how many days, the entity, could have survived those one or two strikes before collapsing?
by my understanding, not longer than 60 days (so, question is only about IR ability to secure info. security for about 60 days against USA or NSA and not against the entity!)
basically, entity was surviving (or founding will) on fast depleting AD missiles!
BTW, missile strike on US satellite in Qatar, did show how accurate these missiles were!
what do you think?!!
@ShapurII @shapurzolaktaf
please provide your perspective
I have already said my opinion that it is impossible to "destroy" Israel with conventional ballistic missiles without playing the madman game. So, people here will not like the answer, but the answer is never. Even if the war continues for 6,000 days, Israel will survive and Iran will suffer much more than Israel.
Not only we cannot destroy Israel with our ballistic missiles, but we cannot even overmatch their fire power.
Even with fuel tanks, an Israeli F-16 can carry 6 tons of payload to Iran.
Israel has 102 F-16I (Sufa) jet fighters. So,
theoretically, at maximum payload with fuel tanks, they still can carry 600 tons of payload to Iran on each coordinated sortie. And that's only their F-16s. They also have 39 F-35s and 25 F-15 Ra'am jet fighters.
In total, theoretically, Israeli jet fighters can drop 1,100 tons of payload on Iran with fuel tanks.
So, let's say they operate at two-thirds of their air power each day. That's still 650 tons of bombs on Iran each day!
What about Iran? An average Iranian missile carries a 600kg warhead. So, we need to fire 1,000 missiles each day to compensate for two-thirds of the Israeli air power, assuming that none of our missiles gets intercepted. Since Israeli jet fighters have never been shot down by Iran, they can continue their aerial campaigns for a long time as long as they enjoy the support of the US and all NATO countries.
Can Iran continue firing 1,000-2,000 missiles per day for 60 days? Not really. We cannot do that even for a week. It's a losing game for Iran. We fired 600 missiles in 12 days. Less than half of them reached Israel, let alone destroy something of value. Do you see the difference? Israel clearly has the upper hand with its air power.
Iran's only advantage in our current situation is our strategic depth. To use that advantage, Iran needs nuclear deterrence to be able to use its BM force effectively. In that case, Iran may solely go for vital Israeli infrastructure like power plants, fuel depots, petrochemistry, pharmaceutical industry, water desalination plants, dams, bridges, hospitals, fire fighting departments, etc. That will truly destroy Israel in the sense that we know it today, even wipe it off the map in a sense, but to play that madman game, you will need nuclear deterrence and Iran does not have that. So, Iran can never play that game. Had our battle with Israel lasted 60 days, at least 5x more Iranians would've died, tens of thousands would've been injured, and Israel still would've survived with minimal casualties.
