There is no secret insight - its simply a mix of hearing things - own time reading and learning just because it is of interest.
And eventually you get to some form of status that you can “read the tea leaves” in terms of predicting what is likely there.
That still pales to actual knowledge which OPERATIONAL folks will have. Those are your record of “truth”. Then within operational folks there is also “first person” and “need to know” versus “buddy buddy messaging” and operational security aspects to what to share and what not.
Then there are veterans who may hear from their contacts.
Then analysts and more reputable ones who have been in the game and recognized(not youtubers who started making ai gen videos)
Etc etc
If on this forum
Here is the pattern I follow to verify
News - check source
Source is reputable? No often news channels but more defense news channels
Who is posting it? Someone who jumps the gun to post things or someone who reads and knows context.
Next check first comments
Has Panzerkiel, side winder , lion, arslank, (now thag
@airomerix is back ) , and a few others said anything?
Is information correlating with what I believe is the scenario.
What do certain folks on X say?
Ok
Research any missing details that I need to build a picture.
Comment.
On rare occasions where I really need details like may it usually I when I check on people.
Here is a paraphrased convo for Bholari because I was doing a random check on friends.
“Salam, all good?”
“Yes, alhamdulillah - close call - unfortunately we had casualties”
“Innalillah - hopefully not too many”
“Ofcr and techs”
“May allah give that family sabr”
“Are you ok?”
“Yes, was xyz at the time - abc got hit” (notice i did not ask for details)
“Koi baat nahin yar - you guys lives are more important, cheezon ki koi auqat nahin”
“Yes, true”
“Just keep giving them hell”
“Oh we are”
And that’s the end of the convo - I might have messaged more later or talk to someone that was also operational separate but I am not going to bug this individual again. I care more about his well being rather than what happened to what. I can still piece the rest from what I hear elsewhere.
So if I was order in terms of people to look for insight
You have the names Ive pointed out
Then go check news, check what is coming from warnes and veterans talking.
Then five down on the list you could think about what I said as a half read on the situation.