Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Can any Iranian ballistic missiles hit the UK base these B1s in UK are based in? Iran may need to drop kinetic metal gifts on that UK base.
I think yes. Qaem 100 should be able. But if you strike UK half of EU will join those bast*ards. Irán disguised their ICBM as SLV, but they have capability for so or even farther.
 
you're right

in June Iran fired 500-600 in total

at this rate it will take another 20-30 days to materially deplete Israeli interceptors
It would make sense, imo, to set aside one day to fire 100 missiles (unless means is just not there atm) to bring us closer to that threshold number. To help relieve some pressure on Lebanese people as they are being killed brutally now. Israel is hitting Lebanon like it was hitting in Gaza, particularly going after civilian families and bombing their homes on purpose without warning.

This is what's causing high casualties in Lebanon right now.
 
The new Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic lost his father, his mother, his wife, and his daughter, in a US-“Israel” aggression against his homeland. I hope the world understands what that means. Glory to Sayed Mojtaba Khamenei.

It surely means that he is a most excellent choice for the exalted position that he now holds.
 
Do you think they gonna take any Iranian island?. Seems US wants to re-open Strait of Hormuz by taking islands.
It wont be easy they will be in reach of Iranian Arty/Missile fire. This is all theorycrafting something I am not a fan of.

I like to deal with data, its nice and clean.

Iran still has plenty of fight left. I will tell you what little scuttlebutt (rumours) I have heard is that USMC Anglico's are being prepped for some OP. That is about ir.
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This image confirms their presence innTel aviv
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Callsign MFO300S is rerserved for SOF. The Blackhawk in question is assigned to the 2_211th Army Aviation Wing Utah Air National Guard and specialises in lift and suoport for Special Forces.
1000015162.jpg

Ask yourself why is an air national guard (reserves) helicopter from Utah in Middle East?

🫡🙃
 
you're right
in June Iran fired 500-600 in total
at this rate it will take another 20-30 days to materially deplete Israeli interceptors

Here is the Elijah Magnier video I referred to above. I try not to miss any of his videos, especially about Lebanon. Per him, in this round of conflict, Iran sent 220 projectiles/missiles to attack on first day to send a message.

The video also talks about why Hezbollah jumped into the fray: Basically to implement the UNSC 1701 which Israel is not complying with, while now the Israeli attention is on Iran.

 
The AoR could actually recover and in a big way by 2030 since this is not going well for the US and GCC allies, Trump has to decide between escalation or de-escalation.

Israel is the only problem. It will keep trying to instigate a war on Iran every 7-12 months. That's why it's important to inflict heavy losses on Israel.

Hezbollah's performance is a sign of recovery. Now what's lacking is more resources/weapons in their hands. Iran knows to upscale production of missiles and drones. And will try acquiring newer jets and air defense. Hamas is slowly and quietly and recovering.

If AoR got 3 years of breathing room and Iran got cash flow, they will be able to pack a serious punch against Israel by 2030.
 
you're right

in June Iran fired 500-600 in total

at this rate it will take another 20-30 days to materially deplete Israeli interceptors
Don’t think that’s necessarily true Hezbollah has been firing at a steady rate large rockets even if their iron beam is operational to an extent they are still using a lot of interceptors for those rockets so better for Hezbollah to bleed them out first than let Iran and perhaps Houthis if they are waiting it out to use in large scale attacks
 
Remove the Fatwa on nukes and 2000km missile range fatwa

Iran should get the capability to hit New York and Los Angeles in the next years
Removing these fatwas publicly may not be as ridiculous as it sounds, not because I ever envisage IRGC being able to strike USA territory with a missile (though they have proved me wrong on weapons technology hitherto, so perhaps I am being unfair) but rather because bellicosity from Tehran at this stage may force Trump to send ground troops in.

I still feel that this would play into Iran's hands and give them a chance to inflict a high enough cost to force some sort of off ramp due to high casualties on all sides. This is the cold calculus of war - that casualties ultimately force the hand of belligerents.

Of course, I make the assumption, tentatively, that he is not mad enough to deploy nukes if Iran "ups the ante".
 

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