. The country’s broke, people are furious about the destruction already, and there’s zero appetite for another war.
If Hezbollah drags Lebanon into a massive war against the will of the people, they’re risking their entire position. The idea that the Lebanese Army will disarm them because they’re quiet is wrong, it’s actually if they force Lebanon into war that everyone will turn on them and demand they give up their weapons. It’s all talks now, but if there’s a new war, they’ll make it happen.
And you’re ignoring the bigger regional plan here. The US, Turkey, Israel, and Arab states want to finish off all Iranian-backed groups in the region. There’s a real risk of Turkish backed Al-Qaida joining in against Hezbollah. Turkey controls those groups and they will send them to Lebanon under the cover of «protecting Sunnis»
So Hezbollah knows they’re stuck. Starting a big war means losing their arsenal, getting Lebanon flattened, losing support at home, and facing enemies on multiple fronts. That’s why they’re being cautious.
Honestly them being cautious is against the logic.. What benefits does it do for them once they are disarmed by the lebanese gov´t and they join the gov´t as political entity? What benefit do they get from that? Absolutely nothing.
Turkey will not send Syria into Lebanon they have no interest there or what not nor will the Tripoli militants back stab Hezbollah they are allies for over 30+ years. If the war starts the war starts hence the problem is also why does Hezbollah care so much for Lebanon dude F´ Lebanon let it blow up which will benefit Hezbollah as The US, Sissi and GCC will be the losers as they have alot of economical assests inside Lebanon plus there are also Mashiy elements they will flee at the event of war.
It is very regretable that Lebanon goes untouched. I would even argue Hezbollah to come down hard in order to force Israel to come down hard as well.
The necessary goal is to create a meat-grinder in Lebanon and possibly a prolonged war a decade long it will automatically clean-up from the inside out
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