The SC
INT'L MOD
An analysis of events in the Middle East (behind the scenes)
Firstly, I would like to tell you that I did not prepare this analysis in the heat of the moment. I deliberately delayed its publication so that those who read it might connect it to reality, not to illusion or propaganda.
First: The Hidden Architect
When Washington saw the world moving towards a two-state solution. When it saw 157 countries recognizing Palestine. When it realized that 81% of the world’s nations were no longer willing to wait for Israeli peace that never comes. At that point, Washington did not express its anger publicly. It did not protest. It did not issue statements of condemnation. Instead, it went into the back room. And it began to draw the new simple strategy: as long as the world wants two states for the Palestinians and the Israelis, let us create other mini-states. Mini-states that fragment the region. Mini-states that keep governments busy. Mini-states that threaten the national security of anyone who refuses to normalize relations. Mini-states that turn the dream of a Palestinian state into a regional nightmare. And other powerful states... must be dissolved.. And here lies the hidden genius in the division of roles. America is the architect. It is the planner. It is the one implementing on the ground. Its generals are the ones visiting Somaliland in December 2025. They are the ones providing security support. They are the ones building the bases. But America makes no announcement. Officially, Washington supports the unity of Somalia. Officially, Washington opposes the recognition of Somaliland. Then Israel steps in to make the announcement. Israel is the front. It is the one recognizing Somaliland (which sits on one of the world’s most important maritime chokepoints).. It is the one reaping the fruits of what America has sown.Somaliland was a forgotten patch of land for decades. No one took any interest in it. No one mentioned it. And suddenly, when the world began to recognize Palestine, it woke up. Who woke it up? Who engineered its existence? Ask the Washington generals who visited it in December 2025.And here is a direct question: what if one of the region’s states were to recognize an entity that threatens American or Israeli national security? What if one of the region’s states were to fund and arm the Rapid Support Forces in Sudan, which have committed the most heinous crimes? What would Washington do? All hell would break loose. Sanctions would be imposed. Diplomatic ties would be severed. Armies would be mobilized. But when America is the architect, Israel the frontman, and regional proxies the executors, the tearing apart of nations becomes a ‘right to self-determination’, the funding of militias becomes ‘support for stability’, and the threat to neighbors’ security becomes an ‘internal affair’. This is a double standard.
Secondly: The plan that makes no distinction between Sunnis and Shias. Anyone who thinks that what has happened in Iran is aimed solely at a Shia regime has missed the point entirely. The plan in the region makes no distinctions. It recognizes no sect. It recognizes no denomination. What is happening is a systematic attempt to dismantle the powerful states of the Middle East. All of them. Without exception.
Eight months before February 2026, there was a previous strike on Iran. Trump repeatedly came out declaring: ‘The Iranian nuclear deal is over for good.’ He finished the job. He destroyed everything. So why return to war in February 2026?The answer does not lie in Iran. The answer lies in Palestine. In the 157 countries that recognized the State of Palestine. In the wave that began on 5 February 2025 with Mexico’s recognition, which then exploded on 21 September 2025 with recognition by the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and Portugal, continued on 22 September with recognition by France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra and Monaco, and concluded on 23 September with recognition by San Marino. 157 out of 193 countries. More than 81% of the world. This is what angered them. It drove them to return to war against Iran. Not because Iran poses a threat, but because the dissolution of the Iranian state, as Netanyahu and Trump imagine it, would cause the countries of the region to race towards normalization.
Thirdly: The ambush set by the Revolutionary Guards
What Netanyahu and Trump did not reckon with was that Khamenei’s decision to remain at his residence was not stupidity. It was not recklessness. It was not a refusal of protection. It was an ambush. A strategic ambush set by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. A bait that Netanyahu and Trump swallowed. As Khamenei watched Trump’s statements that he would wage war on Iran, he refused to leave. He said: “I will not go to the mountains. I will stay with the Iranians.” Analysts said: getting to Khamenei’s head meant that America and Israel had won the bet. The opposition would emerge. The regime would fall.
Yes, Khamenei was assassinated. Dozens of leaders were assassinated. Hundreds of pieces of infrastructure were destroyed. And what happened? The Iranian opposition... vanished. It did not emerge. It did not move. The regime... absorbed the shock. And it remained.
The difference between those who understand international wars and those who do not: the lesson is not in the action. The lesson is in the results. The Revolutionary Guards and the regime’s loyalists do not care how many casualties they suffer. They do not care how many leaders are assassinated. They do not care if the war drags on, as long as the home front is secure. As long as arms supplies reach them, whether via the Strait of Hormuz or via the Caspian Sea, which is free of any American presence, they will make up for all their losses. They will bear all the damage. Anything but the dismantling of the home front.
Fourthly: What did they want from Iran?
To dissolve the state. The same thing they tried to do in Somaliland. The same thing they tried to do in southern Yemen. The only difference: in Somaliland and southern Yemen, the aim was to create entities and states.
In Iran, however, the aim was to dissolve the state itself. To fragment it. To tear it apart. To turn it into warring cantons. And why? So that the Israeli flag might fly over the Strait of Hormuz. So that Israel would control the waterway through which more than 20% of the world’s energy exports pass. And then, according to the delusions in Netanyahu and Trump’s imaginations, the Gulf states would rush to reach understandings with Israel. Because it is on the other side of the strait. Because it controls the energy artery. Because there is no other option.
Fifth: The same scenario is being repeated over and over again everywhere..The same pattern is evident in southern Yemen, where Israel has taken charge of the operation through its proxy in Abu Dhabi to carry it out on the ground. The Transitional Council is advancing in Hadramaut and Al-Mahra. It controls the port of Mukalla. It threatens Saudi national security. All this coincides with Israel’s moves in Somaliland, indeed on the very day of its declaration of recognition. And America is officially… in favour of Yemen’s unity and against the secession of Somaliland, and in line with the Security Council statement which affirmed its firm stance in support of Yemen’s unity and international legitimacy. They wanted to follow the same pattern in Sudan. America plans. Abu Dhabi funds. The Rapid Support Forces carry out the operations and commit the most heinous crimes with the aim of tearing Sudan apart. They keep Egypt occupied. They threaten Saudi Arabia’s western flank. And America… officially… calls for dialogue and peace.This is how they have tried and will try everywhere. America is the architect. It is the mastermind. It is the hand that designs, plans and executes. Israel is the front. It is the voice that proclaims. It is the one that reaps the fruits of what America has sown.
Why does the plan involve partition? And why does Israel adopt it? Because Washington wants to preserve its relations with the countries of the region. For if it were to adopt the actions it does not declare, the Chinese dragon would benefit. It is as if it wants to say to Riyadh: “We are with you. We are for the unity of Yemen. We are for the unity of Somalia. We are for international legitimacy.” And at the same time, it plans, implements and creates entities that threaten Riyadh, Cairo, Turkey, all the countries of the region and anyone who refuses normalization. Then, once the strong states have been dissolved and the separatist entities established, the America of tomorrow will become the Israel of today. And the talk of merging the American and Israeli armies confirms the convergence of objectives and the exchange of roles. It is systematic duplicity. Two sides of the same coin. An official face that smiles, makes promises and signs statements. And a hidden face that digs, builds and threatens.
Sixth: The Saudi warning – it was not neutrality, but a reading of the plan
On 21 February 2026, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia issued its warning, which stated: “The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia reaffirms its firm and unwavering position rejecting any actions that undermine the sovereignty, borders and territorial integrity of states. It emphasises that the only path to a just and comprehensive peace is the end of the occupation on the basis of a two-state solution and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state within the 1967 borders, with East Jerusalem as its capital.” This warning was not a declaration of neutrality. It was not fear. It was not hesitation. It was a precise reading of the plan. Riyadh was not afraid of Iran. Iran is hostile to the Kingdom. Iran continues to think foolishly about the pivotal states in the Middle East. But Riyadh knows that what is happening in Iran today will happen elsewhere tomorrow. It knows that the plan makes no distinction between Sunni and Shia. It knows that the aim is to dissolve every strong state. Iran today. Others tomorrow. That is why it warned against and refused to be dragged into war, despite Iran’s militia-style behavior. And because the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia knows for certain that this entire plan is nothing but a race for international diplomacy, aimed at preventing other states from recognizing the State of Palestine, and at undoing previous international efforts that resulted in the world’s recognition of the State of Palestine.
As for Netanyahu and Trump’s fantasy that the countries of the region will rush towards normalization after Iran has been neutralized and control of the Strait of Hormuz secured, this is an illusion. Reality has exposed this delusion, the Saudi warning predicted it, and a new axis forming in the Middle East has brought it down: ...In conclusion: what is happening in the Middle East is not chaos. It is not random wars. It is not sectarian conflicts. What is happening is a new architecture. An architecture that began in Somaliland, attempted to pass through southern Yemen, extends to Sudan, and reaches the Strait of Hormuz. An architecture aimed at dissolving strong states, creating satellite states, and raising the Israeli flag over global energy corridors. America plans. Israel announces. And regional proxies carry it out. But rest assured: all these schemes will evaporate because they spare no one.
Source:
https://x.com/abdulslam2017
https://x.com/abdulslam2017
