BananaRepublic
Trusted Member
Do you think Iran is a country that works at McDonalds or Burger King and gets a paycheck every 2 weeks to pay their bills?
The national budget for the year IS SET IN ADVANCE. The budget was based on oil trading in the $70’s/80’s. Thus from late March to September Iran has been selling its oil at high premium. The MoU also allowed Iran to get another 60M barrels out of strait. They sold about 45M barrels of it since.
So Iran already has more than enough oil revenue than they budgeted for this year (ending in March 2027). The issue isnt has Iran made enough revenue from oil this year. The issue is what will happen by March when the new Persian year begins and Iran hasn’t had any major oil revenues in months. The other issue is how much of that money can they bring back into the country and how much of it is stuck in Chinese shadow banks.
As we approach the next several months that’s when the pain will be felt as Iran burns its precious oil revenues to feed the sieged population and keep the economy on life support.
I think IRGC will wait to see whether the new congress cuts off the war budget.
Trump is hated so much because he has used the thugs in uniform against dems - they’ll want to humiliate him like Reagan humiliated Carter over the hostages.
And Nixon on dems over Vietnam.
If dems cannot curtail Trump - IRGC will go all out war against USA to prevent a civil war.
Dems will then be forced to act in order to avoid a civil war within the party. Presidential primaries will also concentrate the mind.



