General Economic Updates

Any data for Jan? This is largely due to allowing up to 50% outflow for IT companies. In any case a good development of Han numbers remain above 300m.
He is the most self-obsessed minister I have ever seen. I went to the MOIT website a couple of days ago to look up some data, and all I saw was his face. His minions glorifying his achievements everywhere, like a tinpot North Korean dictator.
 
At least some good news
"PML-N – the party considered the most likely to lead the next government – stated that while the party had proposed the name of Bilal Azhar Kiyani, appointed as coordinator to the Prime Minister on Economy and Energy in July 2022, but caved in to the establishment demand that the portfolio be retained by caretaker finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar"

No Dar,sane FM with continuity of reforms agenda (FMs and wicket keepers should always be from Sindh imo 😅 as they're professionals who resist the short term, counterproductive policy decisions of politicians)

PTI won't form the government so they won't have to face the brunt of these unpopular decisions

They can continue to do their politics I am sure this weak coalition gov won't last more than 2 years max

Best solution was of course a normal election, strong government with good, professional FM but...
@Bilal @hydrabadi_arab @ziaulislam
 
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At least some good news
"PML-N – the party considered the most likely to lead the next government – stated that while the party had proposed the name of Bilal Azhar Kiyani, appointed as coordinator to the Prime Minister on Economy and Energy in July 2022, but caved in to the establishment demand that the portfolio be retained by caretaker finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar"

No Dar,sane FM with continuity of reforms agenda (FMs and wicket keepers should always be from Sindh imo 😅 as they're professionals who resist the short term, counterproductive policy decisions of politicians)

PTI won't form the government so they won't have to face the brunt of these unpopular decisions

They can continue to do their politics I am sure this weak coalition gov won't last more than 2 years max

Best solution was of course a normal election, strong government with good, professional FM but...
@Bilal @hydrabadi_arab @ziaulislam
The coalition govt will last till the military and judiciary are in sink that is for at least next 3-4 years (as extension is coming)

Next chief will also probably let the govt then complete the term and probably ask for a good election

Asim munir knows and judicary knows that Imran Khan won't let them , he has openly said that as he is a narcissist...so only solution will be break him or kill him.. that's what's going to happen, anyone can break after all people are humans ..bacha Khan spent 40 years in jail and broke in his 80s

With respect to economy..there will be no stability or investment unless Pakistan goes China style or on FIRESALE

WHen it's sale noone cares about stability, they will take it or invest ..give a 40% ROI and you will see everyone investing...
Afterall everyone invested in power sector with 25-30% ROI ..that crippled and destroyed Pakistani economy due to uncompetitive energy prices to the region

Ishaq dar is coming .. whether you like it or not..next move is probably going to be firesale...I expect debt to double, after all we can easily take on more debt to gdp ratio

Highlights
1- ishaq dar comes back, he redifines debt again to make it look nice
2- fire sale of assets, I expect pia, steel mills and several banks to be sold for zero dollars with debt taken over by the govt, hence debt goes up, growth picks up to some degree, exports plunges and imports run till the foreign debt/exchange is out
3- Imran Khan either dies of natural death in jail or breaks, hopefully rather then dying and creating another bhutto(and leaves the country) Pakistan can't afford a Bhutto in sindh, balochistan and Bhutto in kpk
4- this is my gut feeling unsure if this will happen but maryum consolidating power and reforming punjab like SINDH followed by eyeing the prize the army/center and trying to convert that in punjab police
5- money ain't coming from China or USA both have there issues (& political pressure), money will come from IMF(as west loves this govt) and it's strings (stability, no growth, fire sale !!)


If number 4 is successful that will be in the long run good for Pakistan since it will create stability but creating a new sharif empire ..we will know already that a good 60 years of maryum and juanid will be lined up (just like zardari successfully created sindh empire but revolutionary acts of replacing the system it self!)

Im hoping for real sector crash or rupee value crash to continue..have kept some money on sidelines for now
 
The coalition govt will last till the military and judiciary are in sink that is for at least next 3-4 years (as extension is coming)

Next chief will also probably let the govt then complete the term and probably ask for a good election

Asim munir knows and judicary knows that Imran Khan won't let them , he has openly said that as he is a narcissist...so only solution will be break him or kill him.. that's what's going to happen, anyone can break after all people are humans ..bacha Khan spent 40 years in jail and broke in his 80s

With respect to economy..there will be no stability or investment unless Pakistan goes China style or on FIRESALE

WHen it's sale noone cares about stability, they will take it or invest ..give a 40% ROI and you will see everyone investing...
Afterall everyone invested in power sector with 25-30% ROI ..that crippled and destroyed Pakistani economy due to uncompetitive energy prices to the region

Ishaq dar is coming .. whether you like it or not..next move is probably going to be firesale...I expect debt to double, after all we can easily take on more debt to gdp ratio

Highlights
1- ishaq dar comes back, he redifines debt again to make it look nice
2- fire sale of assets, I expect pia, steel mills and several banks to be sold for zero dollars with debt taken over by the govt, hence debt goes up, growth picks up to some degree, exports plunges and imports run till the foreign debt/exchange is out
3- Imran Khan either dies of natural death in jail or breaks, hopefully rather then dying and creating another bhutto(and leaves the country) Pakistan can't afford a Bhutto in sindh, balochistan and Bhutto in kpk
4- this is my gut feeling unsure if this will happen but maryum consolidating power and reforming punjab like SINDH followed by eyeing the prize the army/center and trying to convert that in punjab police
5- money ain't coming from China or USA both have there issues (& political pressure), money will come from IMF(as west loves this govt) and it's strings (stability, no growth, fire sale !!)


If number 4 is successful that will be in the long run good for Pakistan since it will create stability but creating a new sharif empire ..we will know already that a good 60 years of maryum and juanid will be lined up (just like zardari successfully created sindh empire but revolutionary acts of replacing the system it self!)

Im hoping for real sector crash or rupee value crash to continue..have kept some money on sidelines for now
Dar won't come -1$ bet
Just like I said NS won't become pm
 
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Dar won't come -1$ bet
Just like I said NS won't become pm
Well, Nawaz sharif wa suppose to become pm and maryum cm but apparently electioneering failed especially in KPK and parts of punjab

Army wanted Nawaz sharif, dar and maryum but zardari and PPPP has too much leverage
Nawaz sharif had even a speech prepared
 
"in-sync"
But you maybe right... going by "fauji" antecedents in Pak... they are ultimately going to "sink" :D
As is the wont feudal Pak punjabi's they'll for sure think they are invincible at some point in time & then the real "dehsatgars in vardi" will strike and bring them back to earth...
Fabulous watching from the sidelines with a smirk.... it happens over & over again like clockwork. :p
 
"in-sync"
But you maybe right... going by "fauji" antecedents in Pak... they are ultimately going to "sink" :D
As is the wont feudal Pak punjabi's they'll for sure think they are invincible at some point in time & then the real "dehsatgars in vardi" will strike and bring them back to earth...
Fabulous watching from the sidelines with a smirk.... it happens over & over again like clockwork. :p
Sink not sync
 
"in-sync"
But you maybe right... going by "fauji" antecedents in Pak... they are ultimately going to "sink" :D
As is the wont feudal Pak punjabi's they'll for sure think they are invincible at some point in time & then the real "dehsatgars in vardi" will strike and bring them back to earth...
Fabulous watching from the sidelines with a smirk.... it happens over & over again like clockwork. :p
Nothing special happening on your side of the boarder
Richer getting rich and poorer slumming more in poverty
Atleast Bollywood keep your guys tamed and happy
 
Interesting use of the word. Anyways I think your elites are "free-boarders"
Whereas coming to this side of the "border"

We are approaching $3k per capita income and by the end of this decade we will reach $4k.
Your per capita income is exactly half of ours now & contracting. The rich are getting poorer.

Not all his hunky dory on our side though, I'll agree to that. But, there are definite steps being taken to tackle it. We are at the cusp of a breakthrough and we will shine. Multi-dimensional poverty rates are being reduced & will further reduce over the coming decade. The rich might be getting richer. But, there's a whole section of people (larger than your entire population) who are also getting more prosperous by the day. There's a palpable energy around. One can feel it.

I can't say the same about you. Your economy is sinking, your social fabric is in tatters.

I haven't brought in per capita PPP into discussion which is more indicative.
 
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That's why I like this competition between PTI and PMLN - BRT,Sehat card and now this amongst other things are a direct results of this competition
 

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