vizier
Registered Member
As Russia is busy taking Pokrovsk area Ukraine is gradually making landings on South Kherson. Ukraine has advantage in logistics when they carry operations on south Kherson and Crimea just like Russia has logistic advantages in eastern loc.
Long range sams-radars are already mostly damaged in Crimea in previous Ukr operations. Awacs flying in Moldova-Romania cannot be shot down by Russia and can provide air data to Ukranian F16s from safe distance. Not only F16s but older planes like F4E has bvr too which is abundant in numbers and waiting to be retired in many Nato member countries and F4Es can be delivered to Ukraine as well with more F16s to gain air supremacy in south Kherson region.
Better to accept ceasefire for Russia sooner than later with risk reducing conditions of limitations like no more bvr fighter jets for Ukraine during ceasefire, stronger NPT controls, return of frozen Russian assets to return to civilian economy with minimal damage. Otherwise several tactical victories like Pokrovsk can follow with a strategic loss of Kherson and total blockade of Crimea later on.





