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I don't think there is much worries to BJP as 242 seats and short of 30 seats is itself a big wall for INC to cross.

I.N.D.I.A alliance itself a group of parties whose leaders want to become PM at least once in their lifetime and with 99 seats INC is nowhere to dictate them considering RaGa’s immaturity in handling his own party members leave alone coalition.
 
Why wearing prison uniform

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matti bachao, paudhey ugao

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Can neutral Indian friends give us a fair analysis of how the Indian elections are penning out and the likely outcome of the elections? I keep hearing BJP led NDA is performing below par, what are the likely implications of this?

@Joe Shearer @JaneBhiDoYaaron @Guynextdoor
There might some wrong analysis because I might not have seem final table but here you go.

BJP performance was subpar in many states specially UP, Rajasthan ,WB and to some extent Maharstra. Rahul and Akhilesh came out as star in opposition.

AAP is history and congress has better chance to revive of they choose steps woswly.

Likely out come will be Modi will still be PM at-least at start but as they don’t have full majority few coalition partners specially Andhara CM Naidu and Bihar CM Nitiah will have much bigger say. So if they pull support well …. Modi gotta Go.

As BJP will not have full majority I don't expect any major reform going through so it wil be basically state of quo. Judiciary, UCC…. none of this will be talked about.

Rammandir / Kashmir had zero impact on outcome.
I personally feel India will be very unstable specially there will be lot more protest and blockades starting very soon….

Policy wise Modi will become more socialist so India progress will hover around 6% - 7%max

There were some positive for BJP allies also.

- Face saving was in AP , Bihar and Odisa. - BJP/NDA did win four state elections and opposition none in two state which was not there before which are AP and Odisa. Sikkim and Arunachal are other two. - Opposition did not win any atate election.
- BJP first time won seat in Kerala.
- Kashmir also rejected both Abdullah and Mufti

Coalition wise BJP needs some more friends such in Punjab and might go back to UT in Maharastra as although SS did better their seat count is way down as they have to share seat.

Basically most hated people on this forum “cow belt” gave opposition most seats and cut Modi victory margin.
 
Looks like “400 par” was just a media propaganda to garner support for BJP?.

They will win but unlikely to go above 300?
just shy of 300 but also.. fir ek baat, Modi sarkar
 
Looks like “400 par” was just a media propaganda to garner support for BJP?.

They will win but unlikely to go above 300?
I had said many times Modi always gives stretched target if opposition did not fall for it they could have done even better or worse if BJP voter got complacent. Post poll data will show.

This was third Modi third term which is unprecedented and first PM to do this. Nehru did it but his first term was not election. Anti incumbency played part also.
 
Half the people in my office are in shock 😲
NDA is still winning
But some of the reactions I am getting is hilarious
 
I had said many times Modi always gives stretched target if opposition did not fall for it they could have done even better or worse if BJP voter got complacent. Post poll data will show.

This was third Modi third term which is unprecedented and first PM to do this. Nehru did it but his first term was not election. Anti incumbency played part also.
UP is a big time blunder. Friction between Modi/Shah with cost them 30 seats
 
There might some wrong analysis because I might not have seem final table but here you go.

BJP performance was subpar in many states specially UP, Rajasthan ,WB and to some extent Maharstra. Rahul and Akhilesh came out as star in opposition.

AAP is history and congress has better chance to revive of they choose steps woswly.

Likely out come will be Modi will still be PM at-least at start but as they don’t have full majority few coalition partners specially Andhara CM Naidu and Bihar CM Nitiah will have much bigger say. So if they pull support well …. Modi gotta Go.

As BJP will not have full majority I don't expect any major reform going through so it wil be basically state of quo. Judiciary, UCC…. none of this will be talked about.

Rammandir / Kashmir had zero impact on outcome.
I personally feel India will be very unstable specially there will be lot more protest and blockades starting very soon….

Policy wise Modi will become more socialist so India progress will hover around 6% - 7%max

There were some positive for BJP allies also.

- Face saving was in AP , Bihar and Odisa. - BJP/NDA did win four state elections and opposition none in two state which was not there before which are AP and Odisa. Sikkim and Arunachal are other two. - Opposition did not win any atate election.
- BJP first time won seat in Kerala.
- Kashmir also rejected both Abdullah and Mufti

Coalition wise BJP needs some more friends such in Punjab and might go back to UT in Maharastra as although SS did better their seat count is way down as they have to share seat.

Basically most hated people on this forum “cow belt” gave opposition most seats and cut Modi victory margin.
Ram Mandir turned out to be the most hollow achievement politically. Not that the Mandir is useless, but I always said among my friend circle that its political importance is overstated. People have short memories. They all basked in the euphoria of the inauguration and now life is back to normal. Roti kapda makaan.

I agree on the instability part. INDI has smelled blood and they will try to make the govt's life miserable. They can't do it in parliament because NDA has majority, but they will do it outside it. More protests, more scathing criticism using paid sources, undermining India internationally will increase. They have another 5 years to spend in the opposition and it will not be easy once this euphoria of 235 seats goes away
 

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