How China blew up its own future

[Beijingwalker]

Not a prediction. A precise mathematical calculation.

The total is not as important as the distribution within it.

Did they use to same 'mathematical calculation" on China 20 years ago? what was their number back then?

 

[VCheng]

Did they use to same 'mathematical calculation" on China 20 years ago? what was their number back then?

LOL. I can plot them all out if you like. The previous ones about demographics have all been proven correct, and the calculations going forward as just as accurate.

 

[Beijingwalker]

LOL. I can plot them all out if you like. The previous ones about demographics have all been proven correct, and the calculations going forward as just as accurate.

Like this one? Every donkey can have their own "predictions".

In the 1990s, many researchers predicted that the population of China would peak at 1.6 billion in the 2030s

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/236791078_China's_Future_Population_Predictions_and_Prospects

 

[VCheng]

Like this one? Every donkey can have their own "predictions".

In the 1990s, many researchers predicted that the population of China would peak at 1.6 billion in the 2030s

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/236791078_China's_Future_Population_Predictions_and_Prospects

So it is about 1.4 billion now, and on track to be 1.6 billion by 2030. Seems pretty accurate.

 

[Beijingwalker]

So it is about 1.4 billion now, and on track to be 1.6 billion by 2030. Seems pretty accurate.

Then contrary to your prediction, China's population declined from two years ago, so you think the 1998 "prediction" is more accurate and the population will be back to growth to 1.6 billion? did you realise you are contradicting yourself?

According to the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics, on Jan 17, 2023, China's population fell by 850,000 people in 2022 to 1.41 billion

 

[VCheng]

 

[VCheng]

Then contrary to your prediction, China's population declined from two years ago, so you think the 1998 "prediction" is more accurate and the population will be back to growth to 1.6 billion? do you realise you are contradicting yourself?

ROFL. That was according to the source YOU posted. I have posted a complete breakdown above.

Here, let me post it again - just for you:

 

[Beijingwalker]

ROFL. That was according to the source YOU posted. I have posted a complete breakdown above.

Here, let me post it again - just for you:

View attachment 200491

Every "expert‘’ can say anything using different datas and numbers, only fools have already taken them as a fact.

 

[VCheng]

Every "expert‘’ can say anything using different datas and numbers, only fools have already taken them as a fact.

LOL. So now you have no argument except such a comment. D

It's okay. The demographic changes are clear, when your programming allows you to accept them or not.

Peak China is here. Enjoy it while it lasts. Seriously.

 

[Beijingwalker]

LOL. So now you have no argument except such a comment. D

It's okay. The demographic changes are clear, when your programming allows you to accept them or not.

Peak China is here. Enjoy it while it lasts. Seriously.

Just now you said 1998 prediction is accurate, did you? so China will reach 1.6 billion in 2050?

Your favorite China "expert" and "predictor"

 

[Beijingwalker]

US social and ethnic chao is a crisis waiting to happen, people naturally group themselves based on race, ethnicity and cultural background, that's very human nature.