How will your club fare? Phil McNulty's Premier League predictions
Arne Slot's Liverpool are the defending Premier League champions
Phil McNulty
Chief football writer
Here we go again.
The annual act of folly and crystal ball-gazing that brings about my Premier League predictions.
I may still be living down the ill-fated belief that Leicester City would be relegated in the season they won the title, but it is time to have a crack at predicting how the forthcoming top-flight campaign might pan out.
Expect all the usual suspects to be at the top. Beyond that, this was arguably the toughest set of predictions to make since this exercise began.
1) Liverpool
Last season: Champions
It's hard to see past Liverpool as this season's Premier League champions.
This is a team that
won the title at a 10-point canter last term and has been strengthened by a remarkable summer spending spree. The transition is still a work in progress, as the Community Shield loss to Crystal Palace proved, but this a prediction made with complete confidence.
What should have been a summer of joy has lived under the shadow of the tragic death of beloved striker Diogo Jota - killed in a car crash - as well as the incident that left supporters injured at the title trophy parade.
The season will start without the departed Trent Alexander-Arnold, Luis Diaz and Darwin Nunez, but Florian Wirtz was a statement signing - one of Europe's most coveted forwards - at £116m from Bayer Leverkusen, along with full-backs Jeremie Frimpong and Milos Kerkez. New striker Hugo Ekitike, signed for an initial £69m from Eintracht Frankfurt, showed his class with a goal in the Community Shield.
Crystal Palace captain
Marc Guehi is the latest target, and Newcastle United's Alexander Isak may yet arrive - a frightening prospect for anyone wanting to take Liverpool's title away.
2) Arsenal
Last season: Second
This is the acid test for Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta. No more talk of process and progress. It is time for actual silverware after five years without a trophy.
This time, Arteta has been given all the required tools to do the job - an already talented squad bolstered by the class of Spain midfielder Martin Zubimendi and - at long last and at least 12 months too late - a recognised striker in Viktor Gyokeres.
This is a team with enough to mount a meaningful title pursuit and challenge for the biggest prizes.
This time Arsenal and Arteta have no excuses. They must win a trophy this season - and there should be optimism at Emirates Stadium that they can do so.
3) Manchester City
Last season: Third
It's a hazardous business going against Manchester City as prospective champions but I feel there may be too much ground for Pep Guardiola and his team to make up.
Never rule out a squad containing such quality, although they will desperately hope the lingering clouds over the fitness of
Rodri - their most important player, who missed nearly all of last season - roll away.
Erling Haaland remains a magnificent spearhead while Omar Marmoush looked a high-class attacking reinforcement last season.
Rayan Ait-Nouri is another fine addition, while France forward
Rayan Cherki comes with rave notices. There are also high hopes for Netherlands midfielder Tijjani Reijnders after his £46.5m arrival from AC Milan.
And this will hopefully be the season when Phil Foden returns to his best - a game-changer.
I fully expect City to win a trophy and challenge for the title - but do not think they will reclaim their old crown.
Will new recruit Joao Pedro help Chelsea become title challengers?
4) Chelsea
Last season: Fourth
It's sometimes hard to keep track of events at Chelsea, but what we do know is they are the
World Club champions and
Conference League holders, and finally seem to be on the right track under Enzo Maresca.
Chelsea have added the quality of
Joao Pedro from Brighton in attack as well as the youthful promise of
Liam Delap. Jamie Gittens is another intriguing addition while the brilliance of Cole Palmer makes him the talisman.
And the progress of 18-year-old Brazilian wonder boy
Estevao Willian will be followed keenly.
Chelsea will be right in the hunt for trophies domestically and will relish their return to the Champions League. They usually find a way to win silverware and I expect them to so again, but not the Premier League.
5) Aston Villa
Last season: Sixth
They missed out on Champions League football on the final day of last season but I fully expect them to be at the sharp end of the Premier League once more under the outstanding guidance of Unai Emery.
Much will depend on the remainder of the transfer window, with Morgan Rogers a key figure. All overtures made towards him will be resisted by Villa, though there has also been speculation surrounding England striker Ollie Watkins. Local boy
Jacob Ramsey may yet leave for Newcastle United - offering Emery funds for other incomings.
The loan spells of Marcus Rashford and Marcus Asensio have ended - though the latter may return - and it will be interesting to see how Emery utilises Ivory Coast international
Evann Guessand - the new £30m forward signed from Nice.
6) Newcastle United
Last season: Fifth
It's been a thoroughly miserable summer on Tyneside after the elation of
winning the Carabao Cup - a first domestic trophy since 1955 - then securing Champions League qualification on the last day of the season.
The list of potential transfer targets that have ended up elsewhere has been long and embarrassing, with the final insult the toxic stand-off with their brilliant striker, match-winner and main goalscorer Alexander Isak, who has set his heart on a move to Liverpool.
So why such an optimistic prediction given this evidence?
Simply because manager Eddie Howe engineered last season's success superbly after a summer of turbulence behind the scenes.
Newcastle have a fine side when everyone is fit.
It seems impossible, at this stage, that fences can be mended with Isak, but new ones can be built with the arrival of Germany defender
Malick Thiaw from AC Milan and a move for Aston Villa's Jacob Ramsey.
The signing of
Anthony Elanga from Nottingham Forest at least ended the hunt for a right-sided attacker, while Brentford's
Yoane Wissa, unlike so many others, seems keen on a move to Tyneside.
7) Manchester United
Last season: 15th
This prediction may raise eyebrows even among some fervent Manchester United fans, but it is based on Ruben Amorim having had an entire summer to get his entrenched three-man central-defensive system firmly fixed in his players' minds and also because of some serious strengthening in attack.
Amorim has spent in the region of £200m on
Matheus Cunha from Wolverhampton Wanderers,
Bryan Mbeumo from Brentford, and the capture of RB Leipzig's prized striker
Benjamin Sesko in a deal that could be worth £74m. This will, or at least should, carry some serious threat.
They surely cannot be as bad again. Can they?
One rider, though - if they do not improve and United look as lost and hopeless as they did under Amorim at stages last season, he will swiftly be under a very unforgiving microscope.